I can't win. I can't think three moves ahead, those are all hypotheticals predicated on certain things happening.
It's just pieces and a board, this shouldn't be hard to master.
pieces and a board?! Do you want to improve?! Well, with the things your saying, your 100% never going to improve. Tip: try playing rapid. Rapid is good when you’re trying to improve.
To Magill
When I wrote that I said if you don't see it your improvement will be minimal. Instead of trying to be like a GM which only a tiny amount of players achieve. It is better to play the game and enjoy it. With most endeavors in competition the better you are the less fun it becomes. If you fret losing at a very elo, think how you feel when you lose at a very high elo. Fun fun till your daddy takes the t bird away. This I admit is an old man way of thinking and since I am an old man I can do it.
There's a whole world of difference between "trying to be a GM" and improving from 200. The first one is incredibly difficult, the second one is relatively easy (but still requires an effort).
Also, the effort you should make to improve from low levels is fun in itself. Solving puzzles is fun, watching your favorite content creator is fun.