Occam's Razor Supports that Hans Niemann did not cheat against Magnus, or in OTB in general.

Again, your logic is flawed because you are stating with the conclusion and trying to backfill it.

Magnus played Hans in the FTX Crypto Cup 2 weeks prior to the Sinquefield Cup.  Hans beat him with the black pieces in that event (and proceeded to lose the next 3 games to lose the match).  If you look at that event, you'll see a very odd pattern:  Hans played 1 game in each match with a T3 score of 100% in 5 matches (including the one with Duda before the power went out).  So, why would Magnus not have an issue playing him in that event (where Magnus was one of the organizers) and yet have a problem with him 2 weeks later?  Did you ever stop to consider that?  Or is your knowledge of chess history start in September 2022?

I disagree with you. Why, for instance, do you suppose that magical thinking can't be approached in a scientific manner? It isn't irreconcilable but there tends to be a bias against reconciliation. I would say especially from logical-positivists.

I was a hidebound logical positivist at the age of 17. Around the age of 18, a girlfriend, whom I was in love with, persuaded me to deliberately try to think magically. I took a bit of persuading but eventually I agreed and I just did a couple of experiments which basically changed my life completely. I learned that we can use our minds in ways that some people don't believe is possible. And I learned or taught myself how to do it.

I have respect for your opinion and I can see you're intelligent. The comment you made here shows that. However, the surprising thing is that it isn't confirmation bias but our minds really are far more powerful than many people imagine.

I looked at the video so noticed it was about religion. I wouldn't want to waste an hour or whatever, at the moment, cos I'm busy and just relaxing doing some work. But it's not what I'm talking about. Belief content has no effect on outcomes, providing it's believed or at least there's no internal dissonance.

It is pleasing to think so.

This is the same reason many people believe many things.

I think it depends on the person. From an early age I was only interested in truth. I distrusted literally everyone and everything. Worked it out for myself by first principles. So "being pleased to think something" is only possible if it''s true.

Reflect on the quiet self-satisfaction you obtained from imparting that.

Saying he cheated OTB isn't supported by any reputable individuals, especially not those highly trusted in the chess statistical world like Regan.

So if Magnus decided he's cheating based off of no evidence, or poorly perceived evidence in his mind, then that's his own undoing. 

You are either being disingenuous or daft, here.  Go back and reread what I wrote and see why your answer is asinine.

I don't think that PawnTsunami should speak the way he did. However, Regan being widely trusted and Regan being worthy of such widespread trust are different things. I have no first hand knowledge of Regan but he seems to be a self-promoter and there has been quite a number of comments critical of Regan's true expertise. I know I can't recommend "my instinct" to you but it tells me that in all likelihood, Regan's mission is to support the status quo at least for the time being, and to defuse accusations of cheating, which could have lasting repercussions. From what I've heard, Regan is not the expert he is claimed to be.

For the record, I made no mention of Regan, his analysis, nor his expertise in that comment.  It was entirely pointing out that analyzing Magnus' behavior and coming to the conclusion that he was simply upset he lost with White is a flawed conclusion.

Agreed. There should be no over-rising reason to doubt his honesty.

Some people just don't like him, maybe.

ABOUT a couple of years ago my son gave me an old fashioned double sided razor that takes standard blades. It came with one razor blade. I don't shave a lot but must have used it 40 times and only changed the blade last week.

Never tried those. Hate shaving, so I do it twice a week. Gillette mach3.  Was Sensor before but they didn't seem to sell the blades anymore. It's a scam.

I used a mach three for years but I've reverted to a real razor and they're just far better but you have to be very careful.

Shaving your beard is fun.

can you explain his new 100 million dollar lawsuit case against carlsen?

that's upright crazy

I see greed as well as other bad things

If Hans didn't cheat OTB, which is seems like its the most likely case, then there were extremely questionable unlawful actions by many individuals exclaiming he cheated based on no evidence. These accusations hurt his income, opportunity costs, etc....I am not a lawyer. 

Usually when defamation really becomes illegal defamation, is when it hurts someones career. I actually think he has a case against Magnus, Hikaru, and other individuals who have somewhat defamed.

But I actually think his case against chess.com is probably a loss. Chess.com had evidence of its claims, and it avoided saying Hans cheated OTB.

But the claims against Magnus and Hikaru seem much more reasonable. 

It's a frivolous lawsuit and form of posturing designed to misdirect, no doubt egged on by ambulance chasing lawyers who are rife in America's hysterically litigious society.

The parallels between this and the Lance Armstrong situation are striking. I strongly suspect Niemann has personality disorders such as grandiose narcissism and sociopathy.

Carlsen is domiciled in Norway so even if this symbolic lawsuit isn't dismissed on first hearing, Carlsen has no obligation to respond to it.