Do you think Magnus Carlsen will break the 3000 barrier

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bigbird419

Magnus carlsen had his peak rating at 2878.9 do you think its possible for Magnus to maintain a rating of over 3000?

bigbird419

He is only 23 so he has a good 30 to 40 years left in him

bigbird419

If I were him I would focus mainly on chess make millions

tooWEAKtooSL0W

I really doubt it. The next highest rated player in the world, Aronian, is only at 2812, which means as Magnus approaches 3000 there would be almost a 200 point difference between him and #2. This would mean he would have to win almost all the games he plays against super-GMs, because a tie would significantly lower his rating.

If a few other players managed to reach the high 2800s, it might be possible, however.

Doc3170

I agree with Alexdyer.  When you're at the top you can only play lower rated opponents, which doesn't gain many points.  While even a draw can cost him plenty. 

bigbird419

I think he can do it or at least come close to doing it. I think by the time he's 35 he will be 2900+

bigbird419

True it would be difficult

blueslick
Mersaphe wrote: But he was having so much fun he never came back to the board

Are you basing this off of Fischer's biography? lol

bigbird419

He came back to the board in 1992

johnyoudell

no

blueslick
Mersaphe wrote:

Fischer was having the time of his life between 1972 and 1975. He went to the Philippines and was a VIP at important parties and sailed on yachts. He also spent time in other countries enjoying the culture and the locals and the cuisine. It was an interesting time in his life. But of course he ended up running away from chess

Ah I see. That definately must be the reason he quit chess.

bigbird419

He did he rematched Spassky

MrDamonSmith

No, Carlsen will never pass 3000. The math just doesn't work out.

1ove
MrDamonSmith wrote:

No, Carlsen will never pass 3000. The math just doesn't work out.

This. There will come a point where drawing loses him points.

bigbird419

Well he could have an epic growth spurt it happens to chess players all the time it happened to nakurmara

Lettuces

Nah

bigbird419

I think in 10 to 20

MrDamonSmith
1ove wrote:

This. There will come a point where drawing loses him points.

Every game he draws now loses him points. The thing is he can only maintain a certain win % against the elite. If there aren't a whole crowd  around 2900 then it will be impossible. He isn't likely to just start scoring 85-90% all of a sudden. If he could he probably would break 3000.

Spiritbro77

If he does, it will be artificially produced. The PTB will have made it happen in some misguided attempt at pimping the game. I believe Magnus will tire of chess fairly quickly and move on to other endeavors.

nilshero
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