Master potential?

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JoeFried45

I'm 17 years old and learned the chess basics around 8-9 months ago.  I always played casually but I would  get crushed by an average 1200.  Now I'm around 1850 here on 30 min time control.  I've done some endgame study and a tad of HTRYC by Silman (50 pgs in) but nothing else really. I'm going to continue HTRYC and get better positionally.  I did some forum research and analysis suggested chess.com standard rating is similar to what my OTB rating would be.  My question is do I have Grandmaster potential? I know I can become an expert easily and perhaps a master as well with some work. Here are some of my latest games 

 
DjonniDerevnja

You will probably become Fm in a few years if working hard. After that you will understand if GM is possible or too much work.

slowdeath22

It's very unlikely you will become a GM. Sure, an IM or a FM, but GM generally requires you to start from a much younger age as that is the ripe time for learning. By the way, you should not compare OTB ratings to online chess ratings as many sites have rating inflations and there are some psychological differences between OTB and online chess for many people.

DjonniDerevnja

The Fiderating is more expencive than standard chess.com, but anyway: Reaching 1850 chess.com-standard, starting from scratch nine months ago is progress far above normal and must be extreme talent. It is improvement at the same speed as the best small kids in Norway. I do not think Joe Fried is too old.

slowdeath22

Although it is very nice, it was not a jump. He basically starts at 1850 because he is a 17 year old, they are generally more intelligent than 10-14 year olds and he is therefore stronger tactically.

DjonniDerevnja

1850 is very strong, maybe close to 1650 Fide. Such strenght usually takes a decent talent 2-5 years to build, starting from scratch.

For extremely hardworking talents Gm is possible to reach after 1500 rated OTB longchess games and very hard work from the age 6 to 16, included IM and GM coaching. Aryan Tari did it, and he is maybe the hardest working chess talent ever in Norway.

It will be very difficult for Joe Fried to find enough time to do the GM-job. I believe time is a larger obstacle than age. It is easier for small kids to find time, and some also can attend  a chessgymnasium lead by a strong GM when they becomes teenagers.

VLaurenT

Play OTB chess. Online ratings are different.

enforcer_ch

Very simple: If you can beat me then maybe 1/100 0000 chance  but if you lose to me. You will never be a master.

 

I am open for 10 min blitz or 15+10 rapid...

 

Thx.