Tournament Prediction Game 2017 (PPP) 🡺 "Tata Steel Chess 2018"

This is different than the Paris one, right?

Are you sure that you have the correct number of games?

Yeah MVL - Carlsen tiebreak!

I hope MVL wins!

It's the same format!

Full standings after Paris:

@MSC157 maybe you should change the weighting of the scores; Paris has much more effect on the standings than Norway (maybe try and keep them equal?). Also, I have a spreadsheet template I knocked up in a few minutes that automatically fetches each player's results from each sheet, if you want me to send it to you then I'm happy to do that.

True. Norway results should be multiplied by 4 or smth

Too late now, next time!

Thank you everyone for all the insightful posts. First of all, I should tell you that I forgot my charger for the laptop at home, so I will have some difficulties operating when it's lights off 😅

@ThomasJEvans, this is amazing. It makes everything so much easier. I'd be very pleased in case you decide to share (and I then know how to use it) 😆

All the criticism about the points... now when you mentioned it, I see your points. I'll tell you my scoring system. Normally I take number of games, divide it by 3 to get MaxPts and then again divide it by 3 to get WinnerPts. So, bigger tournaments gets more points in retrospect. World Cup should be significantly big then.

So, what to do. Hmmm. Maybe make GCT events big (like Paris. Definitely Leuven now, but also Sinq, St. Louis and London), and keep others approximately even? Any ideas?

I suggest for the World Cup because there are so many players to divide the table by 8 and to predict the winner for each of the eight parts (let us write the name in the Google form) besides predicting semi-finalists , finalists and winner. Of course, getting a player right in one of the eight parts will get you less points than getting a semi-finalist right and so on. It's like the prediction of the Speed chess tournament made nu the chess.com staff if you know it. I hope you understand!

With the points, I would say try and keep tournaments between 20-30 and 50 points. The max for Norway was 20 and for Paris was 70, and I would not say that Paris is 3x more important than Norway. I think the winner/podium should be allocated more points than it currently is; otherwise it comes to everyone guessing Carlsen for events he is in, and then guesstimating the decisive games.

In terms of points, I would change the points to the following:

Norway: 15pts for decisive games, 10/15 points for winner (but seeing as no-one got it right it won't affect standings at all) = 25/30 total
Paris: 15 for Rapid decisive, 5 for Rapid winner, 15 for Blitz decisive (with points decreasing by 0.5 for every game out), 5 for Blitz winner, 10 for overall winner = 50 total

This is a suggestion only, but would bring the events totals closer together. I think that the winner's points should be much more than 1/3rd of the decisive games points (probably closer to a 60:40-50:50 split between decisive:winner).

And if you PM me your e-mail, then I will send you the spreadsheet with my G-mail account. Obviously you will need to add more sheets for events and extend the Totals sheet, but the template for it is the same and hopefully easy(ish) to grasp. Or, if it is easier for you, you could allow me to edit the spreadsheet so that I can add the additional sheet (to which you will need my G-mail address), but I presume you would prefer to keep full control over the spreadsheet.

I tried to spice it up by not selecting Carlsen

I'll see what I can do for Leuven

If we could predict the podium or something like that (maybe predict last place) then we could receiver more points in total and could balance events!

I'll take everything into account for the events after Leuven, which will stay the same for now (I don't have much time, last exams). Gonna be interesting now without Carlsen in 3rd FIDE tourney and Biel and Dortmund etc. But yes, fair points. 

@Thomas, I will PM you my email and will see what I can do  

Meanwhile... 

I predict Ian Nepomniachtchi to win the tournament in Leuven. 

Alright, I submitted my predictions... or were they more like preferences...? probably more of the latter

10 minutes left!!!

This should not be forgotten :) Chucky!

https://youtu.be/mrjYc-V-ZaY?t=4h21m5s

The way he goes "Yeah I remember an online game against a GM once" and then recalls the moves almost perfectly (bearing in mind this was probably blitz) and then puts that to his game he's playing now. What a memory! And great that Yasser could find it as well.

Sometimes I get similar things happen during my games where I get the same opening to a game I played 18 months ago, and then I just sit there looking either down in my hands or up in the ceiling with my eyes closed trying to remember the moves and what I did right/wrong; makes me wonder what my opponent thinks when I do that! Just a shame I don't remember it as well as Ivanchuk...

I missed most of today's live broadcast, but thankfully not this part.

I hope that Chucky wins more games and gives more interviews like that, and that you will always point them out here, please!

The draw master has trolled us again!

Your Next Move (Leuven) Grand Chess Tour | Rapid, Round 9 Standings