can magnus cross 5000 elo

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Avatar of Knight098

NO

Avatar of madhacker

I think FIDE ratings have a 95% expectancy cutoff, i.e. if MC plays a player rated 1400 he still is officially only expected to win 95% of the time, and would actually gain something like 0.5 of a rating point for winning. Hence if he wanted to perhaps he could sandbag his way to 5000 by arranging and winning some 4000-odd games against total fish Cool

Avatar of Scottrf

I have a feeling it's 0.7. But I also have a feeling that he would be banned by FIDE before reaching 5000...

Avatar of raphaelniu
ponz111 wrote:

He could write 5000 elo on the sidewalk and walk over it and cross 5000 elo

hillarious

Avatar of MSC157

But he would need to win 426 games in a row...

Avatar of TetsuoShima
madhacker wrote:

I think FIDE ratings have a 95% expectancy cutoff, i.e. if MC plays a player rated 1400 he still is officially only expected to win 95% of the time, and would actually gain something like 0.5 of a rating point for winning. Hence if he wanted to perhaps he could sandbag his way to 5000 by arranging and winning some 4000-odd games against total fish

how many rating points would he lose if the unthinkable think happened and his opponent draws??

Avatar of spriteboi

honestly, i think magnus can do it.

Avatar of StickerFish1

Magnus barely can exceed his direct peers with 100 elo points, except if his name was Magnufish then it's another debate.

Avatar of Saknik

Magnus is just 3600 or something... I guess he can make it. But I bet he will be at the age of 80 and never play again.

But i don't think it is smart to kill a day like that..