Not really disagreeing with you, just saying that no-one really knows the future of any market. I understand from watching "Pawn Stars" that the value of some items (e.g. baseball cards, comics) went right up a few years ago and then went right down - nothing to do with supply, it was just fashion, and the 2008 crash.
Having said that, it would be interesting to know how many really top quality repro sets are being produced each year and how many Jaques sets were produced in each year. The former is probably commercially sensitive information and I suspect the latter is unknown.
Those who believe that a HOS or a OS set created today will not be worth very much in 50- 100 years has failed to grasp the lesson of those Early Jaques of London sets.
I suspect they'll hold their value but I wouldn't expect them to appreciate much, since there are so many being produced.
TRUE!! There are a great number of sets currently being produced, that said in 50-100 years from now how many of those will have survived the passage of time and hard play?? Are you going to tell me that Jaques of London produced only *5* Club Sets -- the official number that have been found -- or did he create more and due to hard play and the rages of time on 5 sets still remain? I suspect the latter: there were many, many more sets but most of those sets were simply lost or destroyed. Likewise, it is reasonable to assume, that of the many sets created today will end up being lost or destroyed.