@maxkho2
What I've said was that his percentage is greater here because of more beginners on this site (most people are beginners, as the rating average of 640 suggests, and this can't be disproven).
And the average is dropping which is undeniable, as 1000 is certainly a greater number than 640. You may look at it any way you wish, but I do not need better evidence than that, that this rating is falling. I am looking at this rating from time to time, and have noticed it long ago. For instance, last time I looked at it, it was just below 700.
From April 2023, I've found it:
So it was 670 back then. Now it is 640, as I've already shown you.
The average rating on lichess and lichess tendencies are completely meaningless for me, I am talking strictly about chess.com average rating, and you can't speak about chess.com through lichess glasses, as you said it yourself, player pool is different, especially on the lower end, and that lower end is making chess.com average rating decrease, even though lichess's average is increasing (I'll take your word on it because I have no idea about lichess average rating).
Let me quote you to remind you what you said: "it makes sense really, the average rating is constantly dropping here, because more and more people are opening new accounts".
I'm not disputing that chess.com's average rating is dropping because it has increasingly more beginners; that's obvious. I'm disputing your assertion that "more and more people opening new accounts" necessarily means there should be more beginners at any given time.
That assertion is provably false, since Lichess also has more and more people opening new accounts, but the number of beginners there only deceases, as proven by the fact that the average rating there rises when deflation is controlled for.
The average rating on chess.com is indeed falling, but that's NOT just because new players keep joining it; it's rather because that the players that do join it are mostly casual players who don't improve much (due to not being serious about chess).
Then you must have misunderstood me.
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It's rather because that the players that do join it are mostly casual players who don't improve much (due to not being serious about chess).
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This is exactly what the point of my first post is. That is why I mentioned that most of people on the site are beginners. I thought that was obvious from that post.
@maxkho2
What I've said was that his percentage is greater here because of more beginners on this site (most people are beginners, as the rating average of 640 suggests, and this can't be disproven).
And the average is dropping which is undeniable, as 1000 is certainly a greater number than 640. You may look at it any way you wish, but I do not need better evidence than that, that this rating is falling. I am looking at this rating from time to time, and have noticed it long ago. For instance, last time I looked at it, it was just below 700.
From April 2023, I've found it:
So it was 670 back then. Now it is 640, as I've already shown you.
The average rating on lichess and lichess tendencies are completely meaningless for me, I am talking strictly about chess.com average rating, and you can't speak about chess.com through lichess glasses, as you said it yourself, player pool is different, especially on the lower end, and that lower end is making chess.com average rating decrease, even though lichess's average is increasing (I'll take your word on it because I have no idea about lichess average rating).
Let me quote you to remind you what you said: "it makes sense really, the average rating is constantly dropping here, because more and more people are opening new accounts".
I'm not disputing that chess.com's average rating is dropping because it has increasingly more beginners; that's obvious. I'm disputing your assertion that "more and more people opening new accounts" necessarily means there should be more beginners at any given time.
That assertion is provably false, since Lichess also has more and more people opening new accounts, but the number of beginners there only deceases, as proven by the fact that the average rating there rises when deflation is controlled for.
The average rating on chess.com is indeed falling, but that's NOT just because new players keep joining it; it's rather because that the players that do join it are mostly casual players who don't improve much (due to not being serious about chess).