I think the reality is that no matter what any entity publicly states, it will not satisfy everyone.
Most of us probably didn't even know Neimanns name before any of this happened. Heck, most people can only name a handful of professional chess players. "Bobby Fischer, Magnus Carlsen, and then I think there were some pros from Russia right?" If you haven't risen to pop culture status then you aren't well known.
In this very narrow timeline and limited scope that I've seen from Neimann I've seen a few red flags that in my mind, will essentially destroy his career.
1. He cheated. This isn't open to discussion. He admitted it. As such, this will be forever a part of his reputation. In my experience, most people who cheat don't get caught every single time they cheat. So, how many times did he get away with it? Chess.com stating that his cheating was more prolific and more serious than he admitted to is quite serious as well.
2. Reason for cheating in the past, vs complaints now. This is absolutely the worst thing against him in my eyes. In his own statements he said he was cheating to get a higher rating so he could play higher level competition. Even now, during his meteoric rise, he's complaining that he doesn't get invited to enough tournaments because his rating isn't high enough. It's a bad look to cheat for that in the past and then still complain about it in the present when you have the fastest rising rating in the history of chess. When he was informed that he wouldn't get the points for his win in this tournament since Magnus withdrew he responded with something along the line of "but I get the rating points right?" Cringe.
3. Arrogance. I'm not a fan of anyone who talks trash. Doesn't matter the sport or activity. I like people that handle victory and defeat with grace. Plenty of issues with this in the chess world. Heck, I can't even get a "gg" out of 99% of the people I play online. His public statements haven't been graceful at all, they've made him look worse in my eyes.
He reminds me a little of another American who cheated really successfully for over a decade. He won countless titles and submitted to every "cheat" test that was requested of him. He never got caught and completed dominated. When people accused him of cheating he was so aggressive in his response that it resulted in a huge divide in the community. He destroyed his accusers careers, even taking it as far as suing them for their accusations and winning. I believe it took 20 years before he was finally caught and admitted to the cheating. Even at that point, people still supported him. That was Lance Armstrong.
I'm not saying that Neimann is on the same level as Armstrong (probably the most prolific and successful known cheater of all time). I'm not even saying that Neimann cheated against Carlsen. What I'm saying is that it can take decades for enough concrete evidence to be put together for a conclusive answer. Even then, people will still be divided on the position. Whether Neimann cheated against Carlsen or not will likely never be known. Moving forward with his career, Neimann will need to rely on his character and professionalism. At the moment, he has a lot to work on and overcome.
Lastly, while we do live in a culture that demands instant gratification, we have to remember that these are matters that require more than thinking one move ahead. You could argue that this is a match without a time limit and we'll need infinite patience to get to the conclusion.
MorningGlory84 wrote:
In my experience the main people who object to Occam's Razor are conspiracy theorists, their theories being highly illogical. I expect you'll object to the term "conspiracy theorist" too.
--Within the context of the discussion's subject (we should endeavor to keep these streams-of-consciousness glued together), you must be then prepared to, in order to maintain logical consistency, dismiss the ongoing peanut-gallery theory (which you are indulging in) that chess.com and Magnus Carlson are conspiring against Hans Niemann.
Could be. The facts are too sparse. I'm not indulging anything, if you read my posts I've been trying to restore some rationality here. I expect we'll learn the truth in the fullness of time and it's unlikely to be very interesting.