Is there such thing as "luck" in chess?

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lfPatriotGames
CooloutAC wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
mpaetz wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:

 

I guess in the case of boxing it is not as rare for a boxer to die in the ring.  Although I've been watching boxing for many years and I have never seen it happen...  I'm willing to bet you and nobody you know ever have either.      So I still would not be willing to say it is part of the sport.   

     Something that happens during a boxing match isn't really part of boxing? This is like your theory that perfect games aren't part of baseball or setting world records isn't really part of track and field because these things are so rare.

     Besides, in boxing the participants ARE trying to physically damage each other.

 

But thats the point,  it doesn't happen during a boxing match.   Have you ever watched a boxing match and seen a boxer drop dead?  I can safely say,  nope.  never.  lol  Has it happened?   Sure,  but its so rare and unconnected its not part of the game.   Its also not part of the game design, or gameplay or game mechanics.

What do you mean it doesn't happen during a boxing match? The analogy was brought up about an amateur winning a boxing match if the professional drops dead of a heart attack. Very unlikely, but it's possible. And there are cases where boxers have in fact dropped dead of a heart attack, during the boxing match. 

If it happened during the match, it happened during the match. Why say it doesn't? Just because it's rare doesn't mean it doesn't happen. Nor does it mean it's not part of the event. You probably should have picked a better example, since injuries (even severe ones) ARE part of boxing. Injuries, to use your words, are by DESIGN, part of the sport. 

 

 

You've never seen it happen,  I've never seen it happen,  Mpaetz has never seen it happen.  I know i personally have watched 100s of boxing matches and its never been a part of any game that any person any of us even know to have watched one.      Just the fact it has happened before,  or is theoretically possible,  doesn't mean its common or expected.   Its also not part of the gameplay,  game mechanics or  game design.    The fact you ask this question,  given the fact you already lied about the cambridge definition,  is highly disingenuous.   Carry on trolling.

As Justin said, the topic. Which is luck in chess. To discuss that and compare, you compared it to boxing. You said heart attacks are not part of boxing. You also said these kinds of injuries do not happen during the boxing match. I don't know why you would say that when the opposite is true. It's merely bad luck on the part of the boxer who drops dead of a heart attack. 

And yes, injuries ARE part of the design of boxing. One could even say the design of chess includes luck. Because often someone (like me) will have no idea where to move. I might have two identical moves to choose from. I could literally toss a coin or otherwise randomly select a move. There is no skill in choosing between two things that are identical. If 40 moves later that move turned out to be good, that is what I would consider good luck. Because I used no skill, talent, or ability in choosing it.

lfPatriotGames
Optimissed wrote:

These claims you make don't need answering accurately and respectfully because they are the logical equivalent of "because erfp4er  gjg24ero ntu294it09ti5 ]09458   0909858t4kt". Someone who is so ideologically driven that they make such non-arguments is less honest than someone else who says "because I say so". The point is that in no case do you make a proper argument. You present disconnected facts and claim it's an argument instead. It's something some of your opponents are guilty of but it doesn't excuse you doing it.

This made me laugh. Not just because it's true, but because I was picturing you actually typing that. 

Sometimes what he says reminds me of the newscast scene in Bruce Almighty. With Evan Baxter trying to explain something. 

lfPatriotGames
lfPatriotGames wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
Optimissed wrote:

You haven't a clue what you're talking about. I have no idea why people take you seriously or want to persuade you or change your opinions.

 

Let me restate this important point for you since your head is probalby exploding.  This is for crazy patriots benefit too.   

" The difference with dice rolls,  is again no amount of skill can influence a successful outcome.  That is the point of saying the results of some "force"   rather then ones "own action"  or even better  "Ability"  as in the cambridge definition.     When you pull a slot machine lever,  are you saying the results are from your own action?  Absolutely not,  the slot machine is a randomizing device and the positive or negative outcome is not a result of your own action."

You can say it again, but I don't think it helps very much. It seems like you are trying to convince yourself, of something. There is a lot more luck in dice rolls than chess. But there is luck in both, and skill in both. My guess is there is probably as much luck in chess as there is skill in dice. Or maybe slightly more skill in dice than luck in chess. 

In dice skill can influence a successful outcome. But it takes a lot of skill, and it's a very small success. That's probably why casinos fill in those little holes on dice, so they are weighted perfectly. But even that doesn't prevent dice from being completely random (or luck or chance or whatever you want to call it). 

I'm posting this again for Coolouts convenience. Contrary to this belief that there is no skill in dice, isn't it true that experiments have been made and isn't it scientifically proven that skill IS a small determining factor in the results of dice rolls?

I think there is very little success in manipulating dice rolls, but there is some amount more than zero. Just like luck in chess. Very little, but an amount more than zero. 

lfPatriotGames

Why would manipulating the dice be considered cheating? So you are saying it's NOT true that skill is a small determining factor on the results of dice rolls? Shouldn't you at least find out before claiming that? 

I don't think it's that difficult to comprehend that dice is a game of chance, but there is a small amount of skill involved. Just as it's not difficult to comprehend chess is a game of skill, but there is a small amount of luck involved. 

LianGuiChiang7

There are good moves and bad moves and sometimes we choose the bad moves, some people will call that luck and others wouldn't

DiogenesDue
CooloutAC wrote:

Seems to be more common in older people who have been playing chess for years.   But i'm sure thats possible yes.  It could also just be that they are lying to themselves to support their flawed arguments lol.  Just like Patriot has done with her post on the cambridge definition of luck.     But the fact it happens so often in this community leads me to believe its a direct result of chess itself.

Occam's Razor applies.  If 15 people say 1 person is delusional and that 1 person says those 15 people are delusional, which is more likely the truth?

DiogenesDue
TsetseRoar wrote:

Well I would agree that it's a human perspective, because we get to define what words and concepts mean. But I would disagree with your personal conception of luck being the standard way most people understand it.

Because, if something being hypothetically calculable ruled out luck then, for example, if the universe is Deterministic we couldn't call someone lucky for winning the lottery. After all, the numbers that fall out of the machine would in principle be computable, even if no human or computer was capable of the feat. A hypothetical entity playing the lottery at "the highest skill level" would win every time.

Right now, we don't know for sure if the universe is Deterministic or not. So, following your definition through, we should throw up our hands and say we are not sure whether a lottery winner is lucky or not.

This isn't what people mean by luck though. The normal meaning of luck is just when events that you didn't predict go your way.

I don't really care what "people" mean by luck.  In the context of chess, I care what game designers mean by luck.  I did not say the universe is deterministic, that's a straw man on your part. 

There are random occurrences in the universe, but not in a game of chess once color selection is done.  A chess game is a logical construct that can exist inside our universe, or outside it.  No laws of physics required.  

Mugo345

"In my experience there is no such thing as luck" - Obi Wan Kenobi ( meaning wise mentor).

Mugo345

people refer to luck as having something good happen more than expected, or if not expected. really, winning is not luck. It just happenes. That's all.

DiogenesDue
CooloutAC wrote:

I think the problem here is like many people you don't understand that random chance,  doesn't mean random luck.   Random chance is only luck,  as per the definition you are ignoring,  when it results in  sucess or failure and is not the result of ones own actions, efforts or abilities.  

For example,  the only element of random chance in chess is the choosing of your colors.   But getting black or white doesn't mean a successful or failed outcome, because it depends on the players skill. We don't say black or white is inherently bad or good over the other.    So its simply a random chance,  but not good or bad luck.

You keep repeating this, but white has a demonstrably and well-documented higher win percentage than black by virtue of the first move advantage, so...reality check time.

Mugo345

Luck doesn't exist, because it is merely a subjective interpretation of past events, only after the outcome is apparent. As the outcome of a past event changes, the interpretation of that outcome could change from 'good' to 'bad'.

For example, imagine you wanted to go on a road trip with your friends, but the car was too small, so one of you had to stay behind. You draw straws, and end up losing. You attribute your loss to 'bad luck', because you would rather go on the road trip. You then end up meeting your future wife that weekend because you didn't go on the road trip. Now you say that drawing the shortest straw was 'good luck'. You then have a horrible marriage, end up getting divorced, and hate your life. At this point, you say that drawing the shortest straw was, once again, 'bad luck'.

The point is, using the terms 'good luck' and 'bad luck', are merely a way of expressing your interpretation of the consequences of a certain event

Mugo345

another example reason why luck doesn't exist: 

Imagine you've bought a lottery ticket. But 5000 people have participated. Then you win. Is it good luck that you won. No, simply because someone was bound to win.

Mugo345

Also I believe we have free will. But the future is all ready planned out. You may say that's impossible, but that is the great mystery. We humans cannot understand it in an earthly scientific sense. 

LeeEuler
Mugo345 wrote:

Luck doesn't exist, because it is merely a subjective interpretation of past events, only after the outcome is apparent. As the outcome of a past event changes, the interpretation of that outcome could change from 'good' to 'bad'.

For example, imagine you wanted to go on a road trip with your friends, but the car was too small, so one of you had to stay behind. You draw straws, and end up losing. You attribute your loss to 'bad luck', because you would rather go on the road trip. You then end up meeting your future wife that weekend because you didn't go on the road trip. Now you say that drawing the shortest straw was 'good luck'. You then have a horrible marriage, end up getting divorced, and hate your life. At this point, you say that drawing the shortest straw was, once again, 'bad luck'.

The point is, using the terms 'good luck' and 'bad luck', are merely a way of expressing your interpretation of the consequences of a certain event

This is the best argument for no luck in my opinion

Mugo345
LeeEuler wrote:
Mugo345 wrote:

Luck doesn't exist, because it is merely a subjective interpretation of past events, only after the outcome is apparent. As the outcome of a past event changes, the interpretation of that outcome could change from 'good' to 'bad'.

For example, imagine you wanted to go on a road trip with your friends, but the car was too small, so one of you had to stay behind. You draw straws, and end up losing. You attribute your loss to 'bad luck', because you would rather go on the road trip. You then end up meeting your future wife that weekend because you didn't go on the road trip. Now you say that drawing the shortest straw was 'good luck'. You then have a horrible marriage, end up getting divorced, and hate your life. At this point, you say that drawing the shortest straw was, once again, 'bad luck'.

The point is, using the terms 'good luck' and 'bad luck', are merely a way of expressing your interpretation of the consequences of a certain event

This is the best argument for no luck in my opinion

Don't credit me, I didn't write it. It's from reddit, but I wanted to post it here to show you guys there is no such thing as luck.

lfPatriotGames
CooloutAC wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:

Why would manipulating the dice be considered cheating? So you are saying it's NOT true that skill is a small determining factor on the results of dice rolls? Shouldn't you at least find out before claiming that? 

I don't think it's that difficult to comprehend that dice is a game of chance, but there is a small amount of skill involved. Just as it's not difficult to comprehend chess is a game of skill, but there is a small amount of luck involved. 

 

Yes I'm saying its not true.  There is NO skill involved,  at all.   I understand you want there to be skill involved in rolling dice to help prove your argument.   But this is only showing how invalid your argument is.    And yes manipulating the dice would be considered cheating.  I already explained to you why and I can't believe the reason why is not obvious.  Then again you are one of those people who dont' think chess is a sport,  so for the same reasons I wouldn't expect you to understand why manipulating dice for a desired outcome would be considered cheating.    

Then why would the people who have studied it say the opposite of you? InsideScience quoted a number of people who have conducted experiments and they say there is a small amount of skill involved in dice throwing results. They say the most important factor is the initial position of the dice. They said "the top face will always be more probable". They used the word probable. 

And why do casinos fill up the little holes on dice to make them evenly weighted? If throwing dice were completely random, there would be no need right?

I don't think anyone believes there is a great deal of skill in dice throwing results. But there is more than a zero amount. It might be possible that the multi billion dollar a year gaming industry knows something you don't. If they universally accept that skilled dice throwing can affect results, maybe you could consider it too. 

Or, you could just tell them (and those who conducted the experiments) that they are all wrong, and you are right. 

DiogenesDue
LeeEuler wrote:
Mugo345 wrote:

Luck doesn't exist, because it is merely a subjective interpretation of past events, only after the outcome is apparent. As the outcome of a past event changes, the interpretation of that outcome could change from 'good' to 'bad'.

For example, imagine you wanted to go on a road trip with your friends, but the car was too small, so one of you had to stay behind. You draw straws, and end up losing. You attribute your loss to 'bad luck', because you would rather go on the road trip. You then end up meeting your future wife that weekend because you didn't go on the road trip. Now you say that drawing the shortest straw was 'good luck'. You then have a horrible marriage, end up getting divorced, and hate your life. At this point, you say that drawing the shortest straw was, once again, 'bad luck'.

The point is, using the terms 'good luck' and 'bad luck', are merely a way of expressing your interpretation of the consequences of a certain event

This is the best argument for no luck in my opinion

It's a good refutation of the more poetic version of luck...that, is a perception of a random occurrence relative to the perceiver.

Luck in game design has an objective value and is purposefully designed into a game, not a subjective perception.

LeeEuler
btickler wrote:
LeeEuler wrote:
Mugo345 wrote:

Luck doesn't exist, because it is merely a subjective interpretation of past events, only after the outcome is apparent. As the outcome of a past event changes, the interpretation of that outcome could change from 'good' to 'bad'.

For example, imagine you wanted to go on a road trip with your friends, but the car was too small, so one of you had to stay behind. You draw straws, and end up losing. You attribute your loss to 'bad luck', because you would rather go on the road trip. You then end up meeting your future wife that weekend because you didn't go on the road trip. Now you say that drawing the shortest straw was 'good luck'. You then have a horrible marriage, end up getting divorced, and hate your life. At this point, you say that drawing the shortest straw was, once again, 'bad luck'.

The point is, using the terms 'good luck' and 'bad luck', are merely a way of expressing your interpretation of the consequences of a certain event

This is the best argument for no luck in my opinion

It's a good refutation of the more poetic version of luck...that, is a perception of a random occurrence relative to the perceiver.

Luck in game design has an objective value and is purposefully designed into a game, not a subjective perception.

I agree with you that it has an objective value which is why I don't accept the argument, I just think it is the best one put forth

lfPatriotGames
CooloutAC wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:

Why would manipulating the dice be considered cheating? So you are saying it's NOT true that skill is a small determining factor on the results of dice rolls? Shouldn't you at least find out before claiming that? 

I don't think it's that difficult to comprehend that dice is a game of chance, but there is a small amount of skill involved. Just as it's not difficult to comprehend chess is a game of skill, but there is a small amount of luck involved. 

 

Yes I'm saying its not true.  There is NO skill involved,  at all.   I understand you want there to be skill involved in rolling dice to help prove your argument.   But this is only showing how invalid your argument is.    And yes manipulating the dice would be considered cheating.  I already explained to you why and I can't believe the reason why is not obvious.  Then again you are one of those people who dont' think chess is a sport,  so for the same reasons I wouldn't expect you to understand why manipulating dice for a desired outcome would be considered cheating.    

Then why would the people who have studied it say the opposite of you? InsideScience quoted a number of people who have conducted experiments and they say there is a small amount of skill involved in dice throwing results. They say the most important factor is the initial position of the dice. They said "the top face will always be more probable". They used the word probable. 

And why do casinos fill up the little holes on dice to make them evenly weighted? If throwing dice were completely random, there would be no need right?

I don't think anyone believes there is a great deal of skill in dice throwing results. But there is more than a zero amount. It might be possible that the multi billion dollar a year gaming industry knows something you don't. If they universally accept that skilled dice throwing can affect results, maybe you could consider it too. 

Or, you could just tell them (and those who conducted the experiments) that they are all wrong, and you are right. 

 

Because like Lee Euler,  people make things up for job security.   Whole industries are fraudulent.  Ever hear of Enron?  lol  Most people are wasting money on useless college degrees and some spend their life proving and validating them.  

That's your answer??? The entire gaming industry, as well as the people who have studied the matter are fraudulent and just doing it for job security??

It sounds to me like you have no idea how you are going to back out of the spot you put yourself in. 

So here is a follow up question for you. You said manipulating the dice would be cheating. If throwing dice is completely random, as you said, how could anyone cheat by throwing them a certain way? Because you also said absolutely no skill is involved. 

lfPatriotGames

I didn't expect an answer, because you have contradicted yourself so much you probably don't even know where to start. 

You said manipulating the dice is cheating. It is not. Playing with loaded dice is cheating, using practiced techniques for rolling dice is not cheating. So the question, again, how is manipulating dice rolls through technique cheating if dice rolls are completely random?

It sounds to me like you are sticking with your positions. That a) dice rolls are completely random and zero skill is involved. and b) manipulating the dice through technique or skill is cheating.

Does that seem like a credible position to take?