The Dutch is not smart against someone playing like Kramnik. Remember what happened to Nakamura's Dutch at Corus!
But the tourney before that, what's it's name, didn't Naka beat Anand with the Dutch? It was some top player. Too bad he tried to recycle it, and yeah I remember Kramnik crushing it.
Interesting but under that much pressure and your opponent having an easier situation means the math is pretty much no good. Just look at any sport when a game seven series goes to 3-1, in hockey the defensemen pinch more, etc. If I was a gambler 75 percent would be a good number maybe a little lower.
Anand-Topalov WCC 2010
Nice pic :) Topalov reaching for crown and anand trying to keep it.
Wow, some bizarre use of statistics here. The only possible way statistics can be of use in a situation like this is to say:
Players going in to the last 3 games of a world championship with a lead of 1 point in past matches have won x% of the time. Therefore based on previous results in world championships the winner of the next game will X% of the time go on to win the World Championship.
This is very crude and doesn't take into account player's ratings, who will play 2 of the last 3 games as white, previous World Championship matches being over different lengths of time etc. all of which could be used to make the statistic more representative of what is happening here.
Nakamura is too agressive with the Dutch, Botvinnik would crush Kramnik with the Dutch :)