Sudden Dip In Rating? Explanation?

Sort:
Tom102

Hey guys,

Around a couple of weeks ago I was around 1150 rating in Blitz. Nothing to scream about I know but I was happy with it, however I've dropped to under 1000 in the past week and I have no idea why. I've even started to read chess books and learn more openings and all I've got from it is losses. Has this ever happened to you? I feel kind of lost and would like to get my blitz rating back up. Especially considering I'm 1300 rating in standard chess.

beardogjones

Rating drops happen when you learn new material because you are aware of

more and hence become more cautious - eventually the material will

be integrated and you will be on your way again! 

InsanePlayer99

Yeah these kind of things happens, but just as bearddogjones has said, it takes a while for us to digest the new information. But don't worry! It will rise back again with a whole new height!

attwo

Rating suffers from statistical uncertainty, defined by your rating deviation, which you can find in your profile page. You should not see your rating as a fixed measure but as a bell curve, e.g. not "1200" but \mu=1200; \sigma=50 (I'm making up numbers, just to make an example), which means 67% confidence (1 Standard Deviation) of your rating being greater or equal than 1150 and lower or equal than 1250. I have a good familiarity with the mathematics behind it and if you are interested in the nuances of the Glicko Rating I can give you more insight.

Also, it is natural for your online rating to have great volatility, expecially since players usually play on the Internet more casually and less consistently than on the board. Even when your rating is established you should still expect to see it fluctuate in a 50-200 points wide interval (wildly inaccurate guess, your mileage may vary depending on the frequence of your games).

Don't let your mind be obfuscated by a four-digit number. It's stupid. And keep up playing. If you deserve to be 1150, your rating will eventually stabilize around that figure.

Peter-Pepper

It might be something as simple as playing at a different time of the day, when you are more tired.  Or you might be currently overdosing on chess, and need a bit of a break from it.

Tom102

True ^

LoveYouSoMuch

blitz ratings have very high variance. even if your playing level doesn't actually change too much, 100-200 point oscillations are nothing highly uncommon.