"Hikaru" (as kids call him) has played 40 classical games against Carlsen. He only won once.
Carlsen definitely has Nakamura's number. Though it's worth noting their high number of draws.
Their draw percentage, in FIDE games, is 66%.
That means for every 3 games they play, 2 of them are draws.
Unfortunately for Nakamura, that third game always goes to Carlsen ... And it seems unlikely that this trend will change.
There have been some exceptional players who've been dominated by other players, to a similar degree.
Anand, for example, played Kasparov 52 times, and only managed to win 4 ...
Why is Nakamura not playing the US Championship?
He's not good enough.
Hikaru will be playing in the Grand Swiss tournament later this month. That's Classical chess . . . the field has some of the biggest hitters, like Caruana, Aronian, Firouzja, MVL
So I suppose time will tell, as to how he'll perform.
In b 4 he doesn't finish in the top 10, and loses even more rating points.
naka would finish top 5 in us champs probably
but he hasnt played classical in like 2 years