Last Round Baku 2008 Chances -- Gashimov, Wang, Carlsen and Manedyarov all have a chances to win. 

Here are the top 5 standings based on 4 possible results of the Gashimov and Wang games in the last round.

 The below standings are to show how the Sonneborn-Berger (SB) tie breaker score comes into play when Carlsen and Grischuk both win, draw, or lose combined with how Gashimov and Wong score.  If both Carlsen and Grischuk (currently tied with 7 points) don't score the same it is easy to figure out the standings.  Manedyarov is tied with both Carlsen and Grischuk but as he is playing Wang his score is a given when factored in with the 4 different scenarios of how Gashimov and Wang score.  This gives us the possibilities for the top 5.  Adams has 6 points but his SD would only be 37.75 with a win so the best he can do is 6th place.

Gashimov, Wang, Carlsen and Manedyarov have a change to win.

 

A) Gashimov win Wang win:

#1. Gashimov 8.5/50.25 #2. Wang 8.5/50.00 #3. Carlsen 8.0/45.75 #4. Grischuk 8.0/45.00 #5. Manedyarov 7.0/40.50 -- if Carlsen and Grischuk both win

or

#1. Gashimov 8.5/50.25 #2. Wang 8.5/50.00 #3. Carlsen 7.5/43.25 #4. Grischuk 7.5/42.25 #5. Manedyarov 7.0/40.50  -- if Carlsen and Grischuk both draw

or

#1. Gashimov 8.5/50.25 #2. Wang 8.5/50.00 #3. Carlsen 7.0/40.75 #4.Manedyarov 7.0/40.50 #5. Grischuk 7.0/39.50 -- if Carlsen and Grischuk lose

 

B) Gashimov win Wang lose:

#1. Gashimov 8.5/50.25 #2. Carlsen 8.0/45.75 #3. Grischuk 8.0/45.00 #4.Manedyarov 8.0/43.00 #5. Wang 7.5/43.00 -- if Carlsen and Grischuk both win

or

#1. Gashimov 8.5/50.25 #2. Manedyarov 8.0/43.00 #3. Carlsen 7.5/43.25 #4. Wang 7.5/43.00  #5. Grischuk 7.5/42.25 -- if Carlsen and Grischuk both draw

or

#1. Gashimov 8.5/50.25 #2. Manedyarov 8.0/43.00 #3. Wang 7.5/43.00 #4 Carlsen 7.0/40.75 #5. Grischuk 7.0/39.50 -- if Carlsen and Grischuk both lose

 

C) Gashimov lose Wang win:

#1. Wang 8.5/50.00 #2. Carlsen 8.0/45.75 #3. Grischuk 8.0/45.00 #4 Gashimove 7.5/44.25 #5 Manedyarov 7.0/40.50 -- if Carlsen and Grischuk both win

or

#1. Wang 8.5/50.00 #2 Gashimove 7.5/44.25 #3. Carlsen 7.5/43.25 #4. Grischuk 7.5/42.25 #5 Manedyarov 7.0/40.50 -- if Carlsen and Grischuk both draw

or

#1. Wang 8.5/50.00 #2 Gashimove 7.5/44.25 #3. Carlsen 7.0/40.75 #4.Manedyarov 7.0/40.50 #5. Grischuk 7.0/39.50 -- if Carlsen and Grischuk both lose

 

D) Gashimov lose Wang lose:

#1. Carlsen 8.0/45.75 #2. Grischuk 8.0/45.00 #3. Manedyarov 8.0/43.00 #4. Gashimov 7.5/44.25 #5. Wang 7.5/43.00  -- if Carlsen and Grischuk both win

or

#1. Manedyarov 8.0/43.00 #2. Gashimov 7.5/44.25 #3. Carlsen 7.5/43.25 #4. Wang 7.5/43.00 #5 Grischuk 7.5/42.25  -- if Carlsen and Grischuk both draw

or

#1. Manedyarov 8.0/43.00 #2. Gashimov 7.5/44.25  #3. Wang 7.5/43.00 #4. Carlsen 7.0/40.75 #5. Grischuk 7.0/39.50 -- if Carlsen and Grischuk both lose

The Sonneborn-Berger (SB) tie breaker is calculated by adding the scores of the players they have defeated to half the scores of those they have drawn against.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neustadtl_score