Will computers ever solve chess?

Sort:
troy7915
ponz111 wrote:
USArmyParatrooper wrote:
troy7915 wrote:

You cannot spot errors in the begining of the game. Hence you cannot spot perfect games either, which is the object of this discussion.

BOOM.

 

Been said over and over, and ignored.

If there are no errors at the beginning of the game--of course errors cannot be spotted at the beginning of the game! If chess is a draw as many strong players believe it is, then there would likely be no errors at the beginning of the game.  [1. g4 might be an exception to this]

The trick is to spot errors at any stage of the game. 

 

  This ‘demonstration’ relies on ‘strong’ players. ‘If they have said it, it must be true.  

 

   So you start with the premise that chess is a draw—which is not a fact, but you are introducing a third party into the equation to give it more weight (it’s still a non-fact)—and then you are using that to support the view that most of the very first moves are not errors.

 

  But you are still presenting a non-fact as a fact, in order to demonstrate a fact, which is really a non-fact, since in the demonstration you relied on a non-fact but presented it as a fact. 

 

  Therefore, the demonstration contains an error, intentional or not. The conclusion remains: you cannot spot errors in the very beginning of the game of chess. 

 

  Basically you first acknowledge that errors cannot be spot in the beginning of the game, then you are contradicting that invoking strong players. But again, strong players now may be mere puppets in view of the future engines which might solve the game of chess. 

DiogenesDue
IToldCha wrote:
btickler wrote:

If anyone is going to list draw rates and trends thereof, please stick to 2006 on.  In terms of engines, anything earlier is the stone ages, and in terms of human players, anything prior to modern engine-assisted prep is not worth much.  Personally, I'd stick to the last 5 years.

I agree, btickler. So intelligent!

Find someone else to obsess over, Lawandorderking.  It's getting more embarrassing (for you, to be clear) every time you show up in a new (yet obvious) guise.  You're as bad as Tuna once was...hmmm...

DiogenesDue
ponz111 wrote:

 

After i got out a new person took over my spot as to leading the calculations of the games. I believe the very first game they played was another game against the Bobby Fischer Group.  Ponziani Power had a bad position [probably losing] vs the Bobby Fischer Group but they were accused of cheating on that game by outsiders. Also the Bobby Fischer Group was accused of cheating on that game by outsiders. 

I do not know if any cheating was going on or not?  I do know that they were playing into the Frasier Variation which is by far the most complicated variation in that opening. [and some of the main moves in that opening look very weird to someone who does not know the theory]

 I do not know if the person who took my place admitted to cheating or not?  That person had previously [before the game] received some information from me about the Frasier but did not follow my advice.

A CM was leading the BFG votechess team. but was banned some ways into the game for cheating.  He had claimed to have analysis proving that the Fraser Defense was a sure bust for the Ponziani.  I should know, I was on the BFG team and tried to convince the team that The Fraser Defense seemed far to too linear, tactical, and complicated for use in a votechess game.  He was the highest rated team member, though, so...anyway, I quit all BFG votechess after that debacle.

The cohort you were referring to on Ponziani Power deactivated his own account never to return after the Cheating Forum thread highlighting this game.  He had claimed (just before his disappearing act) to be using an analysis (conveniently on a printout that he never scanned) that went 31 moves (not ply, full moves) out and covered all viable branches...ahem.  That would be a lot of paper.

Your posts on that thread are still there, but it's a lot to wade through, much like this thread.

A cautionary tale for any votechess team that believes in the existence of exhaustive offline analysis without pressing for details...

ponz111
btickler wrote:
ponz111 wrote:

 

After i got out a new person took over my spot as to leading the calculations of the games. I believe the very first game they played was another game against the Bobby Fischer Group.  Ponziani Power had a bad position [probably losing] vs the Bobby Fischer Group but they were accused of cheating on that game by outsiders. Also the Bobby Fischer Group was accused of cheating on that game by outsiders. 

I do not know if any cheating was going on or not?  I do know that they were playing into the Frasier Variation which is by far the most complicated variation in that opening. [and some of the main moves in that opening look very weird to someone who does not know the theory]

 I do not know if the person who took my place admitted to cheating or not?  That person had previously [before the game] received some information from me about the Frasier but did not follow my advice.

A CM was leading the BFG votechess team. but was banned some ways into the game for cheating.  He had claimed to have analysis proving that the Fraser Defense was a sure bust for the Ponziani.  I should know, I was on the BFG team and tried to convince the team that The Fraser Defense seemed far to too linear, tactical, and complicated for use in a votechess game.  He was the highest rated team member, though, so...anyway, I quit all BFG votechess after that debacle.

The cohort you were referring to on Ponziani Power deactivated his own account never to return after the Cheating Forum thread highlighting this game.  He had claimed (just before his disappearing act) to be using an analysis (conveniently on a printout that he never scanned) that went 31 moves (not ply, full moves) out and covered all viable branches...ahem.  That would be a lot of paper.

Your posts on that thread are still there, but it's a lot to wade through, much like this thread.

A cautionary tale for any votechess team that believes in the existence of exhaustive offline analysis without pressing for details...

The Frasier is not a bust to the Ponziani. I am guessing the CM saw my exhibition games where I claimed a Bust to the Ponziani. This was after i left Ponziani Power and had a big disagreement with the Super Administrator.  [of course my "bust" was tongue in cheek!Laughing]  I wanted to explore the Frasier from the Black view point and challenged strong players with strong chess engines to play against me. Chess.com approved the games using chess engines and they were not rated. I pretty much "destroyed" the Ponziani using Black and using the Frasier with a bunch of wins and 1 or 2 draws.

However from playing these exhibition games, i was able to find lines that were ok  for White. [and in fact one vote chess team played the Frasier against the current team i am on and lost] 

Most sane players would not wish to play either side of the Frasier as it is so complicated. However i have the correct lines of play and those lines are published in my Ponziani Analysis group. [so now anyone who wants to play the Black side of the Frasier is at a disadvantage if he is playing against anyone in our Ponziani Analysis group] [by the way membership is open for any class A player or above who is interested in the Ponziani]  

i got disgusted with people calling the Ponziani Power Vote Chess team as "cheaters" as they were not following the original guidelines of the person who first wrote how to detect cheating. We did not cheat for the 12 or 13 games i was there. We had a slew of advantages against other teams [not even considered by the ones crying "cheater"] and that is why we had a good [but not perfect] record.      

phillidor5949

C44: Ponziani, Fraser defence
A.K.A.
Ponziani Opening, Vukovic Gambit (C44)

1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.c3 Nf6 4.d4 Nxe4 5.d5 Bc5 6.dxc6 Bxf2 7.Ke2 Bb6 8.Qd5 Nf2

Stockfish 9 at a depth of 37 ply, after 8...Nf2, evaluates 9.Rg1 with total equality (=0.00). 9.cxb7 is evaluated at (-0.17), but all other moves are evaluated as conferring advantage to Black, for example p.v. #3 (-1.30) 9.Qxe5+.

 

null

ponz111

Ponziani as with all normal openings comes out equal in some lines. This is one more small piece of evidence that chess is a draw.

The problem [for both sides with the Frasier] is that after 8. Qd5  Nf2

there are dozens of lines for both sides, the very best lines [notice i said "lines" not line] come out equal but  if either side varys just a little bit--[from the "best" lines"] the side that varys will probably lose. 

Who do you think will know these very complicated lines--the Ponziani player or the player trying to play against the Ponziani? 

troy7915
ponz111 wrote:

 

Who do you think will know these very complicated lines--the Ponziani player or the player trying to play against the Ponziani? 

 

  Or you avoid such an opening altogether, case closed.

ponz111
troy7915 wrote:
ponz111 wrote:

 

Who do you think will know these very complicated lines--the Ponziani player or the player trying to play against the Ponziani? 

 

  Or you avoid such an opening altogether, case closed.

Whenever someone ends a sentence with "case closed" this tells me a whole lot about the person.

So you think people who respond to 1. e4 should avoid the 1. ...e5 response as they might be afraid of the Ponziani? Laughing 

ponz111
s23bog wrote:

A method to approach a solution is to develop a method of searching exclusively for check mate.  Since white moves first, the search should start with white.  In the absence of a mate for white, the next to move is black.  In the absence of a forced mate for black, then it must be a draw.

 

The method should be applied to middle game positions, and its efficiency and accuracy honed before using the method in the opening.

When we are trying to find a forced win for White--don't we have to look at all possible continuations???--which would mean we would have to "solve" chess to determine 100% that chess is whatever it is?--and thus you would never get to the possibility that Black can force a win? 

phillidor5949

Whereas Hans Berliner (1.d4)  and Weaver Adams (1.e4) each sought after a forced win for White, the idea that "Black is Winning After All" [Dynamic Chess Strategy, Suba] is worth mention in this context.

From Secrets of Modern Chess Strategy, Advances Since Nimzowtisch by John Watson

Chapter 11. Time and Information (p.231)
"[Mihai] Șubă explains: 'Chess is a game of complete information, and Black's information is always greater - by one move!' [Dynamic Chess Strategy, Suba]
...
This is Suba's main point; chess is a reactive game, in which all moves are committal and thus in some sense helpful to the opponent.
...
Of course, one can also carry things too far. Not all information is useful; for example, it doesn't help you to know that you are facing unavoidable mate; and even knowledge that your opponent is trying to force weaknesses in your position may not be enough to prevent him from succeeding."

These considerations are especially relevant in the context of whether White can obtain a greater advantage by using a 'reversed opening' rather than the classical attempts for advantage via 1.e4 or 1.d4.

Chessflyfisher

Yes.

phillidor5949
s23bog wrote:

In order to PROVE that chess is a draw, then it is very likely that every possibility needs to be accounted for.

Checkers has been "weakly solved" meaning that both the end result and a strategy to achieve the end result are known but all possible variations have not been computed.
https://webdocs.cs.ualberta.ca/~chinook/publications/solving_checkers.html

troy7915
ponz111 wrote:
troy7915 wrote:
ponz111 wrote:

 

Who do you think will know these very complicated lines--the Ponziani player or the player trying to play against the Ponziani? 

 

  Or you avoid such an opening altogether, case closed.

Whenever someone ends a sentence with "case closed" this tells me a whole lot about the person.

So you think people who respond to 1. e4 should avoid the 1. ...e5 response as they might be afraid of the Ponziani?  

 

  Wrong reason. It just seems that 1...c5 is a stronger reply, and so the question of the Ponziani doesn’t come up.

Elroch
ponz111 wrote:
s23bog wrote:

A method to approach a solution is to develop a method of searching exclusively for check mate.  Since white moves first, the search should start with white.  In the absence of a mate for white, the next to move is black.  In the absence of a forced mate for black, then it must be a draw.

 

The method should be applied to middle game positions, and its efficiency and accuracy honed before using the method in the opening.

When we are trying to find a forced win for White--don't we have to look at all possible continuations???--which would mean we would have to "solve" chess to determine 100% that chess is whatever it is?--and thus you would never get to the possibility that Black can force a win? 

Showing a win for white would solve chess. However, you should know you don't need to analyse every continuation: at minimum only one white move needs to be examined each time. This is what made solving checkers possible.

Elroch
ptd570 wrote: (in the very first post)

Will there ever be a computer strong enough to solve chess to the point where white uses its half tempo advantage to always beat black no matter what moves black plays (in otherwords the same computer can never win with black even after a thousand random games against itself)

That is absolutely not "in otherwords" [sic]!

This claims an equivalency between white being able to force a win and black not being able to force a win.

The former implies the latter, but the reverse implication is certainly not so. It is possible that white can force a draw, which means black can never force a win, but might be able to stop white ever winning a game too.

 It is amusing how such an inaccurate first post has led to a discussion that has lasted four years!

troy7915
IAMBBW wrote:
ptd570 wrote:

Will there ever be a computer strong enough to solve chess to the point where white uses its half tempo advantage to always beat black no matter what moves black plays (in otherwords the same computer can never win with black even after a thousand random games against itself)

 

I beleive one day there will be a computer so strong and so big that it will solve chess completely but perhaps that is 50 or 100 years off, its possible to solve it but we may never see it even in a 100 years

Yes it's ALPHA ZERO

 

  Alpha Zero did not solve chess.

troy7915
IAMBBW wrote:
troy7915 wrote:
IAMBBW wrote:
ptd570 wrote:

Will there ever be a computer strong enough to solve chess to the point where white uses its half tempo advantage to always beat black no matter what moves black plays (in otherwords the same computer can never win with black even after a thousand random games against itself)

 

I beleive one day there will be a computer so strong and so big that it will solve chess completely but perhaps that is 50 or 100 years off, its possible to solve it but we may never see it even in a 100 years

Yes it's ALPHA ZERO

 

  Alpha Zero did not solve chess.

Oh yes it did 

 

    Did it calculate all the variants? Not even close.

troy7915

It learned something by playing against itself for 4 hours. And it learned even more while playing the World Champion among engines, in the-best-of-100 games match.

pawn8888

The way to prove that Alpha Zero didn't solve chess is to find a game where it lost while playing white. Someone who says Alpha Zero didn't solve chess should produce a game with that outcome. If he did then he'd be totally correct.

troy7915
hansensong wrote:
troy7915 wrote:
IAMBBW wrote:
troy7915 wrote:
IAMBBW wrote:
ptd570 wrote:

Will there ever be a computer strong enough to solve chess to the point where white uses its half tempo advantage to always beat black no matter what moves black plays (in otherwords the same computer can never win with black even after a thousand random games against itself)

 

I beleive one day there will be a computer so strong and so big that it will solve chess completely but perhaps that is 50 or 100 years off, its possible to solve it but we may never see it even in a 100 years

Yes it's ALPHA ZERO

 

  Alpha Zero did not solve chess.

Oh yes it did 

 

    Did it calculate all the variants? Not even close.

I mean it could. The computer is so fast..

 

  It learns fast. Other engines compute far more than alpha, but mechanically. Perhaps alpha does it more like humans, memorizing logical connections between the moves being stored in memory, but much faster and with a bigger storage capacity than humans.

  Still, the number of possibilities is still astronomical.