@chessplayersuper
Its not just any match it is THE match. i suspect croatia fan
Anyone can lose at speed chess. OTB Standard time controls are different than speed. If Magnus is given a short enough amount of time and a 1300 long enough, results could be handicapped to 50-50. But that’s not chess, it’s handicapped time controls. Big difference than OTB standard where a 1300 would have ZERO chance.
In a one or two minute game there is a serious chance that a GM flags. In a G/120 with a second time control there is literally zero chance.
Players rated 1300 on-line can be very good players who just mess around. I’m 2020USCF and my online rating is like 1400-1600. So online ratings don’t mean anything. However, a competitive tournament rating of 1300 means a player still lacks certain basic tactical understanding.
2200 OTB players understand all of these tactics but fall victim to these tactics by 2400 & 2500 who outmaneuver them.
2700 players eat 2500 players for lunch.
So the answer is 0.000000000%
If you guys want to argue this point further it might be better to ask “What’s the chance a 2000 player can beat a 2700?”
((I know a lot about chess, seriously... and I’m absolutely sure I CAN NOT draw one of these guys. No way. It’s simply not possible. But, what are a 2000-2100 odds against a 2700?
1 in 10,000,000?
1 in 100,000,000?
Even this: http://www.petke.info/RndChess/ totally random playing chess engine can win 2700 rated player.
because the question is if REAL 1300 (not messing around, but plays really as strong as 1300, not more) can win REAL 2700 (the same not messing around). I mean, the game they play stronger player should play on 2700 level of play and 1300 should play on 1300 level play.
As for me it's impossible to win, playing true 1300 level of play to beat someone playing true 2700 level of play.
I googled this the other day and found a chart that shows the % chance of winning when the difference in ratings is a certain amount. It basically breaks down to...
Because 2700-1300 = 1400 point difference, which falls into the category of that last bullet, the chances of the 2700 winning are 100%.
Excellent chances to win, unless he wakes up.
xDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD you are killing it on every topic mate
Maybe a game here and there but if you’re talking about playing over 30 matches you’re not going to have more wins than they will against you.
I googled this the other day and found a chart that shows the % chance of winning when the difference in ratings is a certain amount. It basically breaks down to...
Because 2700-1300 = 1400 point difference, which falls into the category of that last bullet, the chances of the 2700 winning are 100%.
Those numbers are taken from statistical data; that's probability based on statistics; which is not exactly the same as probability based on mathematics. The 1300 could mathematically stand a non-zero chance; similar to if you put enough monkeys in a room full of typewriters one of them is bound to write King Lear.
No doubt, Person could forget game