Is there such thing as "luck" in chess?

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DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:
krazeechess wrote:

yall are overthinking.. the only luck in chess is who moves first which isnt even that huge of a difference at our level

What if you like to move second and your opponent likes to move first? Who's luckier??

Statistically, the first move advantage is proven.  So, in the overall assessment of luck in chess, objectively the playing white is luckier.  If they fail to capitalize on their quarter pawn advantage, that is...?

Yep, a lack of skill.

DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

You wouldn't be so fast to try to discredit it. My observations are completely reasonable, however.

A post or two ago, you tried to discredit or deflect my answer to your comments to me, on my post, by telling me that you were addressing them to Kowenerai. Five or so years ago, being met by this kind of thing took me by surprise. Anyway, at that time, my family members were in the midst of dying and other things and so I had my mind on other things. Now history is repeating itself.

I know now exactly why you have always been so keen to discredit my high IQ. And to tell me you don't even believe in IQ. The reasons for it are now glaringly obvious. I can run rings round you and you know it.

Lol, when I started reading this post I didn't even know it was addressed to me.

Kowrenai?  Never stated.  Reply to you?  There is none with the arguments you described.  Are you talking about my reply to *Coolout* saying that I was replying to *Kotshmot*?  Because if you are...OMG.    

Honestly, it's a chore to keep up with posters that cannot remember what was said in the past hour.

P.S. That's the second mention of IQ unprompted.

DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

btickler, you're so completely and obviously wrong regarding your opinions on luck and skill that in an even discussion, where you were forced to respond to my arguments, you wouldn't stand a chance because firstly you're wrong and secondly your ability is the lesser. You're good with words, though, and that means you can mask your inadequacies in logic. Occasionally, I see a similar facility in the self-expression of Coolout. He can be surprisingly erudite.

Lol.  if I were forced to reply to your arguments that I am wrong and that my ability is lesser?  Those cogent and well thought out arguments?

This is an even discussion.  You have ample chances to make your cases.

It's obvious that both of you use the same tactics. Because there are different people discussing, you can evade the more difficult questions and use a dialogue with another person as an excuse for not answering them.

Lol.  Nobody but you could possibly accuse me of not replying to enough points.

I've no idea why you should take it all so seriously but you do. I can see it without having to take it seriously myself.

Yes, your number of posts in these threads shows how disinterested and coolly aloof you are wink.png.

I know you talk rubbish most of the time and so does Coolout. Each of you, sometimes, comes up with something better. But still inadequate for the task in hand, were it not for the fact that you can deflect, more or less forever. And pretend, forever.

Naturally, I am definitely not of the opinion that you're the same person. Just that the similarities are rather strange, given the fact that you're always fighting. Same with someone else, viewed from afar.

Useless aspersions.  You have just as many similarities to Coolout I could wax eloquent about.  I could also point out where you are similar to me, but that would be cruel.  Your worldview depends quite heavily on you being above it all.

PlayByDay
Kotshmot skrev:
btickler wrote:
Kotshmot wrote:

It is a clear distinction but this still doesn't support your stance on this topic and it's a pretty worthless point to mention here in terms of relevancy.

For luck to NOT be involved, a good move can't be based on LACK of skill. This is the whole reason I made the comparison and you apparently missed it.

Apparently you are still on the "luck and skill are opposite ends of the same spectrum" wagon train.  I am not.  I notice you haven't addressed the breakdown of games into low to high skill vs. low to high luck, and how they co-exist because they are not the same thing.  Nor has anyone else.  The reason is simple...it busts the "when we can't see an outcome coming, that is luck" argument. 

Your argument is that lack of skill leaves a vacuum that is ergo filled by "luck", but it is only filled with uncertainty, nothing else, by virtue of chess moves being skill-based decisions.  My argument is that that's a mis-use of the word and that lack of skill is just that...lack of skill.

Yes you did get my argument right.

So going by what you are saying, it's correct to say that "I won the game by my lack of skill." There is no word to use in this context as two players with equal display of skill have still one player winning the game. If skill difference didn't decide the game, I think it's incorrect to just use "lack of skill".

But since that type of luck/chance where I can do right move for the wrong reasons or wrong move for the right reasons exist in almost any game except some kind where you have both submit a move and clear reason behind it, what would be the practical distinction between games of chance and games of skill?

Pigeon chess is still chess, even if pigeons themselves can't play. 

DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

You can wax very eloquent. Pity for you, it's all artificial and fabricated. Yes, you can hoodwink some people.

So why the especial venom for me? I wonder. In what way do I frighten you? 

You don't frighten me, and there's no "especial venom", as evidenced by the fact that I don't really talk to you or follow your posts until you say something mean-spirited and/or condescending to others.  Then I speak up.  Don't think you're special...I do this across the board.  When other posters have attempted to PM me to join them in plotting your demise, I routinely ignore them or send back "yeah, he's a piece of work alright..." and leave it at that.  

You, on the other hand, have referred to your conversations in PMs where people are gossiping with you a number of times, and you've called on the mods to take actions against me and made references to your frustrations in reporting me to the mods only to have them tell you there's nothing there...so I have to ask, why the especial venom against me?  If you are as wise and magnanimous as your avatar is meant to convey, then serenity should be your state of mind.

rakka2000

How can there be a thread calling the moderators KGB but they allow this thread to continue.

You all are very toxic.

DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

You know very well that starting threads to name and shame a particular member is completely against the rules here. Go and invent something else equally funny.

Actually, you're right...sorry.  Those instances happened inside of other people's threads.  I have edited my post to reflect that.

DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

I might have confused Koshmot with Kowenerai. It was a mistake but a bit of luck for me, don't you agree? Because it highlights your constant desire to use anything like that to deflect and to make false points. So you see, it definitely wasn't skill that led me to confuse the two names. Even you wish to point out that it was my stupidity and not my skill. And yet it has led you into highlighting the basis of your debating tactics voluntarily. 

The usual Optimissed retreat.  Admit to a minor offense in a casual way, then gloss over the actual problem.  You didn't just get someone's name wrong.  You took me to task and insulted me for replying to you in way you found objectionable, when it was a reply to Coolout.  I would happily accept your apology, if one ever emerged in these cases, that is...

DiogenesDue
CooloutAC wrote:

The results are part of the determination of luck,  which is why its not something that can be predicted like chance and probability.  It requires random chance, inhuman action,  resulting in success or failure.  The choosing of colors only satisfies two of these requirements.  You can't say black or white pieces caused a player to lose.     You can't say oh the winner got lucky,   but the loser just lacked skill.   Thats a contradiction and poor sportsmanship.  And when people use the capablanca quote,  he was sarcastically scolding people like you wwho proclaim such.   You can't have it both ways my friend.

Your usual blather.  I have not said anything about Capablanca or his quote, and I am not "having it both ways, my friend".

Color selection is the one element of chess that is not under the control of the players (not when playing competitive chess, anyway, as opposed to just agreeing which colors to play in a coffeehouse game).  That one element results in one player gaining a statistically proven advantage, which they may or may not be able to successfully take advantage of if they play skillfully. 

You changed your mind on this point, as you many recall, but you had it right the first time.  

RoiCastor

In my opinion, there is no luck in chess, as there is no luck in math. There only is the partly unpredictable nature of your opponent. You're not "lucky" if he misplays, since it's a bad play on his part, rather than chance. Apart from that, it's just a contest of skill, focus and perception.

DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

One more thing is that I have caught you altering your posts more than once before, so it comes as no reply (and no surprise). And of course you were answering me. Honesty seems to be a strange ideology, doesn't it?

Lol.  The reply quotes Coolout and the context is clearly correct.  It hasn't changed one iota and it certainly hasn't changed targets.  Your memory is slipping...as you have mentioned on more than one occasion.  You remembered something I said...but not who I actually said it to.

As for notion of "catching" me in the past, that's just a mischaracterization.  I edit posts and fix typos and add points I forgot, etc, all the time.  You know, because the editor is designed to allow edits after posting for just those reasons?  

DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

When you act, like you are acting now, do you imagine that no-one ever refers to it in the future?? You made some bad arguments about why there is no luck in chess. They were based on an ideology that cannot accept that luck co-exists in human actions. Coolout has the same belief and I think it may be based on a misperception of determinism. I noticed that some people disgreed with both of you but were having a lot of difficulty because you kept evading their arguments. I showed how you are wrong. You have endeavoured to put an awful lot of distance between being shown to be wrong and now. And an awful lot of posts.

You haven't shown anything. 

The number of posts today, as it turns out, have a lot to do with two posters (and I am not one of them) who cannot correctly interpret what they are reading.

DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

It is almost unbelievable that someone can go to the lengths you have gone to, just to cover up being shown to be wrong in a debate.

It's more unbelievable that you cannot simply admit you made the mistake and had to make up a complicated reason why it could not possibly have been your error. 

DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

Is it vanity?

I think it is your vanity that causes this, yes.

DiogenesDue
CooloutAC wrote:

I'm quoting capablanca to show that your mentality has been noted before.  When you say the winning player got lucky,  but the loser showed poor skill,  that is trying to have it both ways.  That is you still believing skill and luck are not opposites when it applies to gaming.

Also if you read my posts,  I literally told optimissed thats why your trolling me even though we seem to agree.  It is because I changed my mind that color selection is not the only element of luck,  its the only element of chance.  

Because  I already said color selection satisfies two of the 3 categories to be luck.   But it doesn't not satisfy the third which is the cause that resulted in success of failure.  Go read my previous posts again.   But Your logic of white being an advantage meaning luck,  and the black players losing is skill,   would be like saying a players with the higher skill are lucky.   SO you are contradicting yourself yet again,  either color selection is the only element of luck,   or good or bad  play is.   But this is painful to see you argue,  because neither are.

What is painful is that paragraph.  It's a logical plate of spaghetti.

SO now not only are you having it both ways with your contradictory terms.  You are trying to have it both ways in this debate as Optimissed has rightly pointed out.    You are doing it again.  You just argued with Koshmot that  the chess is pure skill.   So how could a player get lucky because he won with white?

Because I didn't argue that chess is pure skill.  Comprehend what you are reading.  I have consistently said that initial color selection is luck, and I have said so since long before you started playing chess.

Jalex13
It’s so strange how heated people on the internet get over minor disagreements. My god, what people are coming to…..
PlayByDay
RoiCastor skrev:

In my opinion, there is no luck in chess, as there is no luck in math. There only is the partly unpredictable nature of your opponent. You're not "lucky" if he misplays, since it's a bad play on his part, rather than chance. Apart from that, it's just a contest of skill, focus and perception.

Well, I would have thought as you and I think of chess as a game of skill without inbuilt randomness but... let's try this simplified example:

We have three boxes with one ball in each, your goal is to find the box with a red ball inside. 

  • If you first choose a box and only after that the balls is put randomly in one of the boxes -> pure chance.
  • If all the boxes are open and you can look inside before choosing -> pure "skill"
    • If I have a hectic day and misspoke when I choose the box even if I know which one is correct -> my blunder, is it lack of skill or just "bad luck" for having a bad  day?
    • If I am colorblind but choose correct box since probability is 1/3 -> my win by pure luck, does this make the game a game of chance?!
DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

What problem? That you appear to be a complete nutcase? So that as soon as I decide to actually show up your weak and shallow arguments for what they are, because others, although they can clearly see you're wrong, can't counter your devious deflections, all of a sudden you make it personal? I showed clearly that your belief that no luck is possible in chess is based on a mere ideology. You have no arguments for it at all.

So what? It isn't important. It's a petty thing. It's a forum on chess.com. Yet as soon as you get taken apart convincingly in a discussion, it's back to the old personal attacks. You're a complete and utter nutter, you know. Anyone looking at your Covid thread can see. And that's why you're attecking me: because I burst your bubble. You are really not very bright but you're just clever enough to make this an argument about me saying that you are so stoopid that it's actually impossible to discuss anything with you, because you never understand a thing but are skilled at making other unintelligent people believe that you somehow just won an argument. Great for you. It's one of the reasons why you're disliked so much. No-one is allowed to argue against you. You ALWAYS make it personal and if it's one of your threads, you block them.

[...]

Long way to go to avoid saying you made a simple mistake.  Not going to get into who looks like a nutter...

DiogenesDue
CooloutAC wrote:

Its bananas is what it is lmao.  You have literally argued both sides of this argument,  You can't say that the gamplay is pure skill to koshmot,  and then say when a player wins with white its because he got lucky to me.  Disregarding the fact it was because of his skill.   Because again,  you can't say getting white is inherently bad for players,  especially when many have more success with black.     Not only are you  wrong to think getting white is the reason a player wins,   but you also can't call it good or bad.

This is what I have to wade through every day.  People can't interpret other's arguments, and can't even keep their own arguments straight.

DiogenesDue
CooloutAC wrote:

The difference with poker for example,  which is a game based more on skill than luck when regarding professionals,  is that randomly drawn cards can be considered inherently bad or good,  because it can be a direct cause of a successful or failed result which cannot be changed by skill.   White and black color selection in chess which is not even part of the gameplay,  and which does not determine success or failure,  good or bad moves,  so cannot be considered luck.   period.  Its nothing more then an element of random chance,  not good or bad luck.

So again,  you telling koshmot that chess is based on skill and a players gameplay has nothing to do with luck,  is contradicting you also saying a player can have successful gameplay because he got white.   Furthermore again,   many players have a higher success rate with black,  which means white is not always inherently good regardless of the perceived advantage of the first move,  because it still depends on the skill of the player.

You're still wrong there *and* glossing over your (actual, real) contradiction in the quoted post, to boot.