إعلان

After a grueling 11 rounds and more than one year, bmrazu prevails. Congratulations.

Players currently over 1600: 4 of 100

Timeouts in round 11: 1 of 2 (50%)

Timeouts in tournament: 26 of 304 (8.6%)

Duration of round 11: 2011 09 08 to 2011 11 06 = 59 days

Duration of tournament: 2010 10 17 to 2011 11 06 = 385 days

Average duration of the 11 completed rounds: 385/11 = 35.0 days

Thank you all for participating.

98 players eliminated, 1 to go.

Players currently over 1600: 4 of 100

Active players over 1600: 2 of 2

Timeouts in round 10: 1 of 4 (25%)

Timeouts in tournament so far: 25 of 302 (8.3%)

Duration of round X: 2011 08 20 to 2011 09 08 = 19 days

Duration of tournament so far: 2010 10 17 to 2011 09 08 = 326 days

Average duration of the 10 completed rounds: 326/10 = 32.6 days

Number of rounds to complete tournament: 11

Estimated duration of tournament: 32.6 days times 11 rounds = 359 days (2011 10 11).

96 players eliminated, 3 to go.

Players currently over 1600: 4 of 100

Active players over 1600: 2 of 4

Timeouts in round 9: 1 of 4 (25%)

Timeouts in tournament so far: 24 of 298 (8.1%)

Duration of round 9: 2011 07 11 to 2011 08 20 = 40 days

Duration of tournament so far: 2010 10 17 to 2011 08 20 = 307 days

Average duration of the 9 completed rounds: 307/9 = 34.1 days

Minimum number of rounds to complete tournament: 11

Estimated duration of tournament: 307/9 days times 11 rounds = 375 days (2011 10 27).

95 players eliminated, 4 to go.

Players currently over 1600: 2 of 100

Active players over 1600: 1 of 5

Timeouts in round 8: 0 of 6 (0%)

Timeouts in tournament so far: 23 of 294 (7.8%)

Duration of round 8: 2011 06 13 to 2011 07 11 = 28 days

Duration of tournament so far: 2010 10 17 to 201 07 11 = 267 days

Average duration of the 8 completed rounds: 267/8 = 33.375 days

Minimum number of rounds to complete tournament: 10

Estimated minimum duration of tournament: 267/8 days times 10 rounds = 334 days (2011 09 16).

PanagiotisAndrikopou is the middle ranked player for the third time in a row. Through no fault of his own it has been an easy ride.

93 players eliminated, 6 to go.

Players currently over 1600: 2 of 100

Active players over 1600: 2 of 7

Timeouts in round 7: 0 of 10 (0%)

Timeouts in tournament so far: 23 of 288 (8.0%)

Duration of round 7: 2011 05 22 to 2010 06 13 = 22 days

Duration of tournament so far: 2010 10 17 to 2010 06 13 = 239 days

Average duration of the 7 completed rounds: 239/7 = 34.1 days

Minimum number of rounds to complete tournament: 10

Estimated minimum duration of tournament: 239/7 days times 10 rounds = 341 days (2011 09 23)

Only two players eliminated. Not surprisingly there is a repeat bye for the middle rated player. More unusual are the two repeated pairings.

89 players eliminated, 10 to go.

Players currently over 1600: 3 of 100

Active players over 1600: 3 of 11

Timeouts in round 6: 0 of 12 (0.0%)

Timeouts in tournament so far: 23 of 278 (8.3%)

Duration of round 6: 2011 05 05 to  2011 05 22 = 17 days

Duration of tournament so far: 2010 10 17 to 2011 05 22 = 217 days

Average duration of the 6 completed rounds: 217/6 = 36.2 days

Estimated number of rounds to complete tournament: 10

Estimated duration of tournament: 217/6 days times 10 rounds = 362 days (2011 10 14)

87 players eliminated, 12 to go.

Players currently over 1600: 4 of 100

Active players over 1600: 4 of 13

Timeouts in round 5: 1 of 22 (4.5%)

Timeouts in tournament so far: 23 of 266 (8.6%)

Duration of round 5: 2011 02 21 to 2011 05 05 = 73 days

Duration of tournament so far: 2010 10 17 to 2011 05 05 = 200 days

Average duration of the X completed rounds: 200/5 = 40 days

Estimated number of rounds: 8 or 9

Estimated duration of tournament:

 - 40 days times 8 rounds = 320 days (2011 09 02)

 - 40 days times 9 rounds = 360 days (2011 10 12)

78 players eliminated, 21 to go.

Players currently over 1600: 2 of 100 

Active players over 1600: 1 of 22

Timeouts in round 4: 3 of 30 (10.0%)

Timeouts in tournament so far: 22 of 244 (9.0%)

Duration of round 4: 2011 01 21 to 2011 02 21 = 31 days

Duration of tournament so far: 2010 10 17 to 2011 02 21 = 127 days

Average duration of the 4 completed rounds: 127/4 = 31.75 days

Estimated number of rounds: 8 to 9

Estimated duration of tournament:

 - 31.75 days times 8 rounds = 254 days (2011 06 28)

 - 31.75 days times 9 rounds = 286 days (2011 07 30)

Fourth round without a bye. Everybody plays.

Players currently over 1600: 1 of 100

Active players over 1600: 1 of 30

Timeouts in round three: 7/44 (15.9%)

Timeouts in tournament so far: 19/214 (8.9%)

Duration of round three: 2010 12 17 to 2011 01 21 = 35 days

Average duration of three completed rounds: 96/3 = 32 days

With an estimated five rounds to go the estimated finish date is 2011 06 30

5 rounds X 32 days = 160 days

Almost as many were eliminated in round two as in round one.

Players currently over 1600: 0 of 100

Timeouts in round one: 5/100 (5.0%)

Timeouts in round two: 7/70 (10.0%)

Timeouts in tournament so far: 12/170 (7.1%)

Duration of round one: 2010 10 17 to 2010 11 18  = 32 days

Duration of round two: 2010 11 18 to 2010 12 17 = 29 days

Average duration of two completed rounds: 61/2 = 30.5 days

Many underdogs have moved on to the second round. It is probably a record that with only 30 players eliminated. It is almost guaranteed to be at least a 9-rounder.

Here are some examples of similar tournaments:

With 33 players eliminated in round one, these tournaments are currently in round 7 of at least 9 rounds.

- http://www.chess.com/tournaments/pairings.html?id=8301&round=7

- http://www.chess.com/tournaments/pairings.html?id=16041&round=7

With 40 or more players eliminated in round one these tournaments are currently in round 8 of at least 9 rounds.

- http://www.chess.com/tournaments/pairings.html?id=11134&round=8

- http://www.chess.com/tournaments/pairings.html?id=8042&round=8

Timeouts in round 1: 5 of 100 (5%)

Duration of round 1: 2010 10 17 to 2010 11 18  = 32

That reluctant 100th player is here, so let's go.

Good games to all.