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I have finally figured it out ! They often make moves and you try to see some meaningful sense into them and make a meaningful counter move, only to be confrontend by yet another unorthodox move. Before you know what is happening, the pieces are in a mess all over the board and luck, not strategy or tactics, wins the game. Doesn't happen all the time, but happened to me more than once.
That sounds like what I do somtimes...
Story of my life
That shouldn't be your problem. If you have a good plan against a player that makes unorthadox moves it won't really matter what he does.
I think the real reason why a 1600 would lose against a 1300 is because the 1600 could be kind of cocky, or being over confident and not thinking like they should have on their game.
Overconfidence and Inexperience are my two biggest issues.
Just missing one tactic can be the reason. If a player rated 300+ above me doesn't pay attention makes one bad move and loses a knight, bishop, rook or even a queen I will most likely win that game.
Making one bad move which you normally do not make happens, even gm's do make blunders so now and then.
I think it is just a matter of statistics. The quality of moves a chess player plays is variable, so really good players can lose to lower rated players because of the variability in the quality of play. Higher rated players tend to be more consistent, but no one is perfectly consistent.
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