10952 Players currently online!
Man vs. Machine - good luck!
Turn-based games at any time!
Vote for the best move to win!
Do you have what it takes?
Backgammon, Yatzy, and more!
Sharpen your tactical vision!
Get advice and game insights!
Learn from top players & pros!
View millions of master games!
Your virtual chess coach!
Perfect your opening moves!
Test your skills vs. computer!
Find the right private coach!
Can you solve it each day?
Bring it all together!
Beginners, start here!
Make friends & play team games!
News from the world of chess!
Search all Chess.com members!
Find local clubs & events!
Who's the best of your friends?
Read what members are saying!
Also, I don't see the point in calling it zero chance. There is a big difference between 0 and 0.000125, what is it you ask? Hope I say, a purpose for 1300 rated player to play harder and harder. What does 0 chance say? Just pack your things and leave, chess is for 2000+ only.
.000125 is 1 in 8000? I don't believe a 1300 will win one in 8000 agains a gm.
There are 1500 GMs, about, i think. Many of them play regular simuls to earn cash, if they are not at the top level it's one of the few ways "lesser" gms can earn some cash. There must be 1000's of games of GM's playing low rates. If a 1300 wins, that game will go viral, everybody will know about it. But it's not happening...... and we're not even talking about games in tournament conditions.
@ Dude_3 a.k.a the 10 year old kid who is correcting me.There was absolutely nothing wrong with my calculations! ... simply because I didn't make any. You are quite right though, my reasoning was flawed, the odds of tossing 100 heads are much greater than a random mover beating a GM. As I am a renowned genius, the only possible excuse would be that I was tired. :)Of course, the difference being the number of available permutations. With a coin throw we have a 0.5 probability on each 'move' of hitting the head, whereas we could estimate in every chess position there are on average around 30 bad moves which can be played, and maybe just a couple of moves of a high enough calibre to pose the GM a challenge.. i.e. a 0.07 probability on each move.
Maybe I should change the thing on my profile to say "uknown murderer"
The forum discussions would be a lot more interesting (Dude_3 aka the unkown murderer correcting me...)lol
This whole topic is just silly. Just because something is theoretically possible , it doesnt mean it can actually happen. It is theoretically possible to flip a coin 500 times in a row and have it come up heads each time. In reality entropy will reach maximum , the universe will go dark and end before something like this could happen.
If a 2700 player plays like a 2700 player there is no chance, none, zero, nada. Now if you want to suppose something silly like the 1300 player shoots the 2700 player and kills him in the middle of the game, then yeah the 1300 player will win.
If I was sleep deprived, drunk, distracted, not thinking clearly and generally off in the ozone, I still couldnt loose to a 1300 player and that is no disprespect to the 1300 player. Its kind of like all five foot six of me playing Lebron James in basketball and winning. Unless he gets hit by a bus forget about it.
PS. im talking about otb games. Online doesnt count for diddly.
Unfortunately, let Tails be T and Heads be H:
I threw a coin 18 times. The sequence THTTHHTHHHTTHTHTTH, in this order, have 1/(2^18) chance of appearing, but this was what has happened! So I don't buy your explanation either.
It is like choosing a random number out of a bag of numbers -10000000000000000000000 through 10000000000000000000000, w. the decimals to the 15th place, and be surprised when you pick out something because "there is only an extremely small chance of getting this number ________!!!!!!!"
There is still chance, yet not likely.
I think there is a chance.....said it before.....maybe the 2700 player is having a bad hair day!!!! hahahahahaha
Anand is rated around 2800, but he sporadically loses to players rated 2000 when ge gives simul exhibitions. But there's no way he'd lose to 1300, IMO... Even if he was playing without a queen to start with, he still should win.
The Universe is huge and old, and its only getting bigger and older. Anything that isn't strictly imposible has probably happened countless times already.Our planet orbits a single star, our star is 1 in a billion in our galaxy. Our galaxy is 1 in a billion in the observable universe. These are a drunken man's rough estimations, but the point remains. If it is possible, it happens. If an omniscient being had commented on the odds of this exact debate occuring in some far flung corner of the Universe countless millenia ago, he would have considered it close to zilch. Look at us now.
This discusstion is over, I've already written the huge 0'ed percent, want me to write it again?
Basically, you have a much better chance of living until you are 1000 than a 1300 beating a 2700 unless the 2700 is provisional or the 1300 is cheating.
Sure, everything is possible. Gather 1,000,000 monkeys, let them play 7,000,000 times against Houdini, and it's absolutely sure they will checkmate him in 17 moves in one game.
18 moves I could see, 17 moves... Pffffttttt
Surely one can do anything with his dedication and hardwork.
In india a small 7 yrs old unrated child have defeated a GM. Superb na. And now he is rated 2234 at just 9 yrs.
They were likely better than 1300 at unrated.
the typical 1300 could not beat a typical gm though. Great question. I wonder things like that myself. :)
This is called mythbuilding, at least outside India. There is no such player in the FIDE lists.
There is a big difference between 0 and 0.000125
Only in mathematical terms. In practical chess terms there is no difference.
Our planet orbits a single star, our star is 1 in a billion in our galaxy. Our galaxy is 1 in a billion in the observable universe.
Your estimates are a bit off. Our galaxy has somewhere between 200 billion and 400 billion stars, and the likely estimate of galaxies in the observable universe is close to the same number. The universe is around 13.75 billion years old, with an observable sphere diameter of close to 100 billion light years (expansion places galaxies much further away than we observe them).
Not to mention, our universe might be just on of a countless number of em.
possible i am rated 389 JCL but i defeated a 800~ player in an OTB tournament today (not to mention that my rating is now probably above 400
The Unknown Morphy: was he really that strong?
by DeadPoets a few minutes ago
what should i have done to convert to win
by MASS_ATTACKER a few minutes ago
The 1855 Official Staunton Chessmen Pictorial Review
by 9kick9 a few minutes ago
Question; why do so few people visit online blogs
by thegreat_patzer 6 minutes ago
My Official Staunton 1851 Reproduction Review
by QuestionableKnight 8 minutes ago
Playing 1. e4 as White
by Davidorcinus 8 minutes ago
9/1/2015 - Reinforcements
by prab_013 11 minutes ago
I need a free study plan
by Squishey 22 minutes ago
Dragon vs Najdorf
by Squishey 27 minutes ago
Where did I go wrong? English opening
by SKRCP 31 minutes ago
Why Join | Chess Topics |
Help & Support |
© 2015 Chess.com
• Chess - English
We are working hard to make Chess.com available in over 70 languages. Check back over the year as we develop the technology to add more, and we will try our best to notify you when your language is ready for translating!