Does winning involve any luck ?

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jingylima-OLD

If your opponent is tired or sleepy or played an opening you recently memorisised then yes, i think luck is involved.

Rasparovov

two players with the same rating wouldn't draw every game..

fburton
Atomic_Rift wrote:

Some people may think they're lucky when they beat a 1700 player! :)

So a 1400 player beats a 1700 player... What is the reason for that, if not luck? Surely if both were playing to their skill rating, the 1700 should beat the 1400?

x-5058622868

Others have posted that ratings is about the probability of one rating winning against another person of a different rating.

qrayons

Chess is nothing but a game of pure luck. When you make a blunder, it’s because your opponent was lucky. If all your moves are good then that doesn’t mean you are a good player, it just means that your opponent wasn’t lucky enough for you to make a blunder. 

fabelhaft

http://chess.eusa.ed.ac.uk/Chess/Trivia/Chessluck.html

bigpoison
netzach wrote:

To put things another way enjoy chess-games that are battle/tussle with opponent but gain little satisfaction by the ones that are won due to blunder/timeout.

Chess like all great games should be a battle of skill not other factors.

Ha!  All great games have some luck involved.  Luck and chance are two different things.

If it's a human endeavor, luck plays an important role.

bigpoison
bean_Fischer wrote:
netzach wrote:

To put things another way enjoy chess-games that are battle/tussle with opponent but gain little satisfaction by the ones that are won due to blunder/timeout.

Chess like all great games should be a battle of skill not other factors.

The other factors are there whether they exist or not.

Before electricity was invented, electron had been there. Before steam engine was invented, steam had been abundance. Before fire making was discovered, fire had existed long before.

Electricity wasn't "invented", dude.

Senator-Blutarsky
NobbyCapeTown wrote:

I have had a discussion with my opponent during a relaxing 3 day game, where in the end phases we were down by 33/33 and I commented that winning, to some degree, also involves luck, as otherwise any game between equal players would be a draw. He denied this and claims that all wins are due to talent and strategy. Any comments from the peanut gallery ?

http://s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/cdn0.virgin.com/uploads/images/story/quote_prepare-16857.jpg

Well, I'm with the Virgin on this one.

Krestez

The fact that your opponent makes a mistake is indeed lucky for you but you still need to know how to punish it.

1500BlitzByMay

I wrote a several paragraph, definition based, stringent reply to this over the course of an hour and a half, pressed 'preview' and it was all gone because a new post had appeared in the meantime and the post wasn't saved.

heister

Bob, if that should happen again, use the back button on your browser and repost.

kiwi-inactive

http://www.chess.com/blog/kiwi_overtherainbow/good-chess-bad-chess---good-luck-bad-luck

fabelhaft

Even at the highest level there is an element of luck involved. At the Candidates Ivanchuk for example spent all his time very early in both his games against Aronian and lost on time, while he played at his best in his games against Kramnik and Carlsen. Kramnik played the Berlin against Grischuk, an opening he has used for many years without ever winning a game with it, and in a position that was well analysed and extremely drawish Grischuk just spent all his time and blundered away the game with seconds on the clock. In the Beijing tournament Gelfand was in no trouble against Giri, but forgot about his clock and lost on time.

I think it was Tarrasch who constructed some sort of luck table to try to prove that Lasker won his games by luck while Tarrasch himself was the more deserved winner. Now this is going a bit too far, but some things that happen during games are connected to coincidences that can't be affected by oneself. A player can have prepared a strong novelty for many weeks and who plays into it is partly a result of coincidences. Another player may have been unable to sleep one night and plays much below his usual level the following round, etc.

LoveYouSoMuch

yeah, i agree with fabelhaft.

some don't like to call it "luck" (ie, kiwi :P). can we call the eventuality of having unpredictable favorable/unfavorable events something else? :P

fburton

Why some people don't like to call it luck is what interests me.

1500BlitzByMay
heister wrote:

Bob, if that should happen again, use the back button on your browser and repost.

I tried that, but the posting field was still blank. I know it works on most forums. I should've Ctrl+Ced it before posting.

xc0s

hilarious

fabelhaft
fburton wrote:

Why some people don't like to call it luck is what interests me.

Yes, I never understand that either, maybe it has to do with some sort of thinking that every single chess result must be somehow 100% "scientific". But you can never do anything yourself about Ivanchuk or Gelfand forgetting about the clock before their 40th and losing on time in a position that can't be lost in some other way. If it happens you have been lucky, simple as that. Just like in some other less obvious cases. This obviously doesn't make chess some sort of roulette style game though.

fburton
fabelhaft wrote:
This obviously doesn't make chess some sort of roulette style game though.

No indeed. With chess the "dice" aren't on a green baize table; they are inside the players' heads along with all the skillful stuff.

(Aw craps, I'm thinking about another game, but you get the point.)