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Strategic Planning

So, as I'm really into numbers a lot. I tried to set some goals and see if I can predict the future based on that.

I'm talking about my goals here on chess.com

As of today 1/19/10, I have a score of 1506 and a percentage win of 52%. My average opponent ranking is 1405.

I assumed that I will be winning 70% of my next 50 games. (I know that's a high goal, but I like to aim high Cool )

Based on todays ranking, I would gain 6 points for each game I win, loose 10 for each game I loose and will loose 2 points for each draw game. That's based on a 1405 ranking opponent. Based on all that, after 50 games from now (That's game #523) I should have a ranking of 1536)

I will be going back to this blog to see how far off I'm from that.

To be reasonable, I will be averaging my ranking from game #518 to #528.

Comments

  • 3 years ago

    yassermahdy

    No, because that would be disapointing!

    But realisticly, the 52% is all time average, I was playing people who are more in the 1200's when I started, then 1300's, and so on. So, If I take, say the last 100 games, which repreasent more my ranking now, it should be a little better than that. That's why.

  • 3 years ago

    checkmayte

    You can do mine if you'd like....Wink

  • 3 years ago

    Teja

    Good show yasser and good luck. I don't know about Glenn but I wouldn't want mine calculated.  You might end up with a really weird looking graph.

  • 3 years ago

    roofer71

    to be more accurate ,should you not go with your true percentage ?

  • 3 years ago

    yassermahdy

    Do you want me to calculate yours?

     

    lol

  • 3 years ago

    checkmayte

    Very Interesting,  I am anxious to see if you are right.....Wink

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