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Tomorrow

We have a very big day ahead of us tomorrow, that will bring huge celebrations and sorrows among chess players and fans everywhere. The last 2 rounds of the Candidates tournament have been incredibly dramatic- Magnus finally losing a game of chess, the back-and-forth Aronian-Kramnik game that seemed to be completely drawn ended up being decisive. Then today, Kramnik blew a much better position against Gelfand that was likely won at some moment, and Carlsen managed to grind out Radjabov in a very equal looking ending when the latter advanced a3-a4, making a new set of weaknesses, and allowing the young star to catch up with Kramnik. So, here is how it stands: Carlsen has better tiebreaks than Kramnik, so Kramnik needs to outscore Magnus tomorrow if he is to be the world championship challenger. Carlsen has white against Svidler, one of the lower players in the field who he has already beaten in their first encounter with the black pieces, while Kramnik has black against the always unpredictable Ivanchuk, who has not shown his best form this tournament. The question I am most interested in is just how aggressive Kramnik will be with black- will we see more of his trademark Petroff/Berlin+Nimzo/QUID repertoire, or will he mix it up bigtime trying to win? Ivanchuk is really a wildcard- sometimes he is just invincible, including beating Carlsen with black, but the rest of this tournament he has been badly off form, and has played some seriously suspicious openings, including but not limited to the Dutch, Budapest, Chigorin, Trompowsky. It's ironic, but which version of Ivanchuk shows up to play Kramnik tomorrow will likely dictate who will challenge for the World Title. Carlsen will likely come out with all guns blazing against Svidler: I doubt he will be trying to play it safe when he knows how unpredicable Ivanchuk is. In any case, we are in for a serious day of chess tomorrow. It's hard to bet against Magnus at this stage, but I think Kramnik has some chances here- say 25%- so there is a lot to follow. To top it all off, I will say that while I am sure many are just itching to see Magnus in a world championship match (myself included), Kramnik is a very worthy contender as well and I'm sure he would have another great match with Anand, with plenty of super boring games like these:

Be sure to follow the action live tomorrow, I definitely will be!

Sam Shankland

Comments


  • 20 months ago

    SimonWebbTiger

    Great blog!

  • 21 months ago

    Kasvarof

    Now Carlsen is the challenger for The World Championship 2013. Is he much potential to grab the titel from Anand?

  • 21 months ago

    NM Petrosianic

    annotated games yay!

  • 21 months ago

    mishrashubham

    Were those boring games?I don't think so..

    Anyways, the blog was awesome.Thanks a lot !!!!

  • 21 months ago

    ChocolateTeapot

    Thanks for the games. Great commentaries.

  • 21 months ago

    LeeCooper78

    I don't think Kramnik will change his repertoire - when you're facing oponent like Ivanchuk, who will undoubtedly play for a win (he is white and playing without any pressure), there's no need to change your repertoire. Most likely, Ivanchuk will force him to change it anyway. That duel is wide open, although I'm his fan, I don't think Kramnik is favorite with black against Chucky.

    On the other hand, Carlsen is favorite against Svidler, but not as huge, as standings would suggest. Peter is on +1 at he moment and I think he has equal h2h with Magnus in classical tempo. Sure, Magnus is white, win guarantees overall victory, so, you've said it right - he'll come out firing from all guns.

    No surprise there if we see two draws, for instance.

  • 21 months ago

    Lawdoginator

    I think Chucky is gonna lose badly to Kramnik. This will put tremendous pressure on Magnus to win his game. I'm rooting for Carlsen, but you have to like Kramnik's chances. 

  • 21 months ago

    bykr

    I thought you were serious about super boring games with Kramnik-Anand until I checked out that first game-wow!

  • 21 months ago

    LaskerFan

    "which version of Ivanchuk shows up to play Kramnik tomorrow will likely dictate who will challenge for the World Title"

    Very nicely said! I think age (44 years) and mental slowness are Ivanchuk's greatest enemies (leading to loss due to timeout even in respectable positions). Maybe he should try hormone therapy Wink

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