I predict that Hikaru Nakamura is going to win
Candidates 2016 Your Bet is here
The bookmakers give Naka as favourite. In my opinion Naka, Cauana and Giri are very good players but it'll be their first candidate tournament.
Karjakin and Aronian are best placed as play/experience. Anand is the top experienced, then Topalov and Svidler.
Even if he's not the strongest I bet on Karjakin first, Aronian second, Giri third..
Akright, so here is my best guess:
1. Caruana - really want this to happen
2. Aronian - smart and strong player
3. Anand - he will be well prepared
4. Giri - very stong but not a tournament winner
5. Svidler - he seems to have good results lately
6. Naka - nerves will betray him
7. Karjakin - the eternal talent
8. Topalov - still suffering from toiletgate guilt (or bad karma?)
1. Caruana- the time has come!
2. Anand- eternal rivalry with Carlsen
3. Aronian- good player all-around
4.Naka- World Blitz Champ, U.S Champ, great at tactics...
5. Karjakin- will show good results
6. Giri- okayish player(for a Candidate, that is)
7. Topalov- not last twice, but his time is over
8. Svidler- random good russian, although all russians are good
Sergey Karjakin wants this more than anyone and he will win it in Moscow. Putin is behind him 100% as well. His youth, genius and conditioning will be the difference.
May I ask why everyone thinks Caruana will win? Sure, he had arguably the best tournament in history at the 2014 Sinquefield Cup, but since then his performances haven't been particularly impressive compared to the rest of the Candidates' pool.
macer75 wrote:
May I ask why everyone thinks Caruana will win? Sure, he had arguably the best tournament in history at the 2014 Sinquefield Cup, but since then his performances haven't been particularly impressive compared to the rest of the Candidates' pool.
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I picked him to win because he's shown what he can do when he gets on a hot streak as in the Sinquefield, and he had a good result at Tata Steel recently.
Why are you picking Giri to win?
Why are you picking Giri to win?
Rock-solid over the past year; narrowly lost the Grand Chess Tour to Carlsen.
"May I ask why everyone thinks Caruana will win?"
Non-conspiracy reason: Nakamura has a terrible record with Carlsen, Aronian is past his prime, don't want to see another Anand bashing, Giri needs more time in order to play for winning a tournament (maybe 2018), Topalov and Svidler will eventually crack. This leaves Caruana and Karjakin. I think Karjakin will slip up if he manages to tie Caruana.
Well... Nakamura's record against Carlsen is irrelevant in the Candidates' Tournament (as is Anand's potential score in the championship if he wins). And from my predictions I obviously disagree with the assessment about Giri. Otherwise, though, I tend to agree with your comments on the rest of the players.
1 Giri
2 Aronian
3 Carauna
Its truly a toss up between these guys, IMHO.
4 Nakamura
5 Svidler
6 Karjakin
These three are possible but not likely
Topa and Anand's day has come (and gone)...
My bet:
1º Caru 2º Karjakin 3º Naka 4º Aronian
5º Giri 6º Vishy 7º Svidler 8º Topa
the forecasts predict a very even tournament, i believe it too, in this stage Karjakin is one of the favourites.
Topalov has nothing to lose, he will risk t00 much and you can see the most likely prediction, the last position .
Giri is trying t0 change his opening repertoire in the last tournaments, trying to be more agressive player. Probably it´s not the time to make this, so his natural position is 5º.
The old legends Vishy and Svidler are old, so they are not decent players anymore in a big event like this. 7º and 8 º.
Nakamura , what can i say ab0ut our idol? I think he will start really well, the leader in the first 8 rounds. But in an even tournament everything is possible and Naka is very unlucky when Carlsson is watching y0u .
Caruana is the next challenger, why? The destiny is written, don´t ask me why, we saw in the last 2 candidates tournaments. Anand had to win in 2013 because s0me gods wanted the revenge, Carlsen won in 2011 because he was rank n º1 , but with normal tie-breaks , in a normal event ( it was bizarre in 2011, the norweigan w0n with 2 goals in the extra-time , l0sing with Svidler and Kramnik loosing with Ivanchuk ) Kramnik would have been the winner.