Is there such thing as "luck" in chess?

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Avatar of Ubik42
Were trying.

I can’t remember if they determined if the bats actually remembered individuals, but interesting either way.

Then the bats said to heck with this altruism stuff let’s cook up some covid..
Avatar of x-3232926362
Ziryab wrote:
Ubik42 wrote:
Ah altruism and evolution, I read a book on that 20-30 years ago.

Bats in caves, giving each other blood when one has had a bad hunt. They are trying to determine if bats remembered individuals to punish defectors. Interesting stuff.

 

Me too. That graduate course in anthropology was 30 years ago. Can't recall the title of the book.

The selfish gene by Richard Dawkins?

Avatar of Ubik42
I read all of Dawkins books I am pretty sure the bat story was in one, the ethics/altruism book was something else but I can remember who anymore.
Avatar of Ziryab

The course, ANTH 510 Advances in Anthropology was taught by four professors, each taking a quarter of the course. We had Geoff Gamble on cognitive linguistics; Grover Krantz on evolution; Tim Kohler on game theory; Fekri Hassan on cognition.

Krantz was notorious because he believed in Sasquatch and even had an ultralight helicopter he used for hunting the unseen beast. Another student asked once, "if you found Bigfoot, what would you do?" Without missing a beat nor lifting his eyes from the center of the table where he always looked (the seminar was held around a large conference table), Krantz said, "put him on the table and dissect him." A true man of science. Krantz became a Bigfoot believer because of a footprint he examined. The footprint exhibited bunions, which he thought couldn't be faked. As I understand, since he died, its been proven that you can.

Avatar of Ziryab
AntiMustard wrote:
Ziryab wrote:
Ubik42 wrote:
Ah altruism and evolution, I read a book on that 20-30 years ago.

Bats in caves, giving each other blood when one has had a bad hunt. They are trying to determine if bats remembered individuals to punish defectors. Interesting stuff.

 

Me too. That graduate course in anthropology was 30 years ago. Can't recall the title of the book.

The selfish gene by Richard Dawkins?

 

No. A book on game theory and altruism.

Dawkins was referenced, but no professor would assign in graduate school something everyone was expected to know before they got there.

Avatar of x-3232926362
Ziryab wrote:
AntiMustard wrote:
Ziryab wrote:
Ubik42 wrote:
Ah altruism and evolution, I read a book on that 20-30 years ago.

Bats in caves, giving each other blood when one has had a bad hunt. They are trying to determine if bats remembered individuals to punish defectors. Interesting stuff.

 

Me too. That graduate course in anthropology was 30 years ago. Can't recall the title of the book.

The selfish gene by Richard Dawkins?

 

No. A book on game theory and altruism.

Dawkins was referenced, but no professor would assign in graduate school something everyone was expected to know before they got there.

Sorry, never was an anthropology student happy.png

Avatar of SeeSusi
UVF02368 wrote:

Is there such thing as "luck" in the universe?

Let's spend a week in Vegas, and you will not only believe there is such a thing as "luck" but you will be positive I have not got any of it.

Avatar of Ziryab
AntiMustard wrote:
Ziryab wrote:
AntiMustard wrote:
Ziryab wrote:
Ubik42 wrote:
Ah altruism and evolution, I read a book on that 20-30 years ago.

Bats in caves, giving each other blood when one has had a bad hunt. They are trying to determine if bats remembered individuals to punish defectors. Interesting stuff.

 

Me too. That graduate course in anthropology was 30 years ago. Can't recall the title of the book.

The selfish gene by Richard Dawkins?

 

No. A book on game theory and altruism.

Dawkins was referenced, but no professor would assign in graduate school something everyone was expected to know before they got there.

Sorry, never was an anthropology student

 

It was my third area in graduate school. Literature and history were the primary areas. I represent myself as a historian because that is easier for most folks to understand than the dynamic interdisciplinary work my program focused on. It's also mostly what I've taught in the past thirty years. 

Avatar of Ziryab

An example of luck in online chess:

I was dead lost against a player whose performance was far above their rating level, but somehow their internet connection failed them. I won via disconnection.

Avatar of GhostNight

What I find amazing is this post started on May 14, 2021, I think the original poster played last game on Aug 2021, wonder if he is still here, Tresequis, of Mexico. Would he be surprised?  And Ziryab, and I both posted on the first page way back then, does time fly by!!!!  My wife was alive thentear.png

Avatar of Optimissed
Ziryab wrote:
Optimissed wrote:

I meant 39 Kf2 of course. Have you seen how I played it and could you improve on it after the B move? The B had to be moved, after all. I thought I was very slightly better with the four bishops on because I could maneuver, since I had slightly more space and indeed, my opponent blundered when only under slight pressure. I had worked out a method of penetrating his position but it wasn't necessary. But did the blunder lose?

 

I tried my line against Stockfish and reached almost the same position you had in the game, which ends as a draw. Further study, however, showed two moments where your opponent blundered you into a win, and you missed the chance.

44.Be6+- Not so easy to see, perhaps.
62.Kd8+- also wins

Thankyou, I'll check those. Openings and middlegame were always my strengths. Nowadays, middle game only and less so because as I age I start to miss more and more opportunities. On form I can play endings very well and very fast but it's a hit and miss thing and sometimes I struggle. Most of the time my endings are no better than so-so. I still hope to get to 2250 Daily but it may be tough. My best ever on C.c was 2225, back in the mists of time.

Avatar of Optimissed
AntiMustard wrote:
Optimissed wrote:

I'n not unfamiliar with game theory but you're speaking from a theoretical or ideal standpoint, regarding it. Game theory is, after all, a simplified, hypothetical analysis of game strategy but that isn't entirely useful where the calculations involved to calculate the best moves are often too difficult even for the most powerful computers in the World.

You are unfamiliar. The game theory is not about figuring out what the best decision is. It is not hypothetical or simplified or any sort of analysis of any particular game's strategy. It is a branch of mathematics that studies games in the most fundamental way possible. It does not concern itself with calculations involved in a chess game. But it does analyze games in terms of what kind of factors are important when it comes to making a decision and whether they are in control of the player or not (among many other things).

It isn't hypothetical? Pull the other one: to me, you seem very confused. happy.png What are your qualifications in mathematics?

Avatar of Optimissed
Ubik42 wrote:
You get banned for saying stuff someone can’t understand, I get banned for the opposite reason!

A Chess playing philosopher. Oh no.

Mostly deterministic but I have some sympathy for Daniel Dennett views on it, for the same reason I still want to say there are things with luck and things without it (in other words it becomes meaningless)

Harris, Dennett, Dawkins, Hitchens. Dennett was always my preferred one although he was guilty of lazy thinking at times and made a number of mistakes, in my opinion. But no philosophy professor is perfect and the other three were not philosophers and they also made far worse mistakes than Dennett. Yes, if you jump out of an aeroplane it isn't unlucky if you descend to Earth.

Avatar of Optimissed
AntiMustard wrote:
Optimissed wrote:

<<Also there's absolutely no randomness involved.>>

So for practical purposes that's incorrect. It's correct only in an idealised setting where the best decisions CAN be made.

It is correct, period. There's just no randomness in chess. Not being able to make the best decision is not caused by presence of randomness, but by a lack of skill.

In your opinion. But where the best computers cannot solve it, randomness is therefore involved.

Avatar of Ubik42
So say I’m in a game store looking at chess sets

Random Dude: “Ah chess. I don’t know anything about it.”

Me “I like it”

RD “Is there luck or chance involved”

M “Are you kidding? There is all kinds of luck. Pfft. Man. There was a whole forum thread on all the luck in chess. Whooo boy! It’s a crapshoot!”

RD “ah….well it’s not for me then. I prefer a strategy game without luck in it. I guess I’ll keep looking”
Avatar of Optimissed

@Antimustard Plato was an ideal realist who believed that the best definition of knowledge is a proposition which is confirmed, justified and true. However, that's a circular definition because we only think something is true if we consider it to be knowledge. We only think it's true because it's highly confirmed and justified. A real idealist thinks that the ideal is real, or at least, that's one definition of it. Your scenario where no randomness exists in chess is an ideal. In reality, since we have no known means of analysing chess exactly, we are bound to create our own randomness. It may not appear to be randomness. Indeed, it may seem to be determined according to how we react in various situations. However, a determinist cannot possibly prove that free choice doesn't exist. Or free will, if you want to think of it as that. Since we don't and can't understand all chess situations, ultimately some of our choices of moves are bound to be random, to some extent at least.

Avatar of Ziryab
Optimissed wrote:

@Antimustard Plato was an ideal realist who believed that the best definition of knowledge is a proposition which is confirmed, justified and true. However, that's a circular definition because we only think something is true if we consider it to be knowledge. We only think it's true because it's highly confirmed and justified. A real idealist thinks that the ideal is real, or at least, that's one definition of it. Your scenario where no randomness exists in chess is an ideal. In reality, since we have no known means of analysing chess exactly, we are bound to create our own randomness. It may not appear to be randomness. Indeed, it may seem to be determined according to how we react in various situations. However, a determinist cannot possibly prove that free choice doesn't exist. Or free will, if you want to think of it as that. Since we don't and can't understand all chess situations, ultimately some of our choices of moves are bound to be random, to some extent at least.

 

I'm looking at that table realizing I should have taken more philosophy courses. It seems that I  missed some nuances that Socrates was trying to communicate.

I've always wondered whether Socrates thought a chessboard and pieces were something real, or some futile effort to imitate the one that matters (where blindfold play takes place--and all true chess players play blindfold in their calculations).

Avatar of Ubik42
C’mon Coolout he doesn’t have ulterior motives everything is a conspiracy with you geez even when I agree with you I have to disagree lol.

I mean it’s technically correct there is some random chance involved I just think it’s being pedantic and useless to describe chess that way because you can apply that to every game and then the category of a luck game becomes meaningless.

I just call it a luck game where the rules provide for things like throwing dice or shuffling cards. The chance is intentionally built in.

As for free will…I just think of “Groundhog Day”. “Phil? Phil Conners? I thought that was you!” That’s how much free will I think you get.
Avatar of x-3232926362
Optimissed wrote:

It isn't hypothetical? Pull the other one: to me, you seem very confused. What are your qualifications in mathematics?

I have a PhD in engineering and took a lot of math back in college. I am also pretty much a math nerd, studied it on my own on and off all my life (including game theory).

I do not think I am the one who's confused.

Avatar of x-3232926362
Optimissed wrote:

@Antimustard Plato was an ideal realist who believed that the best definition of knowledge is a proposition which is confirmed, justified and true. However, that's a circular definition because we only think something is true if we consider it to be knowledge. We only think it's true because it's highly confirmed and justified. A real idealist thinks that the ideal is real, or at least, that's one definition of it. Your scenario where no randomness exists in chess is an ideal. In reality, since we have no known means of analysing chess exactly, we are bound to create our own randomness. It may not appear to be randomness. Indeed, it may seem to be determined according to how we react in various situations. However, a determinist cannot possibly prove that free choice doesn't exist. Or free will, if you want to think of it as that. Since we don't and can't understand all chess situations, ultimately some of our choices of moves are bound to be random, to some extent at least.

Maybe go a re-read my original post where I said that we first need to define what we mean by "luck." At the end of that post you'll see that I say that if you extent the notion of luck beyond game theoretical definition (like you do in this post), then sure, chess involves luck. But by the same logic everything else we do does. You're simply saying that luck is an essential component of human existence. If you put it this way, there's not much to argue about.