Forums

Is there any chance that a 1300 rated player can beat a 2700 rated player?

Sort:
mdinnerspace

A time forfeit means a flag drop, right? Can not the other player resign and say he doesn't want the win under the circumstances?

verymaniacalkiwi

A 2700 will probably never, ever, lose to a 1300....

It will take an absolutely stupid blunder that the 1300 sees to win for the 1300. I am a 1700 or so, and can beat 1300 rated players on longer time controls with a knight or bishop down a lot of the time, so I cannot see how a 2700 playing as well as he can will ever lose to a 1300.

arcaneterrain
DrSpudnik wrote:

Was he on drugs?

I am not guaranteeing that he wasn't impaired as chessplayers are known for this at times. Laughing

thekillerlemon
Bitchis
Ziryab

After three years and over 3000 posts, we have been able to conclude that there is a chance. You have a better chance of riding a unicorn at the head of your own community's annual parade.

RG1951
KennethTanPteLtd wrote:

Yes, there is! Nothing is impossible.

Vast numbers of things are impossible.

Hacklover
mdinnerspace schreef:

If a player suffers a heart attack during a match and taken to the hospital, I assume he forfeits the match. The opponent has a +1 score even if about to be checkmated. Did he win the game? Rediculas question imo if a game would ever take place with a 1400 difference in rating in serious play. Pairing protocols make this impossible. Club games? Got a big enough bribe and the GM just lost the house at the poker tables, well maybe.

 This actually happened in the dutch league. A player was having a heart attack and the ambulance was called in. The ref immediately stopped all play as the team of which the player with the heart attack was were deemed in no condition to continue play and the host team agreed. The matches were later judged by a Gm hired by the dutch chess union. The match of player with the heart attack was ruled lost and the other matches were judged based on the standing when play stopped. 

DrSpudnik
mdinnerspace wrote:

A time forfeit means a flag drop, right? Can not the other player resign and say he doesn't want the win under the circumstances?

I suppose. But when money is on the line, it's unlikely.

mdinnerspace

mathematical "odds" are not proof of anything. Give 1 example Morra in 400 years of this upset happening, over the board, in tournament play. It simply would never happen, being the GM was of sound mind at the time of the match. Its like saying a runner with the fastest time of 20 secs in the 100 could win a race 1 in 3000 times vs a runner with a time of 10 secs. Sure it could happen, someone might trip and fall, but that is an absurd speculation.

I agree there is nothing to debate.

People argue the GM might hang his Queen and lose. Only if the 1300 player had several pieces and the GM had only pawns. This scenario would of course never happen, the game never reaching that stage. I can see the possibilty of the 1300 winning if the GM spotted a Queen at the start. still very unlikely.

The question is 2700 rating vs 1300.

C-Crusher

how to win against 2700+ GM 

1.Pay Him money

2.Ask him to resign.

Job well done.

mdinnerspace

I suggest Morra that the mathmatical system is basesd on probabilties. It gets projected to cover possible results. An alogrithm is used.  Numbers on a chalkboard. Not reality. Arpads system would assign a probabilty of a player rated 100 winning against a player rated 3000 as 1 in 10,000? or some other number. See the fallicy in your position?

Mathematical formulas can not always describe the real world.

I beg to differ about no one cares about the condition of the players. It would be quite absurd to discuss this if the GM were somehow severly impaired. Maybe Arpads formula took this variable into account, such as the odds of someone dropping dead at the table, although slim, is a possibilty.

DjonniDerevnja
mdinnerspace wrote:

I suggest Morra that the mathmatical system is basesd on probabilties. It gets projected to cover possible results. An alogrithm is used.  Numbers on a chalkboard. Not reality. Arpads system would assign a probabilty of a player rated 100 winning against a player rated 3000 as 1 in 10,000? or some other number. See the fallicy in your position?

Mathematical formulas can not always describe the real world.

I beg to differ about no one cares about the condition of the players. It would be quite absurd to discuss this if the GM were somehow severly impaired. Maybe Arpads formula took this variable into account, such as the odds of someone dropping dead at the table, although slim, is a possibilty.

I agree with you.

GM Serper wrote about the fiasco of Smyslovs stephson in the youth WC. He suffered from jetlag in Canada after beeing held back 12 hours in a inbetweenlanding in Denmark. Of course he underperformed.  There are rumours that Magnus Carlsen was so disappionted and upset that he slept poorly before the last day of the blitz WC, and the last day beame his worst in that tournament.  There are no doubt that GMs performs worse than their normal when they are less fit, for example because of sleeping too little, or illness.  

mdinnerspace

The system to rate players and assign + or - points for wins and losses is an excellent one. It is based on differences of 100, 200, 300, 400 etc. points. Wins, draws and loses are awarded points. I differ from Morra by saying at some point it breaks down.

A 1300 player sees a 2700 make a blunder. Asks a very legitimate question. Could they win a game vs a 2700 If such a blunder was made in a game vs the 1300?

I say no. A 1400 point difference is too great + the fact it is a 2700 player.

I make a few of assumptions. 1. The 2700 is of sound mind and body. 2. It is a rated game. 3. Both ratings are well established.

Let's draw the difference out. 100 vs 3000. The mathematical system using its algorithm will give let's say a 1 in million chanch. A chanch that will never happen. Ever. At some point mathematics does not describe reality.

My arguement is based that normal conditions exist. Of course hypothetical questions can ask what if this or that, such as being drunk etc. I see no point in discussing that.

mdinnerspace

Does this example apply? A spelling bee. A contest of learned and practiced mental skills. The best in the world vs someone in kindergarten. According to Morra there is a mathematical chanch the kindergarten kid can out spell the best, however high the odds may be. Using a mathematical system of percentages, odds can be established. It will never happen, not in this or any other universe.

I better make a stipulation, the kindergarten kid is of average ability and not a savant.

mdinnerspace

Players with 100 points lower rating win x amount of time. Players with 200 points lower win y amount of time. Players with 300 points lower win z amount of time. Ratings get established and points awarded for wins, draws and losses. A pattern gets established, a mathematical system is put into place accurately predicting results. It can be projected to 1000 point differences I suppose to some accuracy, but data starts getting very rare. 1400 point differences never happens in tournament pairings. There is no data to verify results. To say there is a 1 in 3163 chanch is not realistic imo. It is based on the alogrithm of 100, 200, 300 rating differences, projected out to 1400. Does not take into account the skill level of a 2700 player.

benbenn

It is possible because if a person has 2700 rating does NOT not mean he is good

mdinnerspace

Correct! Not good indeed. Just 1 of the best 20 in the world. Was probably a provisional rating.

Ziryab
mdinnerspace wrote:

Correct! Not good indeed. Just 1 of the best 20 in the world. Was probably a provisional rating.

At present, the top 42.

Rank Name Title Country Rating Games B-Year
 1  Carlsen, Magnus  g  NOR  2850  0  1990
 2  Topalov, Veselin  g  BUL  2803  14  1975
 3  Anand, Viswanathan  g  IND  2803  0  1969
 4  Kramnik, Vladimir  g  RUS  2796  11  1975
 5  Nakamura, Hikaru  g  USA  2793  23  1987
 6  Caruana, Fabiano  g  USA  2787  23  1992
 7  Aronian, Levon  g  ARM  2781  9  1982
 8  Ding, Liren  g  CHN  2781  8  1992
 9  Giri, Anish  g  NED  2778  18  1994
 10  So, Wesley  g  USA  2767  17  1993
 11  Karjakin, Sergey  g  RUS  2766  22  1990
 12  Vachier-Lagrave, Maxime  g  FRA  2765  16  1990
 13  Eljanov, Pavel  g  UKR  2753  12  1983
 14  Grischuk, Alexander  g  RUS  2750  13  1983
 15  Li, Chao b  g  CHN  2750  7  1989
 16  Wojtaszek, Radoslaw  g  POL  2748  17  1987
 17  Svidler, Peter  g  RUS  2745  21  1976
 18  Adams, Michael  g  ENG  2744  23  1971
 19  Harikrishna, P.  g  IND  2743  20  1986
 20  Mamedyarov, Shakhriyar  g  AZE  2743  16  1985
 21  Tomashevsky, Evgeny  g  RUS  2743  12  1987
 22  Radjabov, Teimour  g  AZE  2739  11  1987
 23  Wei, Yi  g  CHN  2737  10  1999
 24  Jakovenko, Dmitry  g  RUS  2735  14  1983
 25  Yu, Yangyi  g  CHN  2734  19  1994
 26  Andreikin, Dmitry  g  RUS  2732  15  1990
 27  Dominguez Perez, Leinier  g  CUB  2732  12  1983
 28  Gelfand, Boris  g  ISR  2731  7  1968
 29  Navara, David  g  CZE  2730  14  1985
 30  Wang, Yue  g  CHN  2729  7  1987
 31  Vitiugov, Nikita  g  RUS  2724  9  1987
 32  Ivanchuk, Vassily  g  UKR  2720  13  1969
 33  Le, Quang Liem  g  VIE  2718  22  1991
 34  Kryvoruchko, Yuriy  g  UKR  2717  7  1986
 35  Fressinet, Laurent  g  FRA  2712  13  1981
 36  Bu, Xiangzhi  g  CHN  2710  0  1985
 37  Ponomariov, Ruslan  g  UKR  2710  0  1983
 38  Korobov, Anton  g  UKR  2709  20  1985
 39  Leko, Peter  g  HUN  2708  13  1979
 40  Nepomniachtchi, Ian  g  RUS  2705  12  1990
 41  Kasimdzhanov, Rustam  g  UZB  2702  2  1979
 42  Wang, Hao  g  CHN  2700  13  1989
mdinnerspace

My bad.. Thanks! Nice list.

mdinnerspace

If only me! But not so sure. Got a weak ticker.