Is there such thing as "luck" in chess?

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ArthurEZiegler

CooloutAC wrote:  Chance does not equal luck.  Chance is just the possibility of something happening,  probability.   Random chance is not luck unless it determines success or failure,  good or bad.  Our mind is always part of our human ability,  which is part of our skill set,  and if it can increase our chances and controls every move in chess,  there is no element of luck in chess.

So you admit there is chance and probability in a chess game and state that skill increases the chance of a win? Let's say a low rated player beats the odds and wins against a higher skilled player. You would argue that by your accepted  definition some skill was involved and therefore there was no luck in the game itself! I find your rigid definition does not adequately describe the unpredictability of the players moves, which are part of the game,  and the chance (however low the probability) that a weaker player might stumble onto an excellent move or that a move by a strong player might have unforeseen negative consequences later on! I think most people would indeed call it "luck" if a much weaker player just happens to make that freak play that several moves later pulls off a win!

mpaetz
Optimissed wrote:
mpaetz wrote:

    But I'm not criticizing you for the way in which you did so. How about showing others the same consideration.

OK, so in my last three or four posts, in what way have I been inconsiderate to others? Go on and tell me what you think because, unlike some others, I'm fine about people having opinions that are different from mine. We can discuss them.

    Sorry for any confusion. I thought a couple of your comments were directed at me, but it seems you were talking to mikekalish without naming him.

Mike_Kalish
Optimissed wrote:

. Obviously gravity exists and all they're squabbling over is how it works.

 

This is not true. They are not "squabbling", but there are those who strongly believe that gravity absolutely does not exist and that the forces observed are the result of acceleration, per Newton's laws.   No gravitational field, no "graviton", no ethereal force. 

Don't flame me. I'm just the messenger.

mpaetz
Kotshmot wrote:
SacrificeTheHorse wrote:

What about if your opponent mouseslips and hangs their queen, or fails to defend a mate threat? Isn't that lucky for you? (and unlucky for them). Or touches the wrong piece playing OTB and is therefore forced to move it.

I think argument can be made either way. I would say this is lucky for the one who benefits from the mouseslip. But it could be also argued that mouse use is part of the skill of playing chess, therefore a mouse slip is just lack of skill insteaf of luck.

     But consider the case where the mouse slip wasn't of the player's doing, but rather an electronic hiccough, or interruption of the connection leading to loss on time before it can be restored. Then how would either player's action have had any influence? 

Mike_Kalish

watch

This guy is really smart. I've watched a lot of his videos. He explains Einstein's theory of gravity. 

 

He apparently isn't aware of Optimissed's theory.   tongue

Maximillian99

ps. I could only find one comment with negative votes

(I may have missed some, but I only see one)

Kotshmot
CooloutAC wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:

Good grief. Luck is now "a force, just like wind, gravity". I'm not a nerd, but I'll bet there are plenty of nerds here who can explain things like gravity with some sort of mathematical equation. I would love to see the mathematical explanation describing luck. 

There is probably another mathematical equation that describes how some people just get dumber and dumber. 

 

You are the first one to bring to our attention the word force in many of the definitions of luck.  And you literally asked why the word is used in them.   And ironically it is because of you I now speak of it and have been for over a week now.    Every day you get more and more dishonest in my eyes. Now you are pretending this is the first time you are hearing of it?   Shame on you.

How about instead of skirting around the issue, address the matter being discussed. You said luck is a force like gravity or the wind. So, what is the mathematical equation for luck? In other words, how, specifically can it's affect be predicted? I don't mean generally, I mean speciically. 

What is the equation that will predict the EXACT amount of luck for any given event?

 

it can't, thats what makes it luck.

You've got everybody confused because you say one thing to refute a point and then something contradicting to refute another point. We are at a stalemate.

lfPatriotGames
CooloutAC wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:

Good grief. Luck is now "a force, just like wind, gravity". I'm not a nerd, but I'll bet there are plenty of nerds here who can explain things like gravity with some sort of mathematical equation. I would love to see the mathematical explanation describing luck. 

There is probably another mathematical equation that describes how some people just get dumber and dumber. 

 

You are the first one to bring to our attention the word force in many of the definitions of luck.  And you literally asked why the word is used in them.   And ironically it is because of you I now speak of it and have been for over a week now.    Every day you get more and more dishonest in my eyes. Now you are pretending this is the first time you are hearing of it?   Shame on you.

How about instead of skirting around the issue, address the matter being discussed. You said luck is a force like gravity or the wind. So, what is the mathematical equation for luck? In other words, how, specifically can it's affect be predicted? I don't mean generally, I mean speciically. 

What is the equation that will predict the EXACT amount of luck for any given event?

 

it can't, thats what makes it luck.

Well then which is it? First you say luck is a force, like gravity. From what I understand gravity is predictable, there are math equations to describe it and measure it accurately. Now you say you can't predict luck or define it with an equation.

You are saying two opposite things, at the same time. So is luck a force, like gravity, or not?

DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

I have another one especially for the enjoyment of btickler here. I was told I was one of the best three table football players in the UK. These days probably could have made money.

Your thin veneer of pretending I'm the one obsessed with you and not the other way around is slipping.

SacrificeTheHorse

Kotshmot
CooloutAC wrote:
Kotshmot wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:

Good grief. Luck is now "a force, just like wind, gravity". I'm not a nerd, but I'll bet there are plenty of nerds here who can explain things like gravity with some sort of mathematical equation. I would love to see the mathematical explanation describing luck. 

There is probably another mathematical equation that describes how some people just get dumber and dumber. 

 

You are the first one to bring to our attention the word force in many of the definitions of luck.  And you literally asked why the word is used in them.   And ironically it is because of you I now speak of it and have been for over a week now.    Every day you get more and more dishonest in my eyes. Now you are pretending this is the first time you are hearing of it?   Shame on you.

How about instead of skirting around the issue, address the matter being discussed. You said luck is a force like gravity or the wind. So, what is the mathematical equation for luck? In other words, how, specifically can it's affect be predicted? I don't mean generally, I mean speciically. 

What is the equation that will predict the EXACT amount of luck for any given event?

 

it can't, thats what makes it luck.

You've got everybody confused because you say one thing to refute a point and then something contradicting to refute another point. We are at a stalemate.


It would only be a stalemate if I also stopped addressing your points.  It seems you dont' know how a debate works,  just like you don't know the difference between luck vs skill,  games based solely on skill vs games based solely on luck vs games that have elements of both.  You don't know the difference between chance vs luck.   Don't know the different between human force of action vs random force of action.   Don't know what a sport is,  don't know what competitive means.   Don't know why the words skill and luck exist because you can't determine what is fair and sporting,  etc....

Well to be exact you would be in a check mate but you're type of guy who keeps playing and claims there was no mate.

Your aggression and made up claims (don't know this, don't know that) is a sign that youre perfectly aware you have nothing else. 

Kotshmot
CooloutAC wrote:
Kotshmot wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
Kotshmot wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:

Good grief. Luck is now "a force, just like wind, gravity". I'm not a nerd, but I'll bet there are plenty of nerds here who can explain things like gravity with some sort of mathematical equation. I would love to see the mathematical explanation describing luck. 

There is probably another mathematical equation that describes how some people just get dumber and dumber. 

 

You are the first one to bring to our attention the word force in many of the definitions of luck.  And you literally asked why the word is used in them.   And ironically it is because of you I now speak of it and have been for over a week now.    Every day you get more and more dishonest in my eyes. Now you are pretending this is the first time you are hearing of it?   Shame on you.

How about instead of skirting around the issue, address the matter being discussed. You said luck is a force like gravity or the wind. So, what is the mathematical equation for luck? In other words, how, specifically can it's affect be predicted? I don't mean generally, I mean speciically. 

What is the equation that will predict the EXACT amount of luck for any given event?

 

it can't, thats what makes it luck.

You've got everybody confused because you say one thing to refute a point and then something contradicting to refute another point. We are at a stalemate.


It would only be a stalemate if I also stopped addressing your points.  It seems you dont' know how a debate works,  just like you don't know the difference between luck vs skill,  games based solely on skill vs games based solely on luck vs games that have elements of both.  You don't know the difference between chance vs luck.   Don't know the different between human force of action vs random force of action.   Don't know what a sport is,  don't know what competitive means.   Don't know why the words skill and luck exist because you can't determine what is fair and sporting,  etc....

Well to be exact you would be in a check mate but you're type of guy who keeps playing and claims there was no mate.

Your aggression and made up claims (don't know this, don't know that) is a sign that youre perfectly aware you have nothing else. 

 

HEre is a past of my last post to you,  and you decided to stop addressing my points.   Give it another shot.

"

you are the one who is unable to point to anything.  and I'm constantly pointing to examples of luck in every post I reply to you with.  Yet you ignorantly block all out of your mind.   Are you not aware of this fact about yourself?    I said kinetic force in dice rolls or slot machines,      I said Patriot had a better argument then you because she at least cited the wind.  It is simply any randomizing device playing a role.   But again,  there are many factors that define luck,  not simply an inhuman force,   chances and results also matter as I have explained many times. 

But do you see why you are forced to call human action both luck and skill,  because you have no other force of action to point to as an example of luck and you need something to prove your false narrative. You don't even understand what luck is.  That is worse then others in this thread,  who understand luck,  but still dishonestly try to point to examples of luck outside of chess to prove it is in chess.  Yet You have been in this forum for a week,  with no examples at all.     

 

Are you waking up yet?  This is why I constantly told you to look up the definition,   because if we go by what you imply luck to be,  then yes in fact,  Luck does not exist in your world. As I have said directly to you  many times.""

 

Anyone who reads your last post that you cited here will come to the same conclusion. You don't say anything specific there that I should respond to, it's just random rambling and going backwards in the argument.

For example I've also used the wind example as an external force but your response to it was that there is still no element of luck in play, even tho it was proven there is.

In chess, yes it is only human moving the pieces and no other force, but this is no proof that there is no luck involved. If you lose your keys and find them after a week because you step on them, theres only human force in play here. Yet you should agree its a lucky incident. Not even an analogy to chess necessarily, but just against this specific argument that there needs to be another force to allow the element of luck.

lfPatriotGames
CooloutAC wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:

Good grief. Luck is now "a force, just like wind, gravity". I'm not a nerd, but I'll bet there are plenty of nerds here who can explain things like gravity with some sort of mathematical equation. I would love to see the mathematical explanation describing luck. 

There is probably another mathematical equation that describes how some people just get dumber and dumber. 

 

You are the first one to bring to our attention the word force in many of the definitions of luck.  And you literally asked why the word is used in them.   And ironically it is because of you I now speak of it and have been for over a week now.    Every day you get more and more dishonest in my eyes. Now you are pretending this is the first time you are hearing of it?   Shame on you.

How about instead of skirting around the issue, address the matter being discussed. You said luck is a force like gravity or the wind. So, what is the mathematical equation for luck? In other words, how, specifically can it's affect be predicted? I don't mean generally, I mean speciically. 

What is the equation that will predict the EXACT amount of luck for any given event?

 

it can't, thats what makes it luck.

Well then which is it? First you say luck is a force, like gravity. From what I understand gravity is predictable, there are math equations to describe it and measure it accurately. Now you say you can't predict luck or define it with an equation.

You are saying two opposite things, at the same time. So is luck a force, like gravity, or not?

 

I'm just using gravity as an example of an unseen force.  And apparently it is debateable according to others in the thread.   So yes.  Your example in golf was the wind.  I said kinetic force in dice,   but you must realize that the action has to increase your chances and that the results are also part of the definition of luck.   You are once again pretending not to know what I mean,  like a dishonest person.  Shame on you.   

 I also explained that once human action is what influences your chances,   any force similar to gravity or any randomizing device,  is not a factor because it is skill that is determining your success or failure and every action on the board.

For example in chess the random unseen, unknown and inhuman random  force that determines your color selection, does not determine your success or failure,  they are not inherently bad or good,  because every move is determined by your own actions.  Therefore it is not luck.

I'm not pretending to not know what you mean. I still don't know what you mean. You say two opposing things, at nearly the same time. I know what you say, of course, but I have absolutely no idea what you mean. Probably only you know what you mean. 

So back to the question. You said luck is a force, like gravity. Which can be expressed using math to make predictions and measurements. But then you said  you can't give an equation for it, because that's what makes it luck. All within the last few days, you have said both. So which one is it?

Today you are saying any force similar to gravity or randomizing device is not a factor. So yeah, I have absolutely no idea what you mean by that, or most things you say for that matter.

Paddy_OH

It is impossible to tell whether anything that happens is good “luck” or bad “luck” because you never know what the consequence of “luck” will be.
In my short time playing this game, there is just hoping and wishing.  wink

Paddy_OH
CooloutAC wrote:
Paddy_OH wrote:

It is impossible to tell whether anything that happens is good "luck" or bad "luck" because you never know what the consequence of "luck" will be.
In my short time playing this game, there is just hoping and wishing.  

 

I'm not sure what you are saying here.   You can't know if something is lucky or unlucky unless the results are successful,  failed,  or inherently good or bad.   chance,  action and result must all be determined to  then determine luck or not .   I think you are describing why something is not luck. Or possibly confusing chance with luck.   If your chances for good or bad are increased by your own actions its skill.   if by by some other force of action with random chance,  then it is luck.    People sometimes  consider someone playing skillfully or unskillfully leading to success or failure severely above or below their probable chances as lucky,   but that is not technically true. The reason we have the words are to distinguish between games as to fairness and what is sporting and skillful in order to praise rightful human achievement.    

 

Luck is outside our control. If you use skill to fool an opponent, there is no luck. If you are losing a game and your opponent's internet disconnects, then is that luck or a win from consequences beyond your control...  you are correct that the words are used to distinguish. 
Good or bad luck can only be noticed in hindsight...

 

 

 

Paddy_OH
Optimissed wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
Paddy_OH wrote:

It is impossible to tell whether anything that happens is good “luck” or bad “luck” because you never know what the consequence of “luck” will be.
In my short time playing this game, there is just hoping and wishing.  

 

I'm not sure what you are saying here.   You can't know if something is lucky or unlucky unless the results are successful,  failed,  or inherently good or bad.   chance,  action and result must all be determined to  then determine luck or not .   I think you are describing why something is not luck.  Or possibly confusing chance with luck.   If your chances for good or bad are increased by your own actions its skill.   if by by some other force of action with random chance,  then it is luck.    People sometimes  consider someone playing skillfully or unskillfully leading to success or failure severely above or below their probable chances as lucky,   but that is not technically true.  The reason we have the words are to distinguish between games as to fairness and what is sporting and skillful in order to praise rightful human achievement.    

Let's say you have a car accident and the plane you were going to catch crashed, killing everyone on board.

 Or, my dog got out and bit the neighbour and had to be put down, or maybe he got out and went to the woods and brought a rabbit home for tea

mpaetz
CooloutAC wrote:

 

Again,  its not a factor to consider as luck when it is intended in the game,  when all players play in the same wind conditions, and when your human ability is what is increasing your chances of success or failure.  

 

 

 

     Absurd. All the golfers in a tournament do NOT play in the same wind conditions. Wind conditions change over time. Those in an early foursome may have totally different winds than exist in late afternoon. And there are tournaments that utilize more than one golf course. Player A may be on a more sheltered course than player B, getting an advantage. Who gets the more favorable conditions is a matter of chance--"the luck of the draw".

    I would also be interested in knowing what skill it is that lets the golfer know in advance when a sudden gust of wind, strong enough to alter the flight of the ball, is about to occur so that they can alter their shot to account for it. Or is this another example where time travel is necessary to overcome bad luck?

mpaetz
CooloutAC wrote:
Paddy_OH wrote:

 

Luck is outside our control. If you use skill to fool an opponent, there is no luck. If you are losing a game and your opponent's internet disconnects, then is that luck or a win from consequences beyond your control...  you are correct that the words are used to distinguish. 
Good or bad luck can only be noticed in hindsight...

 

 

 

 

True that would indeed be lucky or unlucky.  You are correct.   But I still wouldn't say that is actually part of chess which was the original topic of the thread,  which I believe was to distinguish chess from other games.

     Again with "yes that's luck but it isn't chess." Winning and losing is the very "sporting" element you always talk about. Or is this another case of something rarely happening so we can just ignore it when it does?

     The original question makes no mention of other games.

Kotshmot
CooloutAC wrote:
Kotshmot wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
Kotshmot wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
Kotshmot wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:
CooloutAC wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:

Good grief. Luck is now "a force, just like wind, gravity". I'm not a nerd, but I'll bet there are plenty of nerds here who can explain things like gravity with some sort of mathematical equation. I would love to see the mathematical explanation describing luck. 

There is probably another mathematical equation that describes how some people just get dumber and dumber. 

 

You are the first one to bring to our attention the word force in many of the definitions of luck.  And you literally asked why the word is used in them.   And ironically it is because of you I now speak of it and have been for over a week now.    Every day you get more and more dishonest in my eyes. Now you are pretending this is the first time you are hearing of it?   Shame on you.

How about instead of skirting around the issue, address the matter being discussed. You said luck is a force like gravity or the wind. So, what is the mathematical equation for luck? In other words, how, specifically can it's affect be predicted? I don't mean generally, I mean speciically. 

What is the equation that will predict the EXACT amount of luck for any given event?

 

it can't, thats what makes it luck.

You've got everybody confused because you say one thing to refute a point and then something contradicting to refute another point. We are at a stalemate.


It would only be a stalemate if I also stopped addressing your points.  It seems you dont' know how a debate works,  just like you don't know the difference between luck vs skill,  games based solely on skill vs games based solely on luck vs games that have elements of both.  You don't know the difference between chance vs luck.   Don't know the different between human force of action vs random force of action.   Don't know what a sport is,  don't know what competitive means.   Don't know why the words skill and luck exist because you can't determine what is fair and sporting,  etc....

Well to be exact you would be in a check mate but you're type of guy who keeps playing and claims there was no mate.

Your aggression and made up claims (don't know this, don't know that) is a sign that youre perfectly aware you have nothing else. 

 

HEre is a past of my last post to you,  and you decided to stop addressing my points.   Give it another shot.

"

you are the one who is unable to point to anything.  and I'm constantly pointing to examples of luck in every post I reply to you with.  Yet you ignorantly block all out of your mind.   Are you not aware of this fact about yourself?    I said kinetic force in dice rolls or slot machines,      I said Patriot had a better argument then you because she at least cited the wind.  It is simply any randomizing device playing a role.   But again,  there are many factors that define luck,  not simply an inhuman force,   chances and results also matter as I have explained many times. 

But do you see why you are forced to call human action both luck and skill,  because you have no other force of action to point to as an example of luck and you need something to prove your false narrative. You don't even understand what luck is.  That is worse then others in this thread,  who understand luck,  but still dishonestly try to point to examples of luck outside of chess to prove it is in chess.  Yet You have been in this forum for a week,  with no examples at all.     

 

Are you waking up yet?  This is why I constantly told you to look up the definition,   because if we go by what you imply luck to be,  then yes in fact,  Luck does not exist in your world. As I have said directly to you  many times.""

 

Anyone who reads your last post that you cited here will come to the same conclusion. You don't say anything specific there that I should respond to, it's just random rambling and going backwards in the argument.

For example I've also used the wind example as an external force but your response to it was that there is still no element of luck in play, even tho it was proven there is.

In chess, yes it is only human moving the pieces and no other force, but this is no proof that there is no luck involved. If you lose your keys and find them after a week because you step on them, theres only human force in play here. Yet you should agree its a lucky incident. Not even an analogy to chess necessarily, but just against this specific argument that there needs to be another force to allow the element of luck.

 

I explained to you why the wind in golf is not lucky or unlucky.  Its an intended part of the game and unlike dice rolls for example,  you human ability can increase your chances in the wind.  Very simple to explain because I'm simply going off the definition of the word you are attempting to argue.  

 

Again,  Luck is "without ones own action".  again very simple to understand.    I've never agreed to anything about losing ones keys.  Why lie?   First of all,  If you lose them it was your own fault,  not unlucky.  Second of all that is not a multiplayer competition.  LIke i keep trying to get across to you.  Chess is.  Stay on the topic of luck as it applies to gaming and chess.

Again, it doesn't matter if you can affect the outcome in the wind. This only proves theres is skill involved. Just like wind can affect the outcome out of your control, this proves there is luck also. Neither force can prove the other element doesn't exist. There is no definition in the world you can cite in your reply and prove otherwise.

I never said you agreed, I said you should agree. Another ridiculous answer, you think stepping on keys to find them is not lucky.

"It's not a multiplayer competition"

So what? Examples out of context of games can still prove your argument does not work. Luck applies to life and gaming the same, as opposed to what you claim without any reasonable argument.

Also I never said losing keys was unlucky, I said finding them was lucky. You threw in a strawman argument once again to deflect the real stuff.

 

 

 

 

SmyslovFan

There absolutely is luck in chess. We can see it in matches between chess engines. They may play a 100 game match against each other using the same opening and have ten decisive games between them. There’s no way to predict in advance which ten games they will be.

 

I think it was Peter Svidler who said, it takes skill to win a game, but luck to win a tournament. Some players push the odds in their favor (“good players are always lucky” as Capa said), but there’s still uncertainty and randomness in chess.

 

The objective of every great player is to minimize the role of luck. But until the game is solved, there will be luck in chess.