I have no doubt I am running on beginners luck. I don’t think I’m bad, but I’m definitely not good… yet. Hopefully I will get there in a couple years.
It is definitely hard to tell when I do good or someone else makes a mistake. The learning curve is step. I think I’ll be fine if I stay below 1200, I’m never going to be a master. But I’d like to think I didn’t half ass it. I’d rather try and fail then fail to try.
I never got to 800. It started me there. I am only there out of luck. Ive had to start restricting to because it keeps putting me against much higher ranked people. I loose less when I loose and gain more when I win.
I get the basics aren’t law. But it feels like they should provide some consistency. I am fine being a bad player, as long and I am consistent. It’s odd betting someone 1000 then loosing to someone lower to me.
And I don’t know how true this is, but I’ve heard that 1500-2500 players tend to break those principles more but master level return to the basics a lot more. It sounds cool at least.
I see now that you haven't played too many games, so your rating is not completely established, but it is getting there. If you stay there for a while, you are 800 on merit, regardless on where you started.
The way it works is that in the beginning, rating shifts will be great for winning and losing (like +/- 200 or something like that), and in the end it will be +/-8 against similarly rated opposition, when you play some games. So if you remain there after playing regularly for some time, it will not be due to luck.
It is not odd to lose against lower rated people and win better players, it is just statistics. We are not robots, and chess is a game where a simple bad move means that you can lose to much weaker player. It is not basketball where you have a turnover and it is only a simple lost possession. Here you make a bad move, and the game can be over.
I lost to some sub 1 000 players in unrated games I played. It doesn't happen often, but it happens. On the other hand, I have wins against better players than myself.
If you are for instance 800 rated, it doesn't mean that you will win automatically every game against 600 rated player. It means that you will have (on average) 7.5 points out of 10. And against 1000 rated players you will on average score 2.5 points.
For instance IM Eric Rosen lost due to back rank mate to someone on lichess ranked below 1 000. It is easy to switch off when you expect to win. It happens sometimes.
As for breaking principles. Well, I don't know. I follow them a lot, but if I see material I will go for it, or if I see a reason to play f3 or f4 I will go for it. So, I am not breaking them too much, one have to develop fast in most cases in order to not be lost, but there will be some concrete moves where you need to do something.
One thing is certain, 2 500+ people know a lot of things. They are either titled players, or at the very least very strong untitled players.
They understand openings they play, plus they have memorized some moves along with it. I understand some things and just by playing games and reviewing them I have memorized some moves here and there (more for sharper openings which I do not play a lot), but generally I am far far away from some extensive opening knowledge. I follow principles and break them where I thing situation demands it.
What I have noticed in my games against let's say 1 000 - 1 200 rated people is that a lot of them break principles in a sense that they start developing and then they go for an unsound but overly aggressive move. This can work sometimes as nobody likes to be attacked, but this kind of play can hinder development in the long run. It is hope chess.
But it is interesting as you see some point to their play because it will not always backfire and sometime you might lose horribly if you are playing completely passively.