Is there such thing as "luck" in chess?

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mpaetz
btickler wrote:
mpaetz wrote:

     Yet the decisive element in an online chess game might be a storm that disables the electrical grid in one player's location, causing them to lose by abandonment. I am not claiming that chance is an integral part of every chess game. But no human activity is so perfect as to be immune to ANY unpredictable, unforseen, unplanned caprice of fate. So chess cannot be 100 percent free of luck

We're just arguing different definitions of what a chess game is.  I consider a chess game to be a logical construct comprised of the moves of the game.  If you pull a game out of a database and replay it, that's a chess game, a discrete instance of the game of chess, created with a set of rules that forms the bounds of what a game of chess is, stored in a non-physical format, because physical form is not required or part of a game of chess.  As such, all the external factors you call luck are happening to the players, and are not part of the game itself. 

You will not find any reference to Paul Morphy's upset stomach due to eating a bad burrito when you replay the Opera game.  And even if you did...avoiding foods that might mess up your game is a skill.  He won anyway.  Due to skill .

Running with the bad burrito...if two players arrive at a tournament and sit down for their game, and in time trouble one player has to run to the restroom because they arrived 90 seconds before the clock started, while the other is sitting comfortably having arrived 45 minutes early and taking care of business...that's not "bad luck" for the player with the bladder issues.  

     When you pull up the record of the "interrupted by electrical blackout" game you will find  1-0 (or 0-1), as the measure of who was the superior player in that game. We agree that that result is due to factors other than the players' skills.

     I consider who wins and who loses to be part of the game. In rare instances this is determined by random circumstances beyond the control of the players.

     Bad burritos or poor bladder control, etc are conditions of the individual players, as are superior opening knowledge or "brain farts" causing uncharacteristic blunders. These don't really meet my criteria as luck  in chess. Wins and losses not caused by the players themselves are another matter.

 

 

 

Ziryab
mpaetz wrote:
btickler wrote:
mpaetz wrote:

     Yet the decisive element in an online chess game might be a storm that disables the electrical grid in one player's location, causing them to lose by abandonment. I am not claiming that chance is an integral part of every chess game. But no human activity is so perfect as to be immune to ANY unpredictable, unforseen, unplanned caprice of fate. So chess cannot be 100 percent free of luck

We're just arguing different definitions of what a chess game is.  I consider a chess game to be a logical construct comprised of the moves of the game.  If you pull a game out of a database and replay it, that's a chess game, a discrete instance of the game of chess, created with a set of rules that forms the bounds of what a game of chess is, stored in a non-physical format, because physical form is not required or part of a game of chess.  As such, all the external factors you call luck are happening to the players, and are not part of the game itself. 

You will not find any reference to Paul Morphy's upset stomach due to eating a bad burrito when you replay the Opera game.  And even if you did...avoiding foods that might mess up your game is a skill.  He won anyway.  Due to skill .

Running with the bad burrito...if two players arrive at a tournament and sit down for their game, and in time trouble one player has to run to the restroom because they arrived 90 seconds before the clock started, while the other is sitting comfortably having arrived 45 minutes early and taking care of business...that's not "bad luck" for the player with the bladder issues.  

     When you pull up the record of the "interrupted by electrical blackout" game you will find  1-0 (or 0-1), as the measure of who was the superior player in that game. We agree that that result is due to factors other than the players' skills.

     I consider who wins and who loses to be part of the game. In rare instances this is determined by random circumstances beyond the control of the players.

     Bad burritos or poor bladder control, etc are conditions of the individual players, as are superior opening knowledge or "brain farts" causing uncharacteristic blunders. These don't really meet my criteria as luck  in chess. Wins and losses not caused by the players themselves are another matter.

 

 

 

 

Burritos and brain farts. Now we are getting somewhere.

Much better than three old guys in chairs on the sidewalk offering their views on the drama (a scene from Do The Right Thing—and you gotta appreciate how Spike Lee used the sunshine on the bricks when filming that scene).

Ziryab
byapoint wrote:

 

 

That's the scene! One of them. Spike Lee drew on the Oedipus plays in creating these three in the film.

Ya think those three men are named B, Lee, and Cool? So many words with so little impact.

Ziryab
CooloutAC wrote:
Ziryab wrote:
byapoint wrote:

 

 

That's the scene! One of them. Spike Lee drew on the Oedipus plays in creating these three in the film.

Ya think those three men are named B, Lee, and Cool? So many words with so little impact.

look in the mirror bud.  LOL but Ironically it seems to impact YOU.   👋

Also,  you might think it has no impact,  because you believe your powerless and your voice doesn't matter.   But it does.  The fact our life expectancy has been declining since the year trump took office,   the fact we have record suicides,  mass shootings and drug overdoses.    Is because the loudest voices nowadays online are poisoning minds.

 

You got a lot right here. All except the part about me.

You've got the same hat as one of the members of the chorus, too. Hits home doesn't it. BTW, I like your current photo.

Ziryab
CooloutAC wrote:
Ziryab wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
Ziryab wrote:
byapoint wrote:

 

 

That's the scene! One of them. Spike Lee drew on the Oedipus plays in creating these three in the film.

Ya think those three men are named B, Lee, and Cool? So many words with so little impact.

look in the mirror bud.  LOL but Ironically it seems to impact YOU.   👋

Also,  you might think it has no impact,  because you believe your powerless and your voice doesn't matter.   But it does.  The fact our life expectancy has been declining since the year trump took office,   the fact we have record suicides,  mass shootings and drug overdoses.    Is because the loudest voices nowadays online are poisoning minds.

 

You got a lot right here. All except the part about me.

You've got the same hat as one of the members of the chorus, too. Hits home doesn't it. BTW, I like your current photo.

Similar to how you poison this community by defending speedrunning,  calling speed chess not real chess,   saying society is not inept enough to understand the game,  or claiming chess is a sport but not treating it as such.
 

 

You have me confused with someone else. I've never said any of these things.

LeeEuler
CooloutAC wrote:
LeeEuler wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
LeeEuler wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
LeeEuler wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
LeeEuler wrote:

1)  wrong,  because no amount of skill can change the outcome on deal or no deal.   A distinction you either can't comprehend or ignore on purpose.

 

Nobody I've seen besides you, especially not any impartial source, defines or even insinuates that luck is the inability to improve upon something.

If I define a dog as "a four wheeled motor vehicle powered by an internal combustion engine", suddenly a Ford Focus is a dog. 

Just like when you define luck as "sucess or failure based on random chance rather then ones own actions, or not being able to increase ones chance of success with practice or knowledge" suddenly all kinds of things that do have elements of luck suddenly don't

 

nobody but you have I seen argue that luck and skill are the same thing 

I have obviously never argued this

Or present in everything including games with or without elements of luck by design.  lmao.  

I have given you countless links that gives evidence to show that the assumption that luck is present in everything humans do is the standard consensus opinion. Books dedicated to the topic, careers built around it.

And  So my definitions of luck and skill are wrong because I put them in the same sentence

Yes. Luck and skill are largely opposites. 

Which is the reason you just admitted fast intuition, reflexes and muscles memory are part of my skill set. Why? That isn't part of your definition of skill.   

Of course it fits my definition of skill, where do you get that idea that it doesn't? Quote and post number

 

1) so if you're the only one who ever argued this nonsense, according to your very arrogant and conceded reply.   Common among chessplayers just like being a walking contradiction is,   then  By your own logic your argument should be discarded since its not "reasonable"  or  "impartial".  

 

2)  Oh but here you are showing me that careers and books built around the subject of proving luck is in everything we do is proof they are right.   All the links you can't even explain in your own words,  just like you can't even explain your definitions of the words luck and skill.   Maybe their definition of luck is different.  Maybe they are cons.    What I gave you is the reasonable and impartial definitions of luck and skill.   In fact my definition of luck is the same as yours.   The problem is you deny and ignore them, and refuse to even show how they apply to chess.

3)  So now you say luck and skill are largely opposites,  but everything you do contradicts that because you can't even explain how they are different,  like I have done with my definitions that you call unreasonable.  

 

4)   Because by their very definition they are not planned actions,  which you call luck similar to a chess player making a move on the board he doesn't know is right or wrong.

"so if you're the only one who ever argued this nonsense"

You are replying to a post that says "I have obviously never argued this"

 

"Maybe their definition of luck is different.  Maybe they are cons."

Definitions are built around common consensus regarding their usage and meaning.  

 

"What I gave you is the reasonable and impartial definitions of luck and skill."

No, impartial does not mean "whatever coolout decides". No, reasonable does not mean "coolout's definition that is shared by nobody else".

 

"In fact my definition of luck is the same as yours."

So you are willing to define luck as exactly the following: "success or failure apparently brought by chance rather than through one's own actions."?

 

Please try to number the points.  Stop trying to have a dishonest debate.   

 

1)  you have argued this. 

No I haven't. Give the quote and post # where I ever said luck and skill are the same thing

This is why you can't tell the difference between deal or no deal,  and chess

I'm very clear on the difference. Deal Or No Deal is a luck-based game and chess is skills-based game. That does not mean that luck isn't a part of chess.

2)     Once again,  we have the same definition of luck.   And my defintion of skill you already admitted to when you admitted intution, reflexes and muscle memory etc is part of ones skill-set.     ALot different then your vague definition of "doing something well" 

I don't really agree-- intuition, reflexes, and muscle memory are all examples of abilities which help to do something well. What is your definition of skill now that we are in agreement on the definition of luck?

3)  thats exactly my definition of luck.  Now what you should do is google the definition of chance which is part of it,   as the occurrence and development of events in the absence of any obvious design.   This is something you constantly contradict by saying a player moving a chess piece on the board is luck no different then rolling dice. 

You are misinterpreting what I am saying. I am saying that just because an action causes an outcome (a person rolls a dice and it comes up 6; a player makes a series of moves and it ends in a victory), does not mean that we think of the outcome exclusively as being a result of the player's skill. That is not saying that moving a chess piece is no different than rolling dice.

 

1)  everytime you say outcome = skill + luck,  and then cite a game like deal or no deal  showing you don't know what the difference is, that is what is implied.    And if you then say deal or no deal is luck based but chess is skill based,  please tell me where the skill lies in elements of luck such as dice rolling,  receiving randomly shuffled cards or picking random prize boxes on deal or no deal.  According to you skill can affect the outcome?   nonsense because luck negates skill as you yourself admit they are opposites of each other.

 

2) You just now admitted they are all abilities to help you do something well.   That is your very definition of skill.   Detailing  the context is something you want to pretend changes the meaning.    Again showing you can't really differentiate between the luck and skill.  Because doint so means you already lost the argument.

 

3)  Thats exactly why I say that its not luck when skill affects the outcome.  refer to point 2.   You claim this is unreasonable.  And I claim you are disingenuous.   Similar to how skill doesn't affect a luck based game,   luck doesn't affect a skill based game.   Not within the confines  of the game.  Your lifes work based on outcome = skill + luck.  Is a lie even by your own admissions.  The problem is you're a walking contradiction and contrary to your belief,  YOU are the minority and not everyone is fooled by you.  The question implied by the OP to me is a commonly asked question and it implies there is a difference with chess compared to other games.   Everything you are discussing is outside of that,  confuses and complicates the issue and is irrelevant.   It comes from your inferiority and superiority complexes that must torment you.  It has taken over your life, literally according to you.    Your college degree,  your profession....   Its people like you that keep sports down.

 

 

 

Dear Coolout "I agree that you cannot parse luck from skill from a single move" AC,

1) "everytime you say outcome = skill + luck...that is what is implied [that I think luck and skill are the same thing]"

No it isn't. If I thought luck and skill were the same thing, I would just say outcome=skill or outcome=luck. 

"And if you then say deal or no deal is luck based but chess is skill based,  please tell me where the skill lies in elements of luck such as dice rolling"

There is no skill. I've already explained many times that I use things that are universally agreed upon to be luck, like rolling a dice, to help build intuition in those who are capable of thinking abstractly. You've already shown you aren't able to do so, and I've already explained that that's okay and that I'm doing it for the benefit of those that are.

2) You just now admitted they are all abilities to help you do something well. That is your very definition of skill.

No, not just now admit. Have always believed they are definitionally part of a player's skill set. As has consistently been the case with me and with others, you are imagining things we've claimed and arguing against that rather than the things we've actually said. If you want to actually address my belief, quote, meaning use quotation marks around the exact point you are addressing, from the following, which I gave in post # 799  "In the future, quote precisely from the below paragraph when thinking about my argument: 'Chess, and most games humans play, is skills-based with elements of luck built in by virtue of it's very design. That is to say, people can improve their performance by improving their skills, but that in any given position or any given game, it is fallacious to categorize one's results as being exclusively based on their skill relative to their opponent (since in any position, a player must make move, and since there is an associated prior distribution with any move).  This overly simplistic categorization ignores the randomness inherent in any non-deterministic system. As a proxy for where an activity sits on the luck-to-skill spectrum, one can look at the least upper bound for the number of trials needed to completely determine one's relative skill/competency at the activity' "

 

3) "Similar to how skill doesn't affect a luck based game, luck doesn't affect a skill based game."

You've already admitted that you view poker as having elements of luck...you don't think poker is a skills based game?

"outcome = skill + luck. Is a lie even by your own admissions"

There is no "admission" I've ever made that implies outcome = skill + luck is a lie. Are you doing your imagining again?

"YOU are the minority"

Do you know what minority means? I've given you countless links showing that many people in a variety of fields view luck as inherent to everything humans do.

"your inferiority and superiority complexes"

One can not have both an inferiority complex and superiority complex.

DiogenesDue
mpaetz wrote:

     When you pull up the record of the "interrupted by electrical blackout" game you will find  1-0 (or 0-1), as the measure of who was the superior player in that game. We agree that that result is due to factors other than the players' skills.

     I consider who wins and who loses to be part of the game. In rare instances this is determined by random circumstances beyond the control of the players.

     Bad burritos or poor bladder control, etc are conditions of the individual players, as are superior opening knowledge or "brain farts" causing uncharacteristic blunders. These don't really meet my criteria as luck  in chess. Wins and losses not caused by the players themselves are another matter.

Still not part of the game.  If a TD accidently recorded 0-1 for a game result instead of 1-0, would that be "luck"?  It would be the TD's error, and it would not be part of the game.  In the *actual* game, the result was 1-0.  For your online example, the server makes a ruling based on the clock and not getting input from your client device in time.  You get a loss, 0-1, due to limitations of the platform you are playing on and an arbitrary decision about how to resolve those limitations.  The actual game never finished.

I will also point out that clocks are part of tournament rules, and are not part of the game of chess itself.  They are an adjunct added on to make competitive events possible.

lfPatriotGames

Holy cow that's a lot of arguing over something as simple as luck in chess. 

I still think the game itself has almost no luck, it's a game of skill. But there are lots of things that can affect the outcome of the game where luck could intervene, such as slipping on a banana peel or sitting on the side of the board where the sun is in your eyes. 

Even still I don't think Ziryab is a stereotypical chess player. It would probably be quite entertaining to play against him. And with a little bit of luck, I might win. 

LeeEuler
CooloutAC wrote:
LeeEuler wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
LeeEuler wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
LeeEuler wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
LeeEuler wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
LeeEuler wrote:

1)  wrong,  because no amount of skill can change the outcome on deal or no deal.   A distinction you either can't comprehend or ignore on purpose.

 

Nobody I've seen besides you, especially not any impartial source, defines or even insinuates that luck is the inability to improve upon something.

If I define a dog as "a four wheeled motor vehicle powered by an internal combustion engine", suddenly a Ford Focus is a dog. 

Just like when you define luck as "sucess or failure based on random chance rather then ones own actions, or not being able to increase ones chance of success with practice or knowledge" suddenly all kinds of things that do have elements of luck suddenly don't

 

nobody but you have I seen argue that luck and skill are the same thing 

I have obviously never argued this

Or present in everything including games with or without elements of luck by design.  lmao.  

I have given you countless links that gives evidence to show that the assumption that luck is present in everything humans do is the standard consensus opinion. Books dedicated to the topic, careers built around it.

And  So my definitions of luck and skill are wrong because I put them in the same sentence

Yes. Luck and skill are largely opposites. 

Which is the reason you just admitted fast intuition, reflexes and muscles memory are part of my skill set. Why? That isn't part of your definition of skill.   

Of course it fits my definition of skill, where do you get that idea that it doesn't? Quote and post number

 

1) so if you're the only one who ever argued this nonsense, according to your very arrogant and conceded reply.   Common among chessplayers just like being a walking contradiction is,   then  By your own logic your argument should be discarded since its not "reasonable"  or  "impartial".  

 

2)  Oh but here you are showing me that careers and books built around the subject of proving luck is in everything we do is proof they are right.   All the links you can't even explain in your own words,  just like you can't even explain your definitions of the words luck and skill.   Maybe their definition of luck is different.  Maybe they are cons.    What I gave you is the reasonable and impartial definitions of luck and skill.   In fact my definition of luck is the same as yours.   The problem is you deny and ignore them, and refuse to even show how they apply to chess.

3)  So now you say luck and skill are largely opposites,  but everything you do contradicts that because you can't even explain how they are different,  like I have done with my definitions that you call unreasonable.  

 

4)   Because by their very definition they are not planned actions,  which you call luck similar to a chess player making a move on the board he doesn't know is right or wrong.

"so if you're the only one who ever argued this nonsense"

You are replying to a post that says "I have obviously never argued this"

 

"Maybe their definition of luck is different.  Maybe they are cons."

Definitions are built around common consensus regarding their usage and meaning.  

 

"What I gave you is the reasonable and impartial definitions of luck and skill."

No, impartial does not mean "whatever coolout decides". No, reasonable does not mean "coolout's definition that is shared by nobody else".

 

"In fact my definition of luck is the same as yours."

So you are willing to define luck as exactly the following: "success or failure apparently brought by chance rather than through one's own actions."?

 

Please try to number the points.  Stop trying to have a dishonest debate.   

 

1)  you have argued this. 

No I haven't. Give the quote and post # where I ever said luck and skill are the same thing

This is why you can't tell the difference between deal or no deal,  and chess

I'm very clear on the difference. Deal Or No Deal is a luck-based game and chess is skills-based game. That does not mean that luck isn't a part of chess.

2)     Once again,  we have the same definition of luck.   And my defintion of skill you already admitted to when you admitted intution, reflexes and muscle memory etc is part of ones skill-set.     ALot different then your vague definition of "doing something well" 

I don't really agree-- intuition, reflexes, and muscle memory are all examples of abilities which help to do something well. What is your definition of skill now that we are in agreement on the definition of luck?

3)  thats exactly my definition of luck.  Now what you should do is google the definition of chance which is part of it,   as the occurrence and development of events in the absence of any obvious design.   This is something you constantly contradict by saying a player moving a chess piece on the board is luck no different then rolling dice. 

You are misinterpreting what I am saying. I am saying that just because an action causes an outcome (a person rolls a dice and it comes up 6; a player makes a series of moves and it ends in a victory), does not mean that we think of the outcome exclusively as being a result of the player's skill. That is not saying that moving a chess piece is no different than rolling dice.

 

1)  everytime you say outcome = skill + luck,  and then cite a game like deal or no deal  showing you don't know what the difference is, that is what is implied.    And if you then say deal or no deal is luck based but chess is skill based,  please tell me where the skill lies in elements of luck such as dice rolling,  receiving randomly shuffled cards or picking random prize boxes on deal or no deal.  According to you skill can affect the outcome?   nonsense because luck negates skill as you yourself admit they are opposites of each other.

 

2) You just now admitted they are all abilities to help you do something well.   That is your very definition of skill.   Detailing  the context is something you want to pretend changes the meaning.    Again showing you can't really differentiate between the luck and skill.  Because doint so means you already lost the argument.

 

3)  Thats exactly why I say that its not luck when skill affects the outcome.  refer to point 2.   You claim this is unreasonable.  And I claim you are disingenuous.   Similar to how skill doesn't affect a luck based game,   luck doesn't affect a skill based game.   Not within the confines  of the game.  Your lifes work based on outcome = skill + luck.  Is a lie even by your own admissions.  The problem is you're a walking contradiction and contrary to your belief,  YOU are the minority and not everyone is fooled by you.  The question implied by the OP to me is a commonly asked question and it implies there is a difference with chess compared to other games.   Everything you are discussing is outside of that,  confuses and complicates the issue and is irrelevant.   It comes from your inferiority and superiority complexes that must torment you.  It has taken over your life, literally according to you.    Your college degree,  your profession....   Its people like you that keep sports down.

 

 

 

Dear Coolout "I agree that you cannot parse luck from skill from a single move" AC,

1) "everytime you say outcome = skill + luck...that is what is implied [that I think luck and skill are the same thing]"

No it isn't. If I thought luck and skill were the same thing, I would just say outcome=skill or outcome=luck. 

"And if you then say deal or no deal is luck based but chess is skill based,  please tell me where the skill lies in elements of luck such as dice rolling"

There is no skill. I've already explained many times that I use things that are universally agreed upon to be luck, like rolling a dice, to help build intuition in those who are capable of thinking abstractly. You've already shown you aren't able to do so, and I've already explained that that's okay and that I'm doing it for the benefit of those that are.

2) You just now admitted they are all abilities to help you do something well. That is your very definition of skill.

No, not just now admit. Have always believed they are definitionally part of a player's skill set. As has consistently been the case with me and with others, you are imagining things we've claimed and arguing against that rather than the things we've actually said. If you want to actually address my belief, quote, meaning use quotation marks around the exact point you are addressing, from the following, which I gave in post # 799  "In the future, quote precisely from the below paragraph when thinking about my argument: 'Chess, and most games humans play, is skills-based with elements of luck built in by virtue of it's very design. That is to say, people can improve their performance by improving their skills, but that in any given position or any given game, it is fallacious to categorize one's results as being exclusively based on their skill relative to their opponent (since in any position, a player must make move, and since there is an associated prior distribution with any move).  This overly simplistic categorization ignores the randomness inherent in any non-deterministic system. As a proxy for where an activity sits on the luck-to-skill spectrum, one can look at the least upper bound for the number of trials needed to completely determine one's relative skill/competency at the activity' "

 

3) "Similar to how skill doesn't affect a luck based game, luck doesn't affect a skill based game."

You've already admitted that you view poker as having elements of luck...you don't think poker is a skills based game?

"outcome = skill + luck. Is a lie even by your own admissions"

There is no "admission" I've ever made that implies outcome = skill + luck is a lie. Are you doing your imagining again?

"YOU are the minority"

Do you know what minority means? I've given you countless links showing that many people in a variety of fields view luck as inherent to everything humans do.

"your inferiority and superiority complexes"

One can not have both an inferiority complex and superiority complex.

1)  If there is no skill in deal or no deal,  then it is not outcome = skill + luck.   And the reason those examples you use are universally accepted as luck,  is for this very reason.  There are no similar elements in chess,  for this very reason.   That is the distinction and topic of this thread.  


2) If you agree with this,  why would you say then you "don't really agree"  and facetiously ask me to define it again?  Unlike you I quoted the whole thread,  so even I could go back now just to confirm how dishonest you are being.  

 

3)  Poker is a skill based game,   but skill does not affect the outcome of randomly dealt cards to increase ones chances of success,  because that is a true element of luck. Again,  something similar does not exist in chess.   There are no elements of luck in chess  And  Again, this is the topic of this thread,  and a distinction you clearly and dishonestly refuse to make for fear of losing an argument.

 

Dear Coolout "I agree that you cannot parse luck from skill from a single move" AC,

1) "if there is no skill in deal or no deal, then it is not outcome = skill + luck"

Did you know that a variable can take the value 0? 

 

2) "If you agree with this, why would you say then you 'don't really agree'"

You are referring to my post #1041, when I say "I don't really agree [that my definition of luck is a lot different than yours]-- intuition, reflexes, and muscle memory are all examples of abilities which help to do something well"

in response to you saying "And my defintion of skill you already admitted to when you admitted intution, reflexes and muscle memory etc is part of ones skill-set. ALot different then your vague definition of 'doing something well'".

Putting aside that that is not my definition (it's "the ability to do something well"), it is clear that I was saying that I don't agree that my definition is somehow different, because my definition categorizes all those things, intuition, reflexes, and muscle memory, as part of a skill set.

 

also 2) "facetiously ask me to define it again"

I wasn't being facetious, I genuinely didn't/don't know your definition of skill. In post #1040, you say that "thats ['success or failure apparently brought by chance rather than through one's own actions'] exactly my definition of luck". Can we have your exact definition of skill then for the record? Or are you saying it is just the second half of what you were repeating a while back "being able to increase ones chance of success with practice or knowledge"?

 

3) CooloutAC, post #835: "there is elements of luck in many games such as poker"

CooloutAC, post #1049: "luck doesn't affect a skill based game"

CooloutAC, post #1058: "Poker is a skill based game"

Ziryab
CooloutAC wrote:
Ziryab wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
Ziryab wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
Ziryab wrote:
byapoint wrote:

 

 

That's the scene! One of them. Spike Lee drew on the Oedipus plays in creating these three in the film.

Ya think those three men are named B, Lee, and Cool? So many words with so little impact.

look in the mirror bud.  LOL but Ironically it seems to impact YOU.   👋

Also,  you might think it has no impact,  because you believe your powerless and your voice doesn't matter.   But it does.  The fact our life expectancy has been declining since the year trump took office,   the fact we have record suicides,  mass shootings and drug overdoses.    Is because the loudest voices nowadays online are poisoning minds.

 

You got a lot right here. All except the part about me.

You've got the same hat as one of the members of the chorus, too. Hits home doesn't it. BTW, I like your current photo.

Similar to how you poison this community by defending speedrunning,  calling speed chess not real chess,   saying society is not inept enough to understand the game,  or claiming chess is a sport but not treating it as such.
 

 

You have me confused with someone else. I've never said any of these things.

We have a long history on these forums as you very well know.  Threads as long as this one on those very subjects you are denying you took sides on.    Even in this very thread you show yourself by claiming low rated players only win by luck.    You are the stereotypical chess player most of society does not want to associate with.

 

I'm not denying taking sides. I'm denying the specific claims that you attribute to me. I never said any of them.

I never said that you "only" win by luck. I have pointed out specific instances where you did. I focused my explanation on games where I won by luck.

Chess by design is a game of skill. But, that skill does not always match the depths and richness of the position. Sometimes even the very best must follow their intuition and their best guess. They may get lucky.

For instance, a couple of days ago I sacrificed a pawn simply to offer my opponent two ways to proceed, neither being the drawish rook maneuvers we had been doing for several moves. He chose a clearly wrong reply. But, even the better reply was dead lost. It took me a considerable investment of time in postgame analysis to see that even the move I thought retained near equality was dead lost.

My move was desperate effort to avoid a repetition. It turns out that it was far stronger than I imagined. There is an element of luck that I timed it perfectly.


BTW, you know nothing about how I treat chess as a sport. You know nothing about my social life away from this website (and very little about my life on this website). You are not in a position to make the ridiculous judgements that you offer.

Ziryab
lfPatriotGames wrote:

Holy cow that's a lot of arguing over something as simple as luck in chess. 

I still think the game itself has almost no luck, it's a game of skill. But there are lots of things that can affect the outcome of the game where luck could intervene, such as slipping on a banana peel or sitting on the side of the board where the sun is in your eyes. 

Even still I don't think Ziryab is a stereotypical chess player. It would probably be quite entertaining to play against him. And with a little bit of luck, I might win. 

 

Our blitz ratings are close to the same. My USCF is only a little more than 100 higher than you have listed (I list my peak, which is where I was in 2012). I think we could have some good games and your chances of winning would be very good.

Ziryab
CooloutAC wrote:
 

 

1) you literally said low skilled players win by luck,  attributing it to their low skill.   

 

Please quote me. You are really terrible at paraphrasing and summarizing. That's why you are always wrong when you credit me with beliefs and assertions that I have not made and do not hold.

stb1onlyforme

 I don't think luck has an effect on chess, if not anything to do with it. Luck would most likely be associated with something that is random and something you have no control over. In chess all you have is two players thoughts, Neither could be associated with getting "Lucky" 

Even as a bad player I can realize that luck is something that can't affect one players thoughts and actions...

(Excluding misclicks because thats just butter fingers) 

Ziryab
Optimissed wrote:
Ziryab wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
 

 

1) you literally said low skilled players win by luck,  attributing it to their low skill.   

 

Please quote me. You are really terrible at paraphrasing and summarizing. That's why you are always wrong when you credit me with beliefs and assertions that I have not made and do not hold.

That means that it isn't surprising you're always wrong because you haven't a clue what anyone means when they say anything. I find that harsh.

 

Sometimes when people are passionate about their own views they too easily misunderstand the views of others. This especially becomes a problem when they see the discussion in black and white terms and someone offers some gray.

I say, luck is a greater factor in the games of weak players. Coolout reads, he always wins by luck. Not the same thing.

He has a long pattern going back to the third day he was on this site of misconstruing almost everything I wrote. He joins discussions that were eight years old when he gets here and presumes that only what if written after he joined has any relevance.


senorpetirrojo

Of course there's luck in chess...If I drink 3 beers in a bar before doing my chess moves and then, just before I leave, my friend walks in and I end up having 3 more beers before I stagger home, forget about chess and sleep solidly until I'm sober...then I just got really lucky.

 

 

mpaetz
CooloutAC wrote:
mpaetz wrote:
btickler wrote:
mpaetz wrote:

     Yet the decisive element in an online chess game might be a storm that disables the electrical grid in one player's location, causing them to lose by abandonment. I am not claiming that chance is an integral part of every chess game. But no human activity is so perfect as to be immune to ANY unpredictable, unforseen, unplanned caprice of fate. So chess cannot be 100 percent free of luck

We're just arguing different definitions of what a chess game is.  I consider a chess game to be a logical construct comprised of the moves of the game.  If you pull a game out of a database and replay it, that's a chess game, a discrete instance of the game of chess, created with a set of rules that forms the bounds of what a game of chess is, stored in a non-physical format, because physical form is not required or part of a game of chess.  As such, all the external factors you call luck are happening to the players, and are not part of the game itself. 

You will not find any reference to Paul Morphy's upset stomach due to eating a bad burrito when you replay the Opera game.  And even if you did...avoiding foods that might mess up your game is a skill.  He won anyway.  Due to skill .

Running with the bad burrito...if two players arrive at a tournament and sit down for their game, and in time trouble one player has to run to the restroom because they arrived 90 seconds before the clock started, while the other is sitting comfortably having arrived 45 minutes early and taking care of business...that's not "bad luck" for the player with the bladder issues.  

     When you pull up the record of the "interrupted by electrical blackout" game you will find  1-0 (or 0-1), as the measure of who was the superior player in that game. We agree that that result is due to factors other than the players' skills.

     I consider who wins and who loses to be part of the game. In rare instances this is determined by random circumstances beyond the control of the players.

     Bad burritos or poor bladder control, etc are conditions of the individual players, as are superior opening knowledge or "brain farts" causing uncharacteristic blunders. These don't really meet my criteria as luck  in chess. Wins and losses not caused by the players themselves are another matter.

 

 

 

 

Noone is arguing with that.  The only thing one can argue is that those instances of luck are not elements of luck intended by game design and not part of the gameplay,  game mechanics etc..  such as other games like deal or no deal.   LeeEuler for some reason can't make this distinction between the two,  which is what the topic of this thread is otherwise the OP would of worded his question differently.  Although the the fact luck can affect anything in life doesn't even beg a question.

     This is all that I have been saying: once in a blue moon, despite what rules-makers intend, despite what tournament organizers plan, despite what the players do, the game is won/lost through a twist of fate. Nothing anyone did or intended mattered,  it was just luck--undeserved good luck for one player, undeserved bad luck for the other.

Ziryab
Ziryab wrote:

Chess by design is a game of skill. But, a players skill rarely matches the depths and richness of the position. Sometimes even the very best must follow their intuition and their best guess. They may get lucky.

For instance, a couple of days ago I sacrificed a pawn simply to offer my opponent two ways to proceed, neither being the drawish rook maneuvers we had been doing for several moves. He chose a clearly wrong reply. But, even the better reply was dead lost. It took me a considerable investment of time in postgame analysis to see that even the move I thought retained near equality was dead lost.

My move was desperate effort to avoid a repetition. It turns out that it was far stronger than I imagined. There is an element of luck that I timed it perfectly.

 

For a GM, my sacrifice may be routine. For me, it was a desperate act that involved superficial calculation. A beginner might play it as a blunder (failing to see that a pawn is offered).

Ziryab
CooloutAC wrote:
mpaetz wrote:

     This is all that I have been saying: once in a blue moon, despite what rules-makers intend, despite what tournament organizers plan, despite what the players do, the game is won/lost through a twist of fate. Nothing anyone did or intended mattered,  it was just luck--undeserved good luck for one player, undeserved bad luck for the other.


The problem is these occurrences are so rare they don't even deserve a mention, so rare one can't even use any examples that even apply  specifically to chess,  and especially since even when even hypothetically  stated or in theory they still are not within the game design themselves so could not be considered part of the game of chess,  which is an important distinction that separates chess from many other board games and which is the topic of this thread.

 

On this point, we agree.

Matters external to the game are separate from the luck inherent in the game itself because of its complexity. These external matters were mentioned on page one of this thread (years ago) and quickly separated from the crux of the issue.

Ziryab
CooloutAC wrote:
Ziryab wrote:
Ziryab wrote:

Chess by design is a game of skill. But, a players skill rarely matches the depths and richness of the position. Sometimes even the very best must follow their intuition and their best guess. They may get lucky.

For instance, a couple of days ago I sacrificed a pawn simply to offer my opponent two ways to proceed, neither being the drawish rook maneuvers we had been doing for several moves. He chose a clearly wrong reply. But, even the better reply was dead lost. It took me a considerable investment of time in postgame analysis to see that even the move I thought retained near equality was dead lost.

My move was desperate effort to avoid a repetition. It turns out that it was far stronger than I imagined. There is an element of luck that I timed it perfectly.

 

For a GM, my sacrifice may be routine. For me, it was a desperate act that involved superficial calculation. A beginner might play it as a blunder (failing to see that a pawn is offered).

calculation none the less which means it was not random chance and not due to anything other then your own action.  Such as randomly dealt cards or a dice roll.   To imply otherwise is uninformed.   

Which is apparent with Lee,  and which Optimissed rightly pointed out,  since we must have different definitions of the word luck or  we must  have a different interpretations of the question posed by the OP,  therefore we can not have an honest debate.

 Calculation?

The beginner’s calculation that fails to realize that a pawn is being given up?

My mis-calculation that considered only the exchange of pawns and believed that I was not gaining anything? Calculation that was wrong. Even the pawn exchange is winning.

A GM would see further in this position.

White to move

 

 

llama51

Oh wow, with the kind of hint I'm looking at d5 of course... and if that's the solution it's a pretty cool idea.

In a speed game I would have probably auto piloted Ra6-a5 f3 and then stopped to think.