@Elroch made another good point there - with this argument:
" If they assume queening, they may get to the position expecting a draw and then lose."
He explained it carefully.
Its one of many refutations of the '5 years' arguments.
One could argue endlessly over the semantics of 'refutation' though.
As to what @tygxc can/will do about that ... I guess there'll just be more sidestepping.
Didn't explain it particularly clearly,
It was clear enough for several people. I (genuinely) welcome questions if it was not clear enough for you.
though and it is not a refutation, in itself, of the 5 years argument.
The true relevance is that it means one of @tygxc's attempts to make the problem smaller and thus possibly accessible "in five years" (based on a rash guess about ignoring large classes of positions) is unreliable.
Just "unreliable" suffices in this case, since @tygxc needs his claim to be 100% reliable for it to be part of something close to a proof.
#2842
"it is highly likely that there are positions with multiple light squared bishops that are reached by 100% optimal play."
++ That is nonsense. Optimal play is to promote to a queen, not to a second same color bishop. There are very rare exceptions where promotion to a bishop is necessary to avoid stalemate. Some sick artificial constructions prove nothing. The sick artificial constructions cannot be reached from the initial positions by optimal play themselves. In none of the ICCF WC draws occurs a single underpromotion. 99% of these ICCF WC draws are ideal games with optimal moves.
When you are talking about 10^44 positions, then "very rare exceptions" can be millions or billions of positions that you are summarily dismissing. Every single recorded chess game in human history would be "very rare exceptions" by your reasoning, since there are far less than 1 trillion games recorded.
The way you clumsily hack 10^44 to 10^17 shows amply well that you do not really grasp exponents at a fundamental level. You know the math on the page, but you lack the imagination to understand how unfathomably large the numbers are.
Critical. But without rule breaking.
And in-subject ... as opposed to a personal attack.
I happen to agree with the four other persons politely but critically responding to @tygxc
Good points they make. But he keeps sidestepping adroitly.
Has @tygxc ever been right once and them wrong?
But he parries every thrust.
Its quite a demonstration that he's kept up (civilly - unlike the other guy) - month in and month out.