Will computers ever solve chess?

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Avatar of troy7915
Preggo_Basashi wrote:
troy7915 wrote:
ponz111 wrote:
troy7915 wrote:  ponz in blue
USArmyParatrooper wrote:
ponz111 wrote:
Preggo_Basashi wrote:

Well, I still remember making an unkind post related to your age, and even if you don't mind, I felt bad about it.

 

Anyway, your evidence is very good, and I agree chess is a draw with best play, it's just the nay sayers here want the ultimate, basically unreachable, highest standard of proof.

Which is not there and will never be there. Even if it comes out chess is solved--this would not at all mean that there is 100% proof chess is solved.

Yes. It would.

 

  He means that in order to verify the proof it would take more than your remaining years here on Earth!

Yes, to verify the proof would take more than your remaining years here on earth.

BUT just because somebody or some news organization says that chess has been solved--DOES NOT MEAN it has been solved. There is a chance that it has not been solved.

 It certainty would not be 100% proof that chess has been solved because someone or some people say it has been solved.

If headlines come out tomorrow that chess has been solved--would you 

 really believe chess has been solved??? Would you really believe 100% that chess has been solved??

 

 

  If a forced mating sequence would be shown  then it’s not a matter of belief. An engine has solved chess, is the statement. Which means it has exhausted  all the variants. That means it investigated everything, up and down, left and right.

 

So until someone can draw or beat this engine I would consider it a fact. It should be extremely easy for this super-engine to beat everyone since it would immediately see where an opponent’s move leads...and actually prove it. It would be a piece of cake. 

 

  Something like this: after the first few moves you make a move and it tells you: ‘with best play this will result in you losing significant material, at first, after which the mate is imminent even for a lower rated player.’.The more you play the more precise it becomes in telling you exactly what’s gonna happen. That’s because you won’t hit the best moves ( which prolong your resistance the most ), so there are too many ways to go wrong to tell you exactly how you’re going to lose. It depends on what errors you commit.

 

  So until someone can draw it, it is a fact. It’s not an absolute proof, but I wouldn’t doubt it either, especially if match after match it crushes any opponent—human or engine—left and right, with a huge, observable, difference in class. 

 

 

Naa, it would still be a proof. Even if no one knew it existed.

Like I said earlier the threshold for justified belief and the threshold for proof are two different things.

 

  That’s the point: you don’t know if it’s a proof. 

Avatar of ponz111
troy7915 wrote:
Preggo_Basashi wrote:
ponz111 wrote:
troy7915 wrote:  ponz in blue
USArmyParatrooper wrote:
ponz111 wrote:
Preggo_Basashi wrote:

Well, I still remember making an unkind post related to your age, and even if you don't mind, I felt bad about it.

 

Anyway, your evidence is very good, and I agree chess is a draw with best play, it's just the nay sayers here want the ultimate, basically unreachable, highest standard of proof.

Which is not there and will never be there. Even if it comes out chess is solved--this would not at all mean that there is 100% proof chess is solved.

Yes. It would.

 

  He means that in order to verify the proof it would take more than your remaining years here on Earth!

Yes, to verify the proof would take more than your remaining years here on earth.

BUT just because somebody or some news organization says that chess has been solved--DOES NOT MEAN it has been solved. There is a chance that it has not been solved.

 It certainty would not be 100% proof that chess has been solved because someone or some people say it has been solved.

If headlines come out tomorrow that chess has been solved--would you 

 really believe chess has been solved??? Would you really believe 100% that chess has been solved??

The threshold of justified belief is a separate topic from the threshold of proof.

If a 32 piece EGTB existed, chess would be solved whether or not anyone believed in it.

 

  You missed his argument: would you trust a computer telling you it has solved chess? Because it would take way, way, way too long for a human to look at all the games it went through... 

I did not miss his argument at all. I just gave additional information why if you were told chess is solved why that would not be 100% proof.

No, if a computer can talk and says it solved chess that would not be 100% proof that the computer actually solved chess.

There is no "proof" that anyone or any computer can give which would be adequate to many here. It would be very unreasonable to believe 100% chess is proven to be a draw [or a win] just because headlines come out that chess is solved.

It could be evidence but not 100% proof.

Avatar of Preggo_Basashi

Yes, but before we were arguing about the type or amount of evidence that constitutes proof.

On one side we had ponz sometimes claiming the evidence he offered was proof.

On the other side we had people saying the standard of true proof was much higher.

 

Basically ponz switched the topic to belief thinking he was one upping this, but actually it subtly changed the topic from what evidence constitutes proof to when a person's belief is justified.

Avatar of troy7915
Preggo_Basashi wrote:
troy7915 wrote:
Preggo_Basashi wrote:
ponz111 wrote:
troy7915 wrote:  ponz in blue
USArmyParatrooper wrote:
ponz111 wrote:
Preggo_Basashi wrote:

Well, I still remember making an unkind post related to your age, and even if you don't mind, I felt bad about it.

 

Anyway, your evidence is very good, and I agree chess is a draw with best play, it's just the nay sayers here want the ultimate, basically unreachable, highest standard of proof.

Which is not there and will never be there. Even if it comes out chess is solved--this would not at all mean that there is 100% proof chess is solved.

Yes. It would.

 

  He means that in order to verify the proof it would take more than your remaining years here on Earth!

Yes, to verify the proof would take more than your remaining years here on earth.

BUT just because somebody or some news organization says that chess has been solved--DOES NOT MEAN it has been solved. There is a chance that it has not been solved.

 It certainty would not be 100% proof that chess has been solved because someone or some people say it has been solved.

If headlines come out tomorrow that chess has been solved--would you 

 really believe chess has been solved??? Would you really believe 100% that chess has been solved??

The threshold of justified belief is a separate topic from the threshold of proof.

If a 32 piece EGTB existed, chess would be solved whether or not anyone believed in it.

 

  You missed his argument: would you trust a computer telling you it has solved chess? Because it would take way, way, way too long for a human to look at all the games it went through... 

I address his argument directly by saying he's talking about belief and not proof.

I address it even earlier on the previous page

 

Preggo_Basashi wrote:

Like, if I showed you moves and said it is the perfect game, there'd be no way to verify it.

So in some kind of ultimate sense, the proof only exists in the mind of God. That sort of thing.

I mean, ok.

But if we cataloged all the positions (like a 32 man endgame tablebase) and for all of white's first moves he computer said "it is a draw" I would believe chess is a draw, and I would call it proof.

 

 

 

  You can call it ‘ proof’ , if you like, but from your perspective it remains a belief. Therefore it is not a proof until you can verify the claim. Otherwise it’s just a belief in authority, in this case computers, but computers may have glitches, too. 

Avatar of Preggo_Basashi

Hey, you've almost got it, good for you.

Avatar of troy7915
ponz111 wrote:
troy7915 wrote:
Preggo_Basashi wrote:
ponz111 wrote:
troy7915 wrote:  ponz in blue
USArmyParatrooper wrote:
ponz111 wrote:
Preggo_Basashi wrote:

Well, I still remember making an unkind post related to your age, and even if you don't mind, I felt bad about it.

 

Anyway, your evidence is very good, and I agree chess is a draw with best play, it's just the nay sayers here want the ultimate, basically unreachable, highest standard of proof.

Which is not there and will never be there. Even if it comes out chess is solved--this would not at all mean that there is 100% proof chess is solved.

Yes. It would.

 

  He means that in order to verify the proof it would take more than your remaining years here on Earth!

Yes, to verify the proof would take more than your remaining years here on earth.

BUT just because somebody or some news organization says that chess has been solved--DOES NOT MEAN it has been solved. There is a chance that it has not been solved.

 It certainty would not be 100% proof that chess has been solved because someone or some people say it has been solved.

If headlines come out tomorrow that chess has been solved--would you 

 really believe chess has been solved??? Would you really believe 100% that chess has been solved??

The threshold of justified belief is a separate topic from the threshold of proof.

If a 32 piece EGTB existed, chess would be solved whether or not anyone believed in it.

 

  You missed his argument: would you trust a computer telling you it has solved chess? Because it would take way, way, way too long for a human to look at all the games it went through... 

I did not miss his argument at all. I just gave additional information why if you were told chess is solved why that would not be 100% proof.

No, if a computer can talk and says it solved chess that would not be 100% proof that the computer actually solved chess.

There is no "proof" that anyone or any computer can give which would be adequate to many here. It would be very unreasonable to believe 100% chess is proven to be a draw [or a win] just because headlines come out that chess is solved.

It could be evidence but not 100% proof.

 

  It’s the fifth time now, it’s gotta be a record! Ponz, I wasn’t talking to you! Clearly,  I was telling Prego that he missed your argument. Not the other way around. But your first tendency is to defend, constantly perceiving that someone is attacking you and you are being mistreated. Oh boy... 

 Calm down: he missed your argument, not you his. 

Avatar of troy7915
Preggo_Basashi wrote:

Hey, you've almost got it, good for you.

But you didn’t, because he was talking about 100% being sure of the proof. The topic is the same. ‘Justified belief’ is nowhere near 100%.

 A belief is a belief and a fact is a fact.

Avatar of Preggo_Basashi

You're making me feel sad, so if you're trolling me, good job.

But I think I've seen you around, and I think you're not a troll, so out of respect I'll leave it at that.

Avatar of USArmyParatrooper
s23bog wrote:
Preggo_Basashi wrote:

Yeah, a dude heals 1 guy's blindness 2000 years ago and that's much more than modern medicine healing (or preventing the sickness) of millions every. single. day.

Every day.

 

 

But it's not a contest, and belief in God shouldn't be predicated on the rewards you'll receive. 

I think you misread.  There are at least two specific accounts of individuals who had their sight restored, but there are several accounts of multitudes coming to visit him.  The accounts include mentions of the blind in those multitudes.

 

But while most stories get exaggerated in the telling, there is significant reason to believe that accounts of his ministry were very watered down.

Why aren’t there any contemporary cases of “miracles” healing amputees?

Avatar of Preggo_Basashi
s23bog wrote:
Preggo_Basashi wrote:

Yeah, a dude heals 1 guy's blindness 2000 years ago and that's much more than modern medicine healing (or preventing the sickness) of millions every. single. day.

Every day.

 

 

But it's not a contest, and belief in God shouldn't be predicated on the rewards you'll receive. 

I think you misread.  There are at least two specific accounts of individuals who had their sight restored, but there are several accounts of multitudes coming to visit him.  The accounts include mentions of the blind in those multitudes.

 

But while most stories get exaggerated in the telling, there is significant reason to believe that accounts of his ministry were very watered down.

Ok, well, science heals more, but like I said, it's not a contest. God isn't a genie that grants wishes.

 

For 1000s of years there were less than 1 billion people on earth, then suddenly in the 20th century we went up to ~7 billion. Why do you think that is?

Avatar of Preggo_Basashi

Canned goods, penicillin, vaccines, industrial farming equipment.

Avatar of Preggo_Basashi

But where did genetic defects and organisms (like viruses) whose only purpose is to make humans suffer and die come from? I mean, science cures and eliminates these things, but they had to have an origin.

These things didn't kill a few people 2000 years ago and then stop. They've been killing every day since forever.

Hmm....

 

This is just one of many examples of unnecessary suffering in the world, but if you stop to think about it, if God exists then in all likelihood he doesn't care about you (or me, and any of us). That's just how it is.

Avatar of USArmyParatrooper
Preggo_Basashi wrote:
s23bog wrote:
Preggo_Basashi wrote:

Yeah, a dude heals 1 guy's blindness 2000 years ago and that's much more than modern medicine healing (or preventing the sickness) of millions every. single. day.

Every day.

 

 

But it's not a contest, and belief in God shouldn't be predicated on the rewards you'll receive. 

I think you misread.  There are at least two specific accounts of individuals who had their sight restored, but there are several accounts of multitudes coming to visit him.  The accounts include mentions of the blind in those multitudes.

 

But while most stories get exaggerated in the telling, there is significant reason to believe that accounts of his ministry were very watered down.

Ok, well, science heals more, but like I said, it's not a contest. God isn't a genie that grants wishes.

 

For 1000s of years there were less than 1 billion people on earth, then suddenly in the 20th century we went up to ~7 billion. Why do you think that is?

It’s not hard to heal more than 0.

Avatar of Preggo_Basashi
USArmyParatrooper wrote:
Preggo_Basashi wrote:
s23bog wrote:
Preggo_Basashi wrote:

Yeah, a dude heals 1 guy's blindness 2000 years ago and that's much more than modern medicine healing (or preventing the sickness) of millions every. single. day.

Every day.

 

 

But it's not a contest, and belief in God shouldn't be predicated on the rewards you'll receive. 

I think you misread.  There are at least two specific accounts of individuals who had their sight restored, but there are several accounts of multitudes coming to visit him.  The accounts include mentions of the blind in those multitudes.

 

But while most stories get exaggerated in the telling, there is significant reason to believe that accounts of his ministry were very watered down.

Ok, well, science heals more, but like I said, it's not a contest. God isn't a genie that grants wishes.

 

For 1000s of years there were less than 1 billion people on earth, then suddenly in the 20th century we went up to ~7 billion. Why do you think that is?

It’s not hard to heal more than 0.

tongue.png

Avatar of Preggo_Basashi

And that's not even bringing up natural disasters... you think original sin causes earthquakes? Really? Heh.

Avatar of troy7915
Preggo_Basashi wrote:

You're making me feel sad

 

 

 Ah, nobody can make you feel anything. It is your affair and solely yours.

 

The problem is nobody understands why we feel the way we do, so we blame others for feelings which happen within our own body. Just because there is no control over them doesn’t mean they came from outside the body.

 

  Bottom line; you’re making yourself sad.

Avatar of Preggo_Basashi
troy7915 wrote:
Preggo_Basashi wrote:

You're making me feel sad

 

 

 Ah, nobody can make you feel anything. It is your affair and solely yours.

 

The problem is nobody understands why we feel the way we do, so we blame others for feelings which happen within our own body. Just because there is no control over them doesn’t mean they came from outside the body.

 

  Bottom line; you’re making yourself sad.

I agree, and I work on altering or broadening my POV from time to time.

At the same time, sometimes our feelings are legitimate. If you (and other people) are idiots to me, and I feel it's causing communication difficulties, then it's legitimate to feel like I'm isolated. Humans are social animals. Isolation makes us suffer.

Avatar of Preggo_Basashi

Now, if you're under the age of... I don't know... 20, that's fine. Please ignore me. I was rude.

But when I see adults be degenerate animals how am I supposed to feel?

Avatar of troy7915
Preggo_Basashi wrote:
troy7915 wrote:
Preggo_Basashi wrote:

You're making me feel sad

 

 

 Ah, nobody can make you feel anything. It is your affair and solely yours.

 

The problem is nobody understands why we feel the way we do, so we blame others for feelings which happen within our own body. Just because there is no control over them doesn’t mean they came from outside the body.

 

  Bottom line; you’re making yourself sad.

I agree, and I work on altering or broadening my POV from time to time.

At the same time, sometimes our feelings are legitimate. If you (and other people) are idiots to me, and I feel it's causing communication difficulties, then it's legitimate to feel like I'm isolated. Humans are social animals. Isolation makes us suffer.

 

I didn’t judge your feelings as negative or positive, legitimate or not. You feel sad, feel sad. Happy? Be my guest. I’m not taking sides as to what should be felt or not. I only pointed out that the feelings come from oneself.

 

  Next, perhaps this isolation perception is an illusion. I’m not telling you that’s the way it is, I’m just suggesting that a perception of an isolated entity might be an illusion.

Avatar of Preggo_Basashi

You seem like a nice guy.

Even if I'm an ass sometimes, I'm not here to fight.