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Magnus carlsen rating performance in 2015

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Staleno

We all know that Magnus has had a terrible 2015 so far. But how bad is it? Does anybody know what Carlsen's combined rating performance in 2015 is? Is he playing below a 2800 level, like any ordinary super-GM?

Nipplewise

Bump for interest.

GnrfFrtzl
PeriodRTNGGMSRAPID RTNGRAPID GMSBLITZ RTNGBLITZ GMS
 2015-Nov   2850   0   2873   15   2878   21 
 2015-Oct   2850   9   2847   0   2914   0 
 2015-Sep   2853   0   2847   0   2914   0 
 2015-Aug   2853   0   2847   0   2914   0 
 2015-Jul   2853   9   2847   0   2914   9 
 2015-Jun   2876   0   2847   0   2933   0 
 2015-May   2876   9   2847   0   2933   0 
 2015-Apr   2863   0   2847   2   2933   2 
 2015-Mar   2863   7   2855   0   2948   0 
 2015-Feb   2865   13   2855   0   2948   0 
 2015-Jan   2862   0   2855   0   2948   0 

 

I wouldn't say it's as bad as people make it out.
He's still more than 40 points ahead of the second player, Topalov. 

fabelhaft
Staleno wrote:

We all know that Magnus has had a terrible 2015 so far. But how bad is it? Does anybody know what Carlsen's combined rating performance in 2015 is? Is he playing below a 2800 level, like any ordinary super-GM?

Terrible? He won Tata, Baden-Baden and Gashimov Memorial, finished second in Sinquefield Cup and won the rapid World Championship. Not bad for a terrible year.

Staleno

Well, looking at the figures, I must admit that «terrible» is something of an exaggeration (although I don’t necessarily think Magnus himself would disagree). The fact that he has lost something like 10 games this year made me think it was worse than it actually is in terms of rating.

 

Nevertheless, he has lost 42 ELO points (from 2876 to 2834) since June, and it would be interesting to know what ELO performance that corresponds to (also 2015 overall for that matter).

 

 

I hope it’s just a temporary rating decline, but I strongly suspect that it’s permanent. He seems less dedicated, less motivated, and his usual self-confidence seems to be gone. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him quit top-level chess within a few years.

GnrfFrtzl
Staleno írta:

Well, looking at the figures, I must admit that «terrible» is something of an exaggeration (although I don’t necessarily think Magnus himself would disagree). The fact that he has lost something like 10 games this year made me think it was worse than it actually is in terms of rating.

 

Nevertheless, he has lost 42 ELO points (from 2876 to 2834) since June, and it would be interesting to know what ELO performance that corresponds to (also 2015 overall for that matter).

 

 

I hope it’s just a temporary rating decline, but I strongly suspect that it’s permanent. He seems less dedicated, less motivated, and his usual self-confidence seems to be gone. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him quit top-level chess within a few years.

I just posted the 2015 overall ratings of his.

Staleno

Yes, but that’s not the same as the rating performance. To reformulate: For the case that the rating drops from ELO 2876 to ELO 2834 in 25 games, what is the rating performance for those 25 games?