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So is that counting wins only or draws too? 43% win rate seems too generous especially considering there's a 33.3% chance of win, lose, or draw as you have two sides and three possible outcomes. Or are lower rated games factored in too?
43% means below a drawing average of 50%. It does NOT mean white wins 43% of the time.
In order for there to be 33% wins, losses, and draws, the games would have to be completely chaotic and random. Instead, the stronger the play from both sides, the more likely the end result will be a draw (i.e. 50% performance if all games are drawn). On ICCF, the difference between a white opening having a 43% performance and lets say a 50% performance means there are very slightly more wins from the black side than there are for white. My own database requires a minimum of 2100 rating, though the vast chunk of games are from ratings 2200 to 2500 range. Above 2500 are also included, though by the time players reach that rating on ICCF, they have already learned to play the best performing moves in order to maximize their chances.
Chess openings are like refutations, they are only good if people know them. Case in point:
Obviously Qxb2?? is an horrible blunder
The Kings Gambit when played with no errors probably leads to a draw.
Many years ago Fisher wrote a "bust" to the Kings Gambit but he was wrong
John Shaw, in his very excellent book The Kings Gambit claims that this line in the Kings Gambit is "busted" 1. e4 e5 2. f4 exf4 3. Bc4 and the starting move for the "bust" is 3. Bc4 Nc6.
However, by "busted" Shaw does not mean Black loses. He means that in all lines Black gets at least a very slight advantage. But think about it, if you were to play an opening or a variation of an opening by White you would not want the best result to be a very slight advantage by Black.
In my test of the Kings Gambit, one player played 3. Bc4 and I replied Nc6 [per Shaw] and eventually got a very slight advantage and eventually won.
The lines for Black with an early d5 seem to lead to equal games.
If you wish to attempt to win with Black against the Kings Gambit my suggestion is to play this line: 1. e4 e5 2. f4 exf4 3. Nf3 g5! So far in my "test" I have won 5 out of 5 with 3. Nf3 g4! There are positional reasons why 3. Nf3 g5! might be the best line for Black.
If you wish to attempt to win with Black against the Kings Gambit my suggestion is to play this line: 1. e4 e5 2. f4 exf4 3. Nf3 g4! So far in my "test" I have won 5 out of 5 with 3. Nf3 g4! .
I thought you were playing White in all your test games, Ponz?
This is true for all openings. If both player make no mistakes, then it should be a draw. But we all know that perfect play is impossible, even correspondence games with many days to think+engines+db aren't all draws.
First I would like to apologize I have often been writing g4! instead of g5!
Goes back to my descriptive notation days I guess. I will correct.
In all the test games I am playing Black against the Kings Gambit.
So far 5 wins and 1 draw out of 9 games. I have learned quite a bit about the Kings Gambit in the last month.
It is true for all openings if they are "sound" There are some openings and gambits which are not sound.
Depnds how you define 'sound', I guess?
I would define "sound" as any opening [or gambit] where the other side cannot win with perfect play.
Depends how define "perfect play", I guess?....Your position is utterly subjective.
Well perfect play is making each time a move which gives you a fastest win in the won position and slowest draw/lose in the lost one
I too like playing against 3....g5. I ve won all games against it.
good for you. And how many games and against what competition?
I believe "sound" as a simple meaning... it is an opening that does not give a serious advantage to your opponent
Your definition of "sound" is reasonable. However, there are many definitions of a "sound" chess opening. Best when using the word "sound" to give the particular definition you are using. Otherwise you will be talking past each other.
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