Caruana will DESTROY Carlsen

change my mind

Make me.

At classic time control Carlsen has won 10 games against Caruana versus Caruana’s 5. In 2018 they’ve played four classic, one won by Carlsen and three draws. At least one of those draws (in the GRENKE tournament) Carlsen should probably have won with black, Caruana just about managed to hold on with white. Caruana has had a very good 2018 in terms of winning round robin tournaments, but he’s mostly done that by beating players other than Carlsen, while his head-to-head record with the world champion still isn’t great. I think the head-to-head is more relevant to predicting the match result. There’s also the possibility that Caruana has peaked to early with those tournament wins.

Overall I predict a narrow Carlsen victory, but I don’t think either player will be destroyed. (And if one of them is I suspect it will be Caruana.)

SPOLIER ALERT!!

Oops, too late.