Who is going to win, Carlsen or Nepo?

I just hope this time all the regular games end in draws. according to wikipedia, Carlsen and Nepo have playing classical chess against each other 13 games.
When Carlsen was white, Nepo won 2, Carlsen won 0 and there were 5 draws.
When Nepo was white, Nepo won 2, Carlsen won 1, and there were 3 draws.
This makes total record, Carlsen 1, Nepo 4, and 8 draws.
This suggests to me that maybe Nepo has better chance. However in Bliz/rapid, Carlsen has 22 wins and Nepo has 10, with 32 draws. That suggests that Carlsen might have a better chance if it gets to tie breaking games.