True or False Chess is a Draw with Best Play from Both Sides

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SirikitS
ponz111 wrote:

I believe from 62 years of playing chess and thousands of my own games that chess is a draw unless one side or the other makes a mistake...

"Chess without mistakes is nothing." ~ K. Richter

NikkiLikeChikki
Mathematicians would call it the “Chess is a Draw Conjecture.” To them, a conjecture is something that has preliminary supporting evidence, but has neither been proven or disproven. Some conjectures turn out to be true, some false.

Absent some sort of mathematical proof or an examination of the universe of chess games, we cannot definitively conclude chess is a draw.

Neither exists so we don’t know, and possibly can never know.

That is the simple irrefutable fact.
Marks1420

No. I still think a hedgehog can use heavy machinery.

NikkiLikeChikki
Hey. I’ve already admitted that chess is probably a draw, but Ponzie argues that it’s definitely a draw, which is ridiculous.

A perfect example is Euler’s sum of powers conjecture. I won’t go into details because they’re irrelevant, but for a couple of centuries people argued about it and most believed it to be true because it just made so much sense. Sound familiar?

Then in 1966 a counterexample was found by brute force using a computer search, so the conjecture was proven to be false.

Is chess a draw? Probably.
NikkiLikeChikki
A single ten foot tall hedgehog cannot exist, and this precludes the use of heavy machinery!!!!

Now, perhaps a team of hedgehogs acting in concert could operate heavy machinery, but this only counts if you consider bughouse to be chess, which it’s not.
Thee_Ghostess_Lola

Mathematicians would call it the “Chess is a Draw Conjecture.” To them, a conjecture is something that has preliminary supporting evidence

...making The Fonz right, right ?

Prometheus_Fuschs
lfPatriotGames escribió:

I could only read some of the last couple pages. Three things I know for sure. One, talking about probability and statistics is boring beyond words. Two, Optimissed says it in a way that's much more likeable. Three, Nikki says what's true. 

NikkiLikeChikki
Einstein believed with all his heart that there was no way that the quantum world was probabilistic or that quantum entanglement could exist. At a fundamental level of human understanding it makes absolutely zero sense. I am willing to admit that there was some positive probability that he was smarter than I am, but he turned out to be dead wrong.

Go ahead and believe that chess is definitely a draw. That’s your right. It doesn’t make it true, and you have no proof, but feel free to believe whatever you’d like.
Marks1420

What if the hedgehog tried really really hard?

NikkiLikeChikki
@lola no. Ponzie is not right. As I said before, lots of conjectures have had preliminary supporting evidence that have proven to be false. Ponzie claims his evidence as proof, which it’s not. A conjecture by definition can give you no more than “probably,” which I’ve already agreed to.
NikkiLikeChikki
@nm marks - ok. Perhaps if you significantly modified the heavy machinery, there might be a way for a single, non-genetically engineered hedgehog to operate heavy machinery... in theory! In practice, OSHA regulations, union objections to nonhumans taking their jobs, and the need to hibernate in the winter months would make it a practical impossibility.

So... maybe?
Ziryab

I think that Wisconsin hedgehogs are smarter than those where you are. They can probably handle the machinery. 

Marks1420

Some goldfish recognize their owners!

NikkiLikeChikki
@optimissed: you’ve once again sidestepped the point of the analogy. The point was that absent conclusive evidence, even smart people who are certain of their opinions, can be wrong.

For instance sheep can definitely not operate heavy machinery. At least hedgehogs have little paws, but sheep have hooves! You can’t grasp anything with a hoof!
Thee_Ghostess_Lola
NikkiLikeChikki wrote:
@lola no. Ponzie is not right. As I said before, lots of conjectures have had preliminary supporting evidence that have proven to be false. Ponzie claims his evidence as proof, which it’s not. A conjecture by definition can give you no more than “probably,” which I’ve already agreed to.

i dont really like Fonzies approach. he seemsta be basing it purely on empiricism (hes like 147) and excluding theory. which to me is kinda hillbilly. butt (and hes kinda one & he knows it), he is not being proven wrong cuz the empirical avenue has always been very strong evidence ! its s/t we cannot argue with, right ? right now, chessed is a draw until proven theoretically o/w. will it ?...trust me a wooden-clad case will be made as towers get stronger. butt (lol !) the fonz is the fonz and he is Thee Tower right now.

caveat: im respectful of STEM theory but i make my decisions using it as combined with primary practical reasoning (like teezing ponz). and in my tiny mind & on my tiny island ?...practice leads & theory supports (actually s/t's theory doesnt even come in).

...and thats all i hafta say to you. goodbye.

DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

@NikkiLikeChikki
The simple, irrefutable fact is that a proper, mathematical proof of the Chess is a Draw Conjecture will possibly never be performed.

That's all and in the meantime, we can believe what we wish. Are we agreed?

Thanks for agreeing that there's no solution and that Ponz cannot make this claim.  It's an opinion, without proof.

ChessLosrz

@Optomissed did you just diss a guy with 60 more iq points than you?

Numquam
Optimissed schreef:

Look, this is silly. You and btickler are claiming to be intelligent. btickler obviously isn't but I thought you were, but just a mite confused. If you can't follow a simple explanation, what's the point?

The dart hits the dartboard and so the probability of that is unity. If you claim that there are infinite points on the board that it may hit then the probability of it hitting one of them is unity divided by infinity and clearly it cannot be zero, because zero is a real concept, relating to an identifiable situation, such as "there are no pennies in my piggybank". But the analogy with the dartboard is "there are no brain cells in btickler's head", meaning hardly any at all.

It is clear that you know nothing about mathematics and there is nothing wrong with that. You have to be careful when using infinity in mathematics. The probability of hitting a point in that example is indeed zero. However you cannot use that to reason that the probability of hitting the board is zero, because the addition law for probabilities cannot be used since the number of points on the board is not countable. Also you can find a good explanation of impossible events here: https://www.statlect.com/glossary/impossible-event

Yes, there are different types of infinity. So it is a bad idea to use it like a number. Let's say that A(n) and B(n) go to infinity as n goes to infinity. Then A(n)/B(n) isn't necessarily one as n goes to infinity. You can find examples that  A(n)/B(n) goes to infinity or zero.

ChessLosrz

You pretty much called Einstein a failure, yet he has done more than you ever will.

ChessLosrz
Optimissed wrote:
ChessLosrz wrote:

@Optomissed did you just diss a guy with 60 more iq points than you?

No, one with 10 less, who had some pretty deplorable habits.

Did you just claim to have a 170 IQ?