Which file gets the most pawn promotions?

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lchiban

Is there any statistics or study that shows which file is more likely to get a pawn promotion?? A lot of the endgames I watched from GMs get promotions from the B and G files. What do you guys think?

BigManArkhangelsk

I don't know, but my guess is the H or A pawns.

alex_0_9

I guess the b or g pawns

macer75
lchiban wrote:

Is there any statistics or study that shows which file is more likely to get a pawn promotion?? A lot of the endgames I watched from GMs get promotions from the B and G files. What do you guys think?

That would definitely be an interesting study. But to clarify - are you talking about the pawn's starting rank, or the rank on which the pawn gets promoted? I think it's the latter, but I want to make sure (and the former is also pretty interesting to consider).

lchiban
macer75 wrote:
lchiban wrote:

Is there any statistics or study that shows which file is more likely to get a pawn promotion?? A lot of the endgames I watched from GMs get promotions from the B and G files. What do you guys think?

That would definitely be an interesting study. But to clarify - are you talking about the pawn's starting rank, or the rank on which the pawn gets promoted? I think it's the latter, but I want to make sure (and the former is also pretty interesting to consider).

Both actually. Where it started and which file it got its promotion. It would definitely be an interesting study.

Tom_Brady_SB49_Champ

It would be interesting but I doubt it would mean much.

macer75

Something else to consider is that often times players will resign when they see that they cannot stop their opponent from promoting a pawn. Would that count as a promotion for the purposes of the hypothetical study? And what about situations where one side has two passed pawns, and the opponent can stop either one, but not both. Say black resigns in this position:

(black to move) 

How would you count that? 1/2 of a promotion for both pawns?

aln67

Yes, this is a statistical study, thus this sort of situations will sum up and give something sensible.

whirlwind2011

I have thought on this topic before as I have observed games, and I have noted that the c- and h-files have tended to lead most often to Pawn promotions, although I have no hard data to support this.

Wolf183

I searched my database with Chess Assistant, finding all games where promotion  occurred on each file. The database has almost 5.37 million games so you can get a sense of how often promotions happen even with the issues of multiple promotions and prior resignation mentioned above.

 

  a b c d e f g h   Total
                     
White 30777 27375 26676 26544 21049 21422 17422 20041   191306
                     
% Total 16.1% 14.3% 13.9% 13.9% 11.0% 11.2% 9.1% 10.5%   100.0%
                     
Black 27184 24717 23673 21776 19458 18965 15656 17793   169222
                     
% Total 16.1% 14.6% 14.0% 12.9% 11.5% 11.2% 9.3% 10.5%   100.0%
SilentKnighte5

I would've guessed the a and c-files.  Looks like the right answer is basically "the queenside".