Is there such thing as "luck" in chess?

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DiogenesDue
LeeEuler wrote:

I notice you are still unable to directly answer the question

I won't explain why water is wet to you, either. This oft-used science-denier style of tactic, i.e. asking pedantic questions repeatedly and then claiming that someone must know they are wrong if they do not spend an order of magnitude more time explaining the obvious back to you, is disingenuous.

If this is all you've got, then we're at an impasse. Oh wait, the impasse is the same one that already existed when you bumped the thread...

There's nothing here now that was not already hashed out to the Nth degree in the previous 200 pages.

Reaskali
DiogenesDue wrote:
GabGarbage wrote:

Yes there is such thing as luck in chess. If you see the best move then yes. If you are too blind to see the best move, then blame your luck.

"Seeing the best move" or not is the very definition of skill (or lack thereof), not luck. Being "too blind" = lack of skill. Any decision made that has an element of skill in terms of game design is a skill-based endeavor, and a lack of skill or an element of uncertainty due to lack of knowledge is not luck. Uncertain outcomes do not just translate to "luck". Making guesses and getting an uncertain outcome from one of both players' decisions is an expression of their skill levels and to the degree that they fail, that displays a lack of skill, not some perception of "luck" rushing in to fill some void. If you make a guess in Trivial Pursuit on the question "What French leader ended his life on Saint Helena?" and you guess "Napoleon" rather than "Louis the XIV" because they are the only two you remember, that is skill, knowing the two leaders in the first place is an expression of skill (knowledge), and having some vague notion that Louis the XIV probably did not die in exile on an island is an expression of skill. Even if you "randomly" guess between the two and cannot articulate why, it is not actually random, your intuition has a basis, unless you actually flip a coin and introduce a randomized element.

The idea of luck you are talking about is the broadest definition, and is subjective. In game design, subjective perception of luck in not useful. Only completely randomized game elements are "luck", within the construct of a game's design and function. Luck that you experience externally (like eating a bad burrito, or getting a bad pairing in a tournament...tournaments rules also not being a part of chess, but added on top) in not luck *in* the game of chess you are playing.

Of course, this is an interpretation, but the difference is that one side's interpretation is based on some smattering of actuarial sciences/statistics, and the other is based on college level game design courses from Wharton and UCSCE.

Try Puzzle battle and you will see whether luck is dependable or not.

DiogenesDue
GabGarbage wrote:

Try Puzzle battle and you will see whether luck is dependable or not.

Non-sequitur. Nobody here is discussing whether luck is dependable.

DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:
DiogenesDue wrote:
Optimissed wrote:

I invite anyone to report post #3977, which is verbal abuse. The Staff has encouraged me to report all abusive threads and they will be able to take action.

Starting a campaign for posters to report someone is a violation of the TOS.

It isn't a campaign. It's regarding verbal abuse which has just occurred and which should be reported if we are to be able to have discussions here without constantly encountering further verbal abuse and evasion of arguments. I'm pointing it out to those who are unaware of that. I invite you to report me.

Highlight and explain where any of my posts cross a line into verbal abuse. Keep in mind how many times you have been muted for your insults, and try to avoid sounding hypocritical...

Slayerofbishopsandqueens
Another day another person on chess.com starting drama
DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

If you don't know, I'm not going to try to explain. I'm not an hypocrite and I've been muted a few times for falling foul of the bots. I would say that I've never, ever, initiated any exchanges of insults on Chess.com.

Why is there so much hate in you? It's almost sad to see it.

I'll try to remind you of this laugher the next time you go after some poster who did nothing but disagree with you and call them "*diot", "*mbecile", etc.

Pegusu

The only luck in chess is if your opponent keeps making blunder after blunder and you get to reap the benefits. In regards to one's own game, I would have to say no. Hi, @Optimissed!

Pegusu
Optimissed wrote:

Hello Pegasu. Have you never moved a piece to a square you didn't intend and had rejected, only to find it was a superb move??

You know, I HAVE done that - the accidental checkmate!

DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

I quite simply don't need ever to do that and I never have done that. I do, however, firmly believe those epithets apply to you, not as an insult but as an observation. Something causes you to look for fights. It's all you ever want to do. Perhaps you deliberately answer people in an unintelligent way, sometimes, in order to exasperate them. My opinion, though, is that you aren't actually capable of framing an argument.

Talking to you isn't worth the bother. You seem to like to talk to me though. You trying to learn something in between your insults?

Lol. Proof positive that your memory is failing. It's because of you that "*diot" even got added to the filter list...which a number of posters are not very happy about, but the mods seem to prefer passive measures to confrontation.

I didn't come in here looking for you...it's the reverse. You do seem to keep offering to teach/mentor people...but nobody's buying.

DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

Calumny means misrepresentation. I don't think I've ever encountered a more sly, devious and fundamentally dishonest person online. You never give a straight answer when you can try to confuse someone and look clever and you don't understand that it reflects on you, not on other people. Anyone with any sense can tell what you're doing and only the likes of Elroch are oblivious to it. He blocked me after you started insulting me. I know it's just a conspiracy to drive people he doesn't have the ability to argue against off his threads and he uses you for that. That's twice in quick succession so I know it isn't a coincidence. It's deliberate. That you come looking for trouble outside Elroch's protection means that your problem's becoming worse. I genuinely don't know whether it's right or wrong to tell people they're certifiable when they are so crazy they are obviously harming others and are a danger to themselves. What do you think?

Get over it. All of this is your own delusional narrative. You keep pushing it, but somehow nobody is boarding your bus. Why do you think that is?

idilis
Fezzik wrote:

The short answer is "yes".

Do this thought experiment: Have Houdini play 50 games against Rybka. Try to predict the outcome of each game before they start. Houdini will win the match, but there's no way to predict which games it will in advance.

This randomness is "luck". It's why we need longer matches to determine the better player!

How the mighty had fallen.

@fezzik

The old timers might remember how this account was so respected until it was closed for cheating.

Don't even know why I had to mention that ...

Just luck maybe

LeeEuler
DiogenesDue wrote:
LeeEuler wrote:

I notice you are still unable to directly answer the question

I won't explain why water is wet to you, either. This oft-used science-denier style of tactic, i.e. asking pedantic questions repeatedly and then claiming that someone must know they are wrong if they do not spend an order of magnitude more time explaining the obvious back to you, is disingenuous.

If this is all you've got, then we're at an impasse. Oh wait, the impasse is the same one that already existed when you bumped the thread...

There's nothing here now that was not already hashed out to the Nth degree in the previous 200 pages.

Still no answer for a 4th time.

For those who don't want to scroll, the reason the simple question "what makes a coin flip a randomizing event (other than 'me/my friends decree it so')?" is not being answered is because doing so would immediately characterize chess as containing elements of luck.

This is why the most vocal proponent of determinism has failed: his argument is an appeal to unknown authority, whereas the argument for luck in chess is based on a falsifiable mathematical reality. And in general, business students know their limitations well enough to know they're over their heads when talking with the hard scientists, hence (what I predict to be) the continued avoidance of the simple question above

ungewichtet
DiogenesDue wrote:

There's no luck (meaning luck as a game designer uses it) inherent to an instance of a game of chess, unless you purposefully choose moves at random...which is not "playing chess".

If you are unable to determine the right continuation out of two outstanding candidate moves and your intuition, that has given you these two candidates, favours neither, it is natural to purposefully choose a move at random. So, is that an instance of a game of chess where there is luck inherent to?

Now you'd reply it is lack of skill, which is not part of the game itself. For example, better players in the same position would not have had to choose randomly. Quotes are your quotes from a few posts ago (#3957 now).

"(..) [A]n element of uncertainty due to lack of knowledge is not luck." "Making guesses and getting an uncertain outcome (..) is an expression of [the players'] skill levels and to the degree that they fail, that displays a lack of skill, not some perception of "luck" rushing in to fill some void."

The void is our lack of skill. It is filled by moves. These do not choose themselves. Chess does not unfold by existence of its rules, we need to play. Our imagination and our intuition often face voids- I believe it is most common during games of chess, at any level. We have to play on to find out what our candidates are good for. So the voids we fill ourselves, but some perception of luck may well be rushing into or out of our games right there. (I'd even say we have developed and will develop imagination and intuition by playing such random moves. Getting lucky or unlucky are necessary to getting better/staying good and thus are both fine- we can be very happy with the state of affairs).

"Only completely randomized game elements are "luck", within the construct of a game's design and function".

Chess implicitly has actors, or agents, the players of the pieces. Chess has to be explored. The affordances of chess in relation to our capabilities make for a game beyond the grasp of our imagination and intuition, by that again letting us grasp. Unlike Tic-Tac-Toe, which, once you know how, is like a mantra or a ritual or a passtime, chess remains a game for us. For all of us. A game where we find ourselves as inbuild fortune wheels, randomizers, coin tosses. This is just due to our lack of skill happy.png

DiogenesDue
LeeEuler wrote:
DiogenesDue wrote:
LeeEuler wrote:

I notice you are still unable to directly answer the question

I won't explain why water is wet to you, either. This oft-used science-denier style of tactic, i.e. asking pedantic questions repeatedly and then claiming that someone must know they are wrong if they do not spend an order of magnitude more time explaining the obvious back to you, is disingenuous.

If this is all you've got, then we're at an impasse. Oh wait, the impasse is the same one that already existed when you bumped the thread...

There's nothing here now that was not already hashed out to the Nth degree in the previous 200 pages.

Still no answer for a 4th time.

For those who don't want to scroll, the reason the simple question "what makes a coin flip a randomizing event (other than 'me/my friends decree it so')?" is not being answered is because doing so would immediately characterize chess as containing elements of luck.

This is why the most vocal proponent of determinism has failed: his argument is an appeal to unknown authority, whereas the argument for luck in chess is based on a falsifiable mathematical reality. And in general, business students know their limitations well enough to know they're over their heads when talking with the hard scientists, hence (what I predict to be) the continued avoidance of the simple question above

If you have already got your argument all lined up ("is not being answered is because doing so would immediately characterize chess as containing elements of luck"), why even bother asking? Just make your argument. You don't need my permission.

If you ask most people around the world "hey, we need to choose an answer to this yes/no question randomly, what are some good ways to do that?" you know full well what the most common answer will be, so characterizing this as something only "me and my friends" believe is not really credible.

HandsomeDesert

I mean, it is random if you are black or white. So yeah.

You might be more comfortable of one

DiogenesDue
ungewichtet wrote:

If you are unable to determine the right continuation out of two outstanding candidate moves and your intuition, that has given you these two candidates, favours neither, it is natural to purposefully choose a move at random. So, is that an instance of a game of chess where there is luck inherent to?

The choice, unless determined solely by a randomizing mechanism, is *not* random. The fact that you might *claim* you choose randomly is irrelevant...you did not choose randomly. You chose based on some criteria, whether you can articulate it or not. 

Now you'd reply it is lack of skill, which is not part of the game itself.

No, I would not.

For example, better players in the same position would not have had to choose randomly. Quotes are your quotes from a few posts ago (#3957 now).

"(..) [A]n element of uncertainty due to lack of knowledge is not luck." "Making guesses and getting an uncertain outcome (..) is an expression of [the players'] skill levels and to the degree that they fail, that displays a lack of skill, not some perception of "luck" rushing in to fill some void."

The void is our lack of skill. It is filled by moves. These do not choose themselves. Chess does not unfold by existence of its rules, we need to play. Our imagination and our intuition often face voids- I believe it is most common during games of chess, at any level. We have to play on to find out what our candidates are good for. So the voids we fill ourselves, but some perception of luck may well be rushing into or out of our games right there. (I'd even say we have developed and will develop imagination and intuition by playing random moves. Getting lucky or unlucky are necessary to getting better/staying good and thus are both fine- we can be very happy with the state of affairs).

"Only completely randomized game elements are "luck", within the construct of a game's design and function".

Chess implicitly has actors, or agents, the players of the pieces. Chess has to be explored. The affordances of chess in relation to our capabilities make for a game beyond the grasp of our imagination and intuition, by that again letting us grasp. Unlike Tic-Tac-Toe, which, once you know how, is like a mantra or a ritual or a passtime, chess remains a game for us. For all of us. A game where we find ourselves as inbuild fortune wheels, randomizers, coin tosses. This is just due to our lack of skill

Chess, once solved, would be exactly like Tic Tac Toe. The fact that human beings cannot know all the outcomes does not transform lack of knowledge and skill into luck. Complexity and unknown outcomes does not equate to luck.

The only luck inherent to the game of chess is the initial selection of color. The simplest thought experiment to confirm this:

If two perfect players existed and played a series of chess games, then every game would either be drawn, or won (depending no whether chess is proven to be a forced draw or not) by the appropriate color. There would be no surprises, ever, because in the case of perfect knowledge, *there is no luck or variation of any kind beyond color choice to affect the outcome of a perfectly played game of chess*.

ScaryChickens

There is no such thing as luck in Chess what the heck is this thread?

ChessGM_31

yeah we can have mr. Albert Einstein play against IDK me and Einstein doesn't know how to play chess

HandsomeDesert
CHESSGOAT310000000 wrote:

yeah we can have mr. Albert Einstein play against IDK me and Einstein doesn't know how to play chess

Actually Albert Einstein knew how to play chess-

DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

He's obviously crazy but it's worse than that. "If this is all you've got" and calling you disingenuous are the tactics of desperation. Endless dishonesty isn't going to produce an agreement. Maybe we should start another thread on the subject and block him because all he wants to do is dominate any discussion and generate spam to cover up all the arguments. His version of spam is reflecting arguments back and pretending they mean the opposite of what they mean. And pretending we are deluded and he's intelligent is the best one.

I know it irks you that you are blocked from so many of the more serious discussion threads, but eye for an eye is not really going to work for you in this regard. I don't pretend you are deluded, nor do I *claim* to be more intelligent...that's your schtick, not mine.

Show, don't tell.