Will computers ever solve chess?

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troy7915
blacktower01 wrote:

Every rasonable chess player know chess is draw.. 

 

   Rather, every reasonable player speculates that chess is a draw. That definition apparently excludes Kasparov, who doesn’t ‘know’ what other ‘reasonable’ players know...

 Now, when you put it that way, according to your definition and adding the fact about Kasparov presented above, your statement is either denied—not every reasonable player knows what you said they know, since Kasparov is a more than reasonable player—or the statement is true, every reasonable player knows that, but ‘every’ eliminates Kasparov, who is now relegated to the status of not being a reasonable player—which is a non-fact, so again your initial statement is denied.

 

  That being said, the strength of the player is irrelevant. The fact remains that as a fact, nobody knows.

troy7915
blacktower01 wrote:

If you could look in a metaphorical mirror, you would see how your brain is moving from one belief to another, not in chess, but in your daily activities. From one insecurity to another. And if you were able to observe yourself in such a manner you could also see that the human mind in general functions like this, from one belief to another, from one speculation to another.

 

So you know how the brain works...fine..no hormons no protein no neuroshit only speculation.

Your assumption chest is heavy to carry on.

Your brain also works that manner ? From a speculation to another ?

 

  Each speculation triggers its feeling, but it’s the speculation that creates the image which creates the feeling. The feeling is like a shadow, while the root is the image created by the opinion about a fact which is no longer seen, only speculated about.

USArmyParatrooper
troy7915 wrote:
blacktower01 wrote:

Every rasonable chess player know chess is draw.. 

 

   Rather, every reasonable player speculates that chess is a draw. That definition apparently excludes Kasparov, who doesn’t ‘know’ what other ‘reasonable’ players know...

 Now, when you put it that way, according to your definition and adding the fact about Kasparov presented above, your statement is either denied—not every reasonable player knows what you said they know, since Kasparov is a more than reasonable player—or the statement is true, every reasonable player knows that, but ‘every’ eliminates Kasparov, who is now relegated to the status of not being a reasonable player—which is a non-fact, so again your initial statement is denied.

 

  That being said, the strength of the player is irrelevant. The fact remains that as a fact, nobody knows.

Boom.

 

Q: After 1.e4 e5 does white have mate in 136 moves on the board? 

A: “I don’t know”

 

Then you don’t KNOW if chess is a draw.

troy7915
ponz111 wrote:
troy7915 wrote:
ponz111 wrote:
troy7915 wrote:   ponz in red     ponz in blue
ponz111 wrote:

The stronger the chess player--the more likely that player will believe that chess is a draw when neither side makes a mistake.

The stronger the chess player--the more likely he/she will think that the current chess knowledge is useful. [and that chess player uses his/her chess knowledge to do well in his games]

 

  Very few people are free from beliefs, and ‘strong chess players’ are no exception. They believe in general, in life, they hold beliefs in many directions, usually based on ‘ if the majority see it, it must be true.WOW! you are very wrong in this statement! One reason strong players are so strong is that they do NOT blindly follow authority.

‘ So they jump on the bandwagon of belief , while blind as bats. The truth is just the opposite of what you are saying.

 

It is irrelevant that then they try to convince themselves and others that there are rational reasons for that belief to be something true. If you mean "strong play" for "belief" their  results vindicate their beliefs as to how to play chess.

 

And they usually succeed, at in least in fooling themselves into believing it’s more than a belief: a belief trying to replace another belief! You apparently do not know very many chess masters or chess grandmasters or maybe you would not make these statements which are contrary to reality?

 

  Yet believing in a non-fact doesn’t make it into a fact.’ of course--who ever said something different?

 

  Nobody cares who holds what beliefs. The pristine fact remains that nobody knows what the result of a perfect game is. This is  not true. I know what the result of a perfect game is. [just because you do not know something does not mean it cannot be known]

 

  You misunderstand. GMs, just like scientists, even the best of them, in daily life, which means outside the game of chess ( or science, respectively), hold a lot of beliefs. You are simply blind to how your brain works, in daily life, and not knowing yourself, you don’t know anybody else.  i hold a lot of beliefs, I believe earth is teeming with life. I believe My son is in school right now.

 

 If you could look in a metaphorical mirror, you would see how your brain is moving from one belief to another, it only moves from one belief to another if some facts come out to show me i am wrong. This happens but not very often at all.

 

not in chess,  In chess sometimes i change my mind--based on facts or new information--but sometimes.

 

but in your daily activities. From one insecurity to another. And if you were able to observe yourself in such a manner you could also see that the human mind in general functions like this, what? being insecure?

 

from one belief to another, from one speculation to another. there can be a difference between "belief" and "speculation" "beliefs" [to me] require a lot of facts or a lot of evidence.

GM’s, like any idiot out there, are not above this pattern. In their petty lives, they are full of beliefs. We are all full of beliefs. This does not mean the beliefs are untrue. GM's tend to believe based on facts and evidence--much more so than the average person.

 The reason I brought it up before was to show you that the same pattern of beliefs from their everyday lives is transferred to the game of chess: you just contradited what you wrote above ["not in chess"]

after all it is the same brain, they don’t have a spare one. actually they  have their own brain and everybody's brains are different--expecially in how they acquire beliefs. 

 

Which is why they might believe that a perfect game is a draw. NO WAY!   grandmasters do not think that way! The game of chess requires a whole lot of logic. To play well requires logic. To play super well requires even better logic.

 

It’s what the brain does, moving from one non-fact to another, from one assumption to another, not my brain  -- my beliefs are based on facts and evidence. 

 

which is why suffering of man continues. The human mind avoids the facts per se, in this psychological field of life. [ this is dt accidently changed the color of your sentence--but i do not believe all minds are like that--some of us are skeptics [i am]  and very much avoid following authority.

 

 

  What is the main assumption at the core of it all? If I asked you ‘ who are you?’, what would you answer? I would give facts about myself to answer that question.

 

THAT is the root of all assumptions, which acts like a virus that destroys a computer. What is the root of all assumptions?  With me my assumptions come from facts and evidence.

 

  Now, aside from childishly repeating that a perfect game is a draw, you haven’t produced a single shred of logical evidence in arriving at that crooked conclusion. Not a single one. Actually i have produced a ton of evidence and other posters have also produced evidence. You have a confirmation bias and you reject all the evidence that does not fit into  your preconceived ideas.

 So if you want to present something else, let’s have it, after presenting a ton of evidence--i really do not need to present more. and other posters have also presented evidence--which you ignore because of your extreme confirmation bias.

You also have used logical fallacies such as Ad hominem and strawman because of your extreme confirmation bias. You also have shown you lack a understanding how the minds of very good chess players work.

 

and, like your previous immature  attempts, very good! doing another logical fallacy here!

it will be instantly refuted not just by me, but by any logical person here, and fortunately we have quite a few.  and are they going to instantly refute all the other posters also?--i have noticed the other posters who i agree with were all quite good players.

 

 Let’s have it!

 

 

  The game of chess requires logic. But we are talking about perfect moves. We are not interested in how good are the GMs, or any player: no matter how good they are, from the vantage point of perfect moves they are nothing, and present-day machines as well.

 

 You don’t understand what perfect is. You keep jumping to conclusions that some stupid moves which are hold in high regard by theory today can be called perfect. That is jumping to conclusions.

 

  Next, the reason you don’t see that GMs jump to conclusions and are not ‘neutral’ in everyday life is because you don’t see yourself not being ‘neutral’ in everyday life.

 

  Now, you are still utterly confused about what a belief is. You say ‘ I believe my son is in school right now.’  But the fact is, he could be anywhere else, despite your belief that he’s there, the fact is that you don’t really know. This is the fact. You can speculate where he is, based on ‘factual evidence’, but if you’re not there right now with him, you simply don’t know. You are speculating, which is what a belief is, despite ‘ factual evidence’.

 Which is what we are saying: a perfect game may be a draw. It may not. Without speculating, we do not know. Unless we speculate. No speculation, no certainty. We don’t know. Nobody does. 

 

 The point is for you to start recognizing the difference between a certain fact and an uncertain belief/speculation. Two very different things.

 

  You do not know that a perfect game is a draw in the same way you do know your son is in school right now. 

 

 You can speculate in each case, but the fact remains that you don’t know with certainty.

 

  ‘Who are you?’ As predicted, you are already speculating about the answer: the root-speculation of them all.  I didn’t ask about ‘facts about you’. I asked who are you? Not what you did, what you accomplished, what you presently do, what you like and dislike, what is/was your profession—none of that. I asked who are you?

 

 But you cannot approach anything directly, you need the helping crutch of belief.

troy7915
USArmyParatrooper wrote:
troy7915 wrote:
blacktower01 wrote:

Every rasonable chess player know chess is draw.. 

 

   Rather, every reasonable player speculates that chess is a draw. That definition apparently excludes Kasparov, who doesn’t ‘know’ what other ‘reasonable’ players know...

 Now, when you put it that way, according to your definition and adding the fact about Kasparov presented above, your statement is either denied—not every reasonable player knows what you said they know, since Kasparov is a more than reasonable player—or the statement is true, every reasonable player knows that, but ‘every’ eliminates Kasparov, who is now relegated to the status of not being a reasonable player—which is a non-fact, so again your initial statement is denied.

 

  That being said, the strength of the player is irrelevant. The fact remains that as a fact, nobody knows.

Boom.

 

Q: After 1.e4 e5 does white have mate in 136 moves on the board? 

A: “I don’t know”

 

Then you don’t KNOW if chess is a draw.

 

 Yes, as a fact, nobody knows.

 

 But he’s saying that he knows. Any idea how he jumped to that conclusion? Because most GMs say that, and he jumped on that bandwagon? Because he’s impatient not knowing, and he wants a certain conclusion? Wanting to feel certain, secure?

  Anything remotely logical that he presented as a basis for his reasoning?

ZephC
s23bog wrote:

Some people aren't as gifted with words as btickler, and often rely upon visual aids to express themselves. 

 @s23bog . Do they ( "Some people aren't as gifted... ")trash talk? Just curious.

lfPatriotGames

Another few pages and the only that has changed is Troy and USArmy are widening the common sense gap between themselves and Ponzi. If even an emotional girl can see that humans and machines are still a long way from perfection, shouldn't most everyone else see it too? I think it's possible someday a computer could solve chess, maybe if only by accident. And it's probably possible a perfect game has already been played, maybe between two 1400s who happened to each play literally the best moves possible. Maybe they had no idea the end result was the answer to chess. But no one, probably for a very long time will ever know. 

As for grandmasters opinions on perfect chess or the result of perfect chess, it reminds me of the commercial about the brain surgeon. Maybe he's never seen the inside of a hospital or even graduated from community college, but he DID stay at a Holiday Inn last night. Compared to perfection, a grandmaster (and probably even the worlds best computer) is a bumbling beginner. Neither have any clue what perfection is nor do they "know" what the outcome of a perfect game is. 

troy7915
lfPatriotGames wrote:

Compared to perfection, a grandmaster (and probably even the worlds best computer) is a bumbling beginner. Neither have any clue what perfection is nor do they "know" what the outcome of a perfect game is. 

 

  YET he knows. Don’t ask how, he just knows. Just because you don’t know doesn’t mean he doesn’t either. Evidence?  He’s produced enough of it, other people agreed with him ( another piece of evidence), and of course, most GMs believe it’s a draw. And since believing and knowing are the same, the GMs actually know it’s a draw. Another piece of evidence, right there!

 Enough evidence in another thread, no point in repeating it here, to a bunch of people who decided in advance he’s wrong. 

  Of course, don’t forget present theory, as a partial factor, his own analysis and experience (!) , the brilliant way he beat some National Master, and let’s not forget his amazing puzzle-solving skills, which the best computers cannot yet match, maybe in the future but not now, and in general, the amazing amount of knowledge that we accumulated about the game of chess—all of this proves, together, because any single factor in itself is not enough but together...eh, together it’s quite a different story...all these factors in combination, show without any doubt whatsoever that a perfect game ends in a draw. Crystal-clear, eh?

 

  After all, he DID stay at the Hollywood Inn last night!

vickalan
btickler wrote:

...that I couldn't Google up in 5 minutes flat...

That's good. Next time you see a comment that's confusing to you, you can just google it.happy.png

ponz111
troy7915 wrote:   ponz in green
ponz111 wrote:
troy7915 wrote:
ponz111 wrote:
troy7915 wrote:   ponz in red     ponz in blue
ponz111 wrote:

The stronger the chess player--the more likely that player will believe that chess is a draw when neither side makes a mistake.

The stronger the chess player--the more likely he/she will think that the current chess knowledge is useful. [and that chess player uses his/her chess knowledge to do well in his games]

 

  Very few people are free from beliefs, and ‘strong chess players’ are no exception. They believe in general, in life, they hold beliefs in many directions, usually based on ‘ if the majority see it, it must be true.WOW! you are very wrong in this statement! One reason strong players are so strong is that they do NOT blindly follow authority.

‘ So they jump on the bandwagon of belief , while blind as bats. The truth is just the opposite of what you are saying.

 

It is irrelevant that then they try to convince themselves and others that there are rational reasons for that belief to be something true. If you mean "strong play" for "belief" their  results vindicate their beliefs as to how to play chess.

 

And they usually succeed, at in least in fooling themselves into believing it’s more than a belief: a belief trying to replace another belief! You apparently do not know very many chess masters or chess grandmasters or maybe you would not make these statements which are contrary to reality?

 

  Yet believing in a non-fact doesn’t make it into a fact.’ of course--who ever said something different?

 

  Nobody cares who holds what beliefs. The pristine fact remains that nobody knows what the result of a perfect game is. This is  not true. I know what the result of a perfect game is. [just because you do not know something does not mean it cannot be known]

 

  You misunderstand. GMs, just like scientists, even the best of them, in daily life, which means outside the game of chess ( or science, respectively), hold a lot of beliefs. You are simply blind to how your brain works, in daily life, and not knowing yourself, you don’t know anybody else.  i hold a lot of beliefs, I believe earth is teeming with life. I believe My son is in school right now.

 

 If you could look in a metaphorical mirror, you would see how your brain is moving from one belief to another, it only moves from one belief to another if some facts come out to show me i am wrong. This happens but not very often at all.

 

not in chess,  In chess sometimes i change my mind--based on facts or new information--but sometimes.

 

but in your daily activities. From one insecurity to another. And if you were able to observe yourself in such a manner you could also see that the human mind in general functions like this, what? being insecure?

 

from one belief to another, from one speculation to another. there can be a difference between "belief" and "speculation" "beliefs" [to me] require a lot of facts or a lot of evidence.

GM’s, like any idiot out there, are not above this pattern. In their petty lives, they are full of beliefs. We are all full of beliefs. This does not mean the beliefs are untrue. GM's tend to believe based on facts and evidence--much more so than the average person.

 The reason I brought it up before was to show you that the same pattern of beliefs from their everyday lives is transferred to the game of chess: you just contradited what you wrote above ["not in chess"]

after all it is the same brain, they don’t have a spare one. actually they  have their own brain and everybody's brains are different--expecially in how they acquire beliefs. 

 

Which is why they might believe that a perfect game is a draw. NO WAY!   grandmasters do not think that way! The game of chess requires a whole lot of logic. To play well requires logic. To play super well requires even better logic.

 

It’s what the brain does, moving from one non-fact to another, from one assumption to another, not my brain  -- my beliefs are based on facts and evidence. 

 

which is why suffering of man continues. The human mind avoids the facts per se, in this psychological field of life. [ this is dt accidently changed the color of your sentence--but i do not believe all minds are like that--some of us are skeptics [i am]  and very much avoid following authority.

 

 

  What is the main assumption at the core of it all? If I asked you ‘ who are you?’, what would you answer? I would give facts about myself to answer that question.

 

THAT is the root of all assumptions, which acts like a virus that destroys a computer. What is the root of all assumptions?  With me my assumptions come from facts and evidence.

 

  Now, aside from childishly repeating that a perfect game is a draw, you haven’t produced a single shred of logical evidence in arriving at that crooked conclusion. Not a single one. Actually i have produced a ton of evidence and other posters have also produced evidence. You have a confirmation bias and you reject all the evidence that does not fit into  your preconceived ideas.

 So if you want to present something else, let’s have it, after presenting a ton of evidence--i really do not need to present more. and other posters have also presented evidence--which you ignore because of your extreme confirmation bias.

You also have used logical fallacies such as Ad hominem and strawman because of your extreme confirmation bias. You also have shown you lack a understanding how the minds of very good chess players work.

 

and, like your previous immature  attempts, very good! doing another logical fallacy here!

it will be instantly refuted not just by me, but by any logical person here, and fortunately we have quite a few.  and are they going to instantly refute all the other posters also?--i have noticed the other posters who i agree with were all quite good players.

 

 Let’s have it!

 

 

  The game of chess requires logic. But we are talking about perfect moves. We are not interested in how good are the GMs, or any player: no matter how good they are, from the vantage point of perfect moves they are nothing, and present-day machines as well.

Here is where you are wrong. GMs and present day machines make perfect moves quite often. Even i make perfect moves quite often. What is a "perfect move" it is a move that does not alter the theoretical result of the game. [from draw to a win or a loss or from a win to a draw or loss are 2 examples] Most of the moves i make are without a mistake which would alter the eventual result of the game.  It is usually when my opponent makes a mistake that the game is changed from an eventual draw to a win for me. 

 

 You don’t understand what perfect is. i just explained what it is. This is what we agreed on for this discussion. 

You keep jumping to conclusions that some stupid moves which are hold in high regard by theory today can be called perfect. You are telling me how i play chess?? You are quite wrong. I make my judgments on my moves via my own analysis. Yes, I will look at theory but my moves are not based entirely on theory. As a matter of fact i wrote 2 books with completely new theory in both of them. So, you are wrong in guessing how i play chess.  You also are guessing wrong at to what i think is a perfect game or a perfect move.  

 

That is jumping to conclusions. this is YOU jumping to conclusions on how i play chess and how i decide my moves--and you are quite wrong.

 

  Next, the reason you don’t see that GMs jump to conclusions and are not ‘neutral’ in everyday life is because you don’t see yourself not being ‘neutral’ in everyday life. not even sure what this sentence means?? What is a neutral conclusion as regards to chess?

most grandmasters when they play chess--try to make moves which will give them the best possible result. Most of the moves they consider are not neutral--they think a potential moves is a good move or a bad move. They only consider a move as neutral when they cannot figure out if it is a good or bad move. and then it is only temporarily neutral.  

 

  Now, you are still utterly confused about what a belief is. You say ‘ I believe my son is in school right now.’  But the fact is, he could be anywhere else, despite your belief  a belief does not requite 100% certainty.

 

that he’s there, the fact is that you don’t really know. i would not know 100%. Maybe there is a 99% chance he is in school.

 

This is the fact. what is a fact?  That i don't know 100%  that he is in school? I already acknowledge that i could believe he is in school and for some reason he might not be in school.

 

You can speculate where he is, based on ‘factual evidence’, but if you’re not there right now with him, you simply don’t know. You almost never know 100% When you get up out of bed in the morning--you do not know 100% it is the right thing to do? You might slip and break your arm?  We do not live our lives by requiring everything to be 100%. We live our lives the best way we can but nothing is going to be 100% true.

You are speculating, which is what a belief is, despite ‘ factual evidence’. "Speculation is believing in something without firm evidence" This is not what i do. For me to believe something i must have firm evidence.

 Which is what we are saying: a perfect game may be a draw. I have firm evidence that a perfect chess game is a draw.

 

It may not. Without speculating, we do not know.i am not speculating that chess is a draw as i have firm evidence that it is a draw. 

  Unless we speculate. No speculation, no certainty. nothing is 100% certain.

We don’t know. Nobody does. Nobody knows 100%. I only know 99.99% that chess is a draw when neither side makes an error. And this is not speculation as i have firm evidence that chess is a draw when neither side makes an error. 

 

 The point is for you to start recognizing the difference between a certain fact and an uncertain belief/speculation. Two very different things. i know the difference. "speculation is believing something without firm evidence. I do not speculate that chess is a draw--i have firm evidence.

On the other hand when you were trying to tell me how  I  think--then YOU were speculating--and you were quite WRONG.

 

  You do not know that a perfect game is a draw in the same way you do know your son is in school right now. Actually when school is in session i have about 99.5% guess he is in school but i have a 99.99% belief that chess is a draw.

 

 You can speculate in each case, but the fact remains that you don’t know with certainty. In neither case am i speculating. 

 

  ‘Who are you?’ As predicted, you are already speculating about the answer: the root-speculation of them all.  I didn’t ask about ‘facts about you’. I asked who are you? the question "Who are you?" is ambiguous. So i would start by telling something about myself if i wanted to answer your ambiguous question. 

 

Not what you did, what you accomplished, what you presently do, what you like and dislike, what is/was your profession—none of that. I asked who are you? which is an ambiguous question.

 

 But you cannot approach anything directly, you need the helping crutch of belief. We do a lot of things out of belief. There is nothing wrong with belief if it is based on facts and evidence. It is not a "crutch" it is a "help"

ponz111
troy7915 wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:

Compared to perfection, a grandmaster (and probably even the worlds best computer) is a bumbling beginner. Neither have any clue what perfection is nor do they "know" what the outcome of a perfect game is. 

 

  YET he knows. Don’t ask how, he just knows. Just because you don’t know doesn’t mean he doesn’t either. Evidence?  He’s produced enough of it, other people agreed with him ( another piece of evidence), and of course, most GMs believe it’s a draw. And since believing and knowing are the same, the GMs actually know it’s a draw. Another piece of evidence, right there!

 Enough evidence in another thread, no point in repeating it here, to a bunch of people who decided in advance he’s wrong. 

  Of course, don’t forget present theory, as a partial factor, his own analysis and experience (!) , the brilliant way he beat some National Master, and let’s not forget his amazing puzzle-solving skills, which the best computers cannot yet match, maybe in the future but not now, and in general, the amazing amount of knowledge that we accumulated about the game of chess—all of this proves, together, because any single factor in itself is not enough but together...eh, together it’s quite a different story...all these factors in combination, show without any doubt whatsoever that a perfect game ends in a draw. Crystal-clear, eh?

 

  After all, he DID stay at the Hollywood Inn last night!

I do not think i mentioned beating a national master?  I did comment on a certain move [3. d4] as it was brought up by someone else.

And, yes, when you take a whole lot of circumstantial evidence together--it very often is good proof--while any one piece of the circumstantial evidence would be evidence but not sufficient evidence.

This happens very often in court trials.

troy7915

It was mentioned by troy [ 3. d4 ]...

 

 Of course, that’s how it works in court. The problem here is that every single evidence presented has nothing to do with what is being talked about, hence the Holiday Inn stay.

 What happens when all the individual ‘proofs’ are individually false? Do they magically become true? No, they remain false, because combining false with more false doesn’t change the false into true: it’s still false.

 It’s like a jerk being attracted to another jerk. They marry and what happens with the new family—when a jerk marries another jerk? 

 

  They’re two married jerks now!

DiogenesDue
vickalan wrote:
btickler wrote:

...that I couldn't Google up in 5 minutes flat...

That's good. Next time you see a comment that's confusing to you, you can just google it.

As usual, you have take the smallest quote snippet you can and then portray it out of context.  It's your go-to tactic when you can't handle something...which is quite frequently.

vickalan
btickler wrote:
vickalan wrote:
btickler wrote:  
You know full well that visually representing it the way you are gives a false impression of the scope/size/order of magnitude of the problem...

A Venn diagram shows the relations of elements into groups. They don't represent scopes, sizes, or magnitudes. This is the type of error that usually gets filtered out immediately at the StackExchange.

...like you would know.  You've probably never even read a second thread there.  I can't recall a single thing you've ever contributed here that I couldn't Google up in 5 minutes flat (or draw in MS Paint, in the case of your childish diagrams).  Stick to cobbling together mediocre chess variants.

Here is the whole quote. If you are confused about Venn diagrams then you can just google it.happy.png

DiogenesDue
vickalan wrote:

Here is the whole quote. If you are confused about Venn diagrams then you can just google it.

Clearly, from all our previous encounters with your tired old Venn diagrams, nobody could be confused about them on this thread.  That doesn't prevent you from misusing them, exactly in the manner you do with your silly tree diagrams.  Maybe you'd have a career at Cambridge Analytica, fooling people at your own level...

---

Vickalan believes in magic:

"As for solving chess, there is some reason to believe it can happen within a decade or two." (page 61)

ponz111
troy7915 wrote:   ponz in red

It mentioned by troy [ 3. d4 ]...this is not a whole sentence--i don't know what it means?

 

 Of course, that’s how it works in court. The problem here is that every single evidence presented has nothing to do with what is being talked about, hence the Holiday Inn stay.  It is your closed mind that every single evidence has nothing to do with what is being talked about. And it is not only my evidence--several posters gave similar evidence.

 What happens when all the individual ‘proofs’ are individually false? Do they magically become true? No, they remain false, because combining false with more false doesn’t change the false into true: it’s still false.Your problem is that those postings were not false.

 It’s like a jerk being attracted to another jerk. They mary and what happens with the new family—when a jerk marries another jerk?  who is mary? 

 

  They’re two married jerks now!

vickalan
btickler wrote:

...You know full well that visually representing it the way you are gives a false impression of the scope/size/order of magnitude of the problem...nobody could be confused about them on this thread...

You were trying to use a Venn diagram to make an assessment about the scope, size, and magnitude of solving chess.meh.png

troy7915
ponz111 wrote:
troy7915 wrote:   ponz in green
ponz111 wrote:
troy7915 wrote:
ponz111 wrote:
troy7915 wrote:   ponz in red     ponz in blue
ponz111 wrote:

The stronger the chess player--the more likely that player will believe that chess is a draw when neither side makes a mistake.

The stronger the chess player--the more likely he/she will think that the current chess knowledge is useful. [and that chess player uses his/her chess knowledge to do well in his games]

 

  Very few people are free from beliefs, and ‘strong chess players’ are no exception. They believe in general, in life, they hold beliefs in many directions, usually based on ‘ if the majority see it, it must be true.WOW! you are very wrong in this statement! One reason strong players are so strong is that they do NOT blindly follow authority.

‘ So they jump on the bandwagon of belief , while blind as bats. The truth is just the opposite of what you are saying.

 

It is irrelevant that then they try to convince themselves and others that there are rational reasons for that belief to be something true. If you mean "strong play" for "belief" their  results vindicate their beliefs as to how to play chess.

 

And they usually succeed, at in least in fooling themselves into believing it’s more than a belief: a belief trying to replace another belief! You apparently do not know very many chess masters or chess grandmasters or maybe you would not make these statements which are contrary to reality?

 

  Yet believing in a non-fact doesn’t make it into a fact.’ of course--who ever said something different?

 

  Nobody cares who holds what beliefs. The pristine fact remains that nobody knows what the result of a perfect game is. This is  not true. I know what the result of a perfect game is. [just because you do not know something does not mean it cannot be known]

 

  You misunderstand. GMs, just like scientists, even the best of them, in daily life, which means outside the game of chess ( or science, respectively), hold a lot of beliefs. You are simply blind to how your brain works, in daily life, and not knowing yourself, you don’t know anybody else.  i hold a lot of beliefs, I believe earth is teeming with life. I believe My son is in school right now.

 

 If you could look in a metaphorical mirror, you would see how your brain is moving from one belief to another, it only moves from one belief to another if some facts come out to show me i am wrong. This happens but not very often at all.

 

not in chess,  In chess sometimes i change my mind--based on facts or new information--but sometimes.

 

but in your daily activities. From one insecurity to another. And if you were able to observe yourself in such a manner you could also see that the human mind in general functions like this, what? being insecure?

 

from one belief to another, from one speculation to another. there can be a difference between "belief" and "speculation" "beliefs" [to me] require a lot of facts or a lot of evidence.

GM’s, like any idiot out there, are not above this pattern. In their petty lives, they are full of beliefs. We are all full of beliefs. This does not mean the beliefs are untrue. GM's tend to believe based on facts and evidence--much more so than the average person.

 The reason I brought it up before was to show you that the same pattern of beliefs from their everyday lives is transferred to the game of chess: you just contradited what you wrote above ["not in chess"]

after all it is the same brain, they don’t have a spare one. actually they  have their own brain and everybody's brains are different--expecially in how they acquire beliefs. 

 

Which is why they might believe that a perfect game is a draw. NO WAY!   grandmasters do not think that way! The game of chess requires a whole lot of logic. To play well requires logic. To play super well requires even better logic.

 

It’s what the brain does, moving from one non-fact to another, from one assumption to another, not my brain  -- my beliefs are based on facts and evidence. 

 

which is why suffering of man continues. The human mind avoids the facts per se, in this psychological field of life. [ this is dt accidently changed the color of your sentence--but i do not believe all minds are like that--some of us are skeptics [i am]  and very much avoid following authority.

 

 

  What is the main assumption at the core of it all? If I asked you ‘ who are you?’, what would you answer? I would give facts about myself to answer that question.

 

THAT is the root of all assumptions, which acts like a virus that destroys a computer. What is the root of all assumptions?  With me my assumptions come from facts and evidence.

 

  Now, aside from childishly repeating that a perfect game is a draw, you haven’t produced a single shred of logical evidence in arriving at that crooked conclusion. Not a single one. Actually i have produced a ton of evidence and other posters have also produced evidence. You have a confirmation bias and you reject all the evidence that does not fit into  your preconceived ideas.

 So if you want to present something else, let’s have it, after presenting a ton of evidence--i really do not need to present more. and other posters have also presented evidence--which you ignore because of your extreme confirmation bias.

You also have used logical fallacies such as Ad hominem and strawman because of your extreme confirmation bias. You also have shown you lack a understanding how the minds of very good chess players work.

 

and, like your previous immature  attempts, very good! doing another logical fallacy here!

it will be instantly refuted not just by me, but by any logical person here, and fortunately we have quite a few.  and are they going to instantly refute all the other posters also?--i have noticed the other posters who i agree with were all quite good players.

 

 Let’s have it!

 

 

  The game of chess requires logic. But we are talking about perfect moves. We are not interested in how good are the GMs, or any player: no matter how good they are, from the vantage point of perfect moves they are nothing, and present-day machines as well.

Here is where you are wrong. GMs and present day machines make perfect moves quite often. Even i make perfect moves quite often. What is a "perfect move" it is a move that does not alter the theoretical result of the game. [from draw to a win or a loss or from a win to a draw or loss are 2 examples] Most of the moves i make are without a mistake which would alter the eventual result of the game.  It is usually when my opponent makes a mistake that the game is changed from an eventual draw to a win for me. 

 

 You don’t understand what perfect is. i just explained what it is. This is what we agreed on for this discussion. 

You keep jumping to conclusions that some stupid moves which are hold in high regard by theory today can be called perfect. You are telling me how i play chess?? You are quite wrong. I make my judgments on my moves via my own analysis. Yes, I will look at theory but my moves are not based entirely on theory. As a matter of fact i wrote 2 books with completely new theory in both of them. So, you are wrong in guessing how i play chess.  You also are guessing wrong at to what i think is a perfect game or a perfect move.  

 

That is jumping to conclusions. this is YOU jumping to conclusions on how i play chess and how i decide my moves--and you are quite wrong.

 

  Next, the reason you don’t see that GMs jump to conclusions and are not ‘neutral’ in everyday life is because you don’t see yourself not being ‘neutral’ in everyday life. not even sure what this sentence means?? What is a neutral conclusion as regards to chess?

most grandmasters when they play chess--try to make moves which will give them the best possible result. Most of the moves they consider are not neutral--they think a potential moves is a good move or a bad move. They only consider a move as neutral when they cannot figure out if it is a good or bad move. and then it is only temporarily neutral.  

 

  Now, you are still utterly confused about what a belief is. You say ‘ I believe my son is in school right now.’  But the fact is, he could be anywhere else, despite your belief  a belief does not requite 100% certainty.

 

that he’s there, the fact is that you don’t really know. i would not know 100%. Maybe there is a 99% chance he is in school.

 

This is the fact. what is a fact?  That i don't know 100%  that he is in school? I already acknowledge that i could believe he is in school and for some reason he might not be in school.

 

You can speculate where he is, based on ‘factual evidence’, but if you’re not there right now with him, you simply don’t know. You almost never know 100% When you get up out of bed in the morning--you do not know 100% it is the right thing to do? You might slip and break your arm?  We do not live our lives by requiring everything to be 100%. We live our lives the best way we can but nothing is going to be 100% true.

You are speculating, which is what a belief is, despite ‘ factual evidence’. "Speculation is believing in something without firm evidence" This is not what i do. For me to believe something i must have firm evidence.

 Which is what we are saying: a perfect game may be a draw. I have firm evidence that a perfect chess game is a draw.

 

It may not. Without speculating, we do not know.i am not speculating that chess is a draw as i have firm evidence that it is a draw. 

  Unless we speculate. No speculation, no certainty. nothing is 100% certain.

We don’t know. Nobody does. Nobody knows 100%. I only know 99.99% that chess is a draw when neither side makes an error. And this is not speculation as i have firm evidence that chess is a draw when neither side makes an error. 

 

 The point is for you to start recognizing the difference between a certain fact and an uncertain belief/speculation. Two very different things. i know the difference. "speculation is believing something without firm evidence. I do not speculate that chess is a draw--i have firm evidence.

On the other hand when you were trying to tell me how  I  think--then YOU were speculating--and you were quite WRONG.

 

  You do not know that a perfect game is a draw in the same way you do know your son is in school right now. Actually when school is in session i have about 99.5% guess he is in school but i have a 99.99% belief that chess is a draw.

 

 You can speculate in each case, but the fact remains that you don’t know with certainty. In neither case am i speculating. 

 

  ‘Who are you?’ As predicted, you are already speculating about the answer: the root-speculation of them all.  I didn’t ask about ‘facts about you’. I asked who are you? the question "Who are you?" is ambiguous. So i would start by telling something about myself if i wanted to answer your ambiguous question. 

 

Not what you did, what you accomplished, what you presently do, what you like and dislike, what is/was your profession—none of that. I asked who are you? which is an ambiguous question.

 

 But you cannot approach anything directly, you need the helping crutch of belief. We do a lot of things out of belief. There is nothing wrong with belief if it is based on facts and evidence. It is not a "crutch" it is a "help"

 

   It is ambiguous because you are confused. In clarity, ‘who are you’ is very clear. In a state of confusion, for a mind drowned in beliefs mistaken for facts, it is ambiguous. Being in a state of confusion you cannot listen to what is said. I clearly said that the answer to that question has nothing to do with ‘facts about yourself’, likes, dislikes and all that, yet you haven’t heard it, and instead are repeating exactly what I established as being irrelevant, like ‘facts about yourself’, instead the fact of yourself, the nature and the structure of yourself.

 Instead of saying “I don’t know what you mean, if you don’t want ‘facts about myself’ “,  on automatic pilot you repeated what was already eliminated.

 

  This is what you do about the chess discussion. You keep repeating irrelevant arguments, or downright wrong ones.

 

Take for instance, the percentage statement. A fact is something that you are 100% sure of. Do you have 0.01% doubts that your son standing in front of you is not quite in front of you? If you do, perhaps you want to check yourself into a psychiatric institution.

 Now, when he’s in school you are not sure 100% he’s there. That means it is not a fact that you know he’s there. Do you understand the difference between the two facts?

 

 One fact is that he’s there. Let’s just say he’s in school, as a fact. It doesn’t matter what you think about his location: the fact remains that he’s in school.

 

 The other fact is you thinking where he is. And despite believing one way or the  other, the fact remains that you don’t know where he is. You may try to reassure yourself that he’s alright, but the actual fact is that he might be dead—now, with all these school shootings. By the way, this is what ‘neutral’ means, ‘objective’. I’m talking objectively about a possible scenario.

 

 Therefore , we have two different facts. One is that your son is in school. But you knowing that is not a fact, it’s a speculation. Even if the speculation turns out to be true, it remains a speculation. This is the part you keep missing. Speculating about something which turns out to be true doesn’t turn the speculation into a fact. Yes, it may turn out it is a fact. But you still speculated it about it. 

 

 The actual, second, fact is that you don’t know where he is. Right? Fact no.1: he is in school. You don’t come into the picture just yet. Fact no. 2: you don’t know where he is.

 

  Now, let’s for a moment go back to that percentage. How exactly did your brain come out with that percentage, 99.99 that a perfect game ends up in a draw?

 

 Once again, don’t ignore a point that I’ve been repeatedly making, and which Patriot just above did again: from a perfection point of view, GMs are like children playing in the sand with their toys. They have no idea what ‘perfect’ is, both in relation to a move or a game. Same for present-day computers.

 

 Finally, let us refute the argument which you think is strongest, but we will see that it’s more of the same. You are saying that to you ‘perfect’ means a move that doesn’t change the evaluation of a position. Surely this is a flawed argument. Right? Does anybody have any doubts it is flawed? Can you see right away that it is flawed? The reasoning comes later, but a quick mind sees immediately that it is based on a false premise

 Right? Ok, let us dismantle it. That definition, sir, starts from the premise that the initial position is equal, which certainly does look like that, except that White has the first move. But that may be an advantage or a disadvantage. And if you consider the initial position equal based on looks, then of course that the perfect game is the one who maintains this more or less equal position.

 

 Now, apart from the fact that nobody knows what is the true evaluation of the initial position, let us just go with it, and say that, as a fact, the initial position is equal, or slightly advantageous for White as it gets to move first and have an initiative. Ok, so far perfect reasoning ( we’re accepting it to be perfect for purposes of this discussion). Now what? White makes a move, 1. e4 and we can’t evaluate it here because we must give Black a chance to respond. So Black responds with 1...e5. Did that change the evaluation? Theory says no. You say no. But USArmy asked a question: does anybody know that White doesn’t have a forced mate in 136 moves?  Nobody knows for sure, which means nobody knows. Therefore, our evaluation may have already drastically changed after 1...e5. In effect, the move 1...e5 may not be perfect, even by your standards. Which, of course, disqualifies the whole game as being perfect.

 And the same goes for every following move. 2. Nf3 may be a forced win for Black, 2...Nc6 may be a forced win for White and 3. Bb5 may lose by force.

 

  Conclusion: unless you played through all the possible moves, you have no idea what the final evaluation of an opening position really is. Without knowing that final evaluation, you have no way of knowing what a perfect move is, and therefore, what a perfect game is.

 You’re in the dark, pal.

 

 

 

  

troy7915
ponz111 wrote:
troy7915 wrote:   ponz in red

 [ 3. d4 ]...i don't know what it means?

 

 

 

 

  Apparently memory has run out of space. You said your comment was in relation to a comment made by someone about 3. d4. That someone was me, proposing 3. d4 as opposed to 3. Bb5, and you mention an irrelevant win, as if to show it is somewhat ‘wrong’, even though Kasparov’s revival of the Scotch proved the contrary...

troy7915

Moreover, you are saying ‘ a belief dies not require to be be 100% true. That’s what why it ‘s a belief.

 

  A fact requires to be true 100%.