What's The Most Likely Chess Event In 2015?

It's obviously going to be Anand returning to 2800. Danny Rensch and Peter Doggers still each have >100 pts before realistically reaching GM and IM respectively, and Rensch says he doesn't play much tournament chess anymore so there's no way he would get his GM norms. As for Nakamura winning the Grand Prix, well, that is a very strong tournament with other people with at leat as good a chance of winning the tournament as Hikaru. I assume the Rainn Wilson option was a joke, so I was appalled when I saw that 4% actually chose that option. Sorry Rainn. ): Caruana will have to raise his rating 42 pts before he overtakes Carlsen. There are many strong female players and Hou Yifan will have a difficult time against her challenger. It's tough to break a record of 13 years 8 months for youngest GM, and I haven't heard of anybody close. Wei Yi is still <2780, so it will be a while before his rating goes up >50 pts. Carlsen still has 38 pts to go to 2900, and that is a lot. My main argument is that Anand only has 3 POINTS to go before he hits 2800 again! How is this less likely than Carlsen raising his rating 38 points in the same time. 19% voted for Anand Returning to 2800 while 24% voted for Carlsen breaking 2900. Keep in mind that even though Anand is not 24, he is no slouch. He is 2797 and #5 in the world and he won the London Chess Classic. He gave Carlsen a good fight in the WCC. Anand is good! None of the other options are close to the likelihood of Anand returning to 2800.   

Dude this is a response to the poll on the chess.com homepage.