1500 to 1200, did everyone just get better?
For the first time, I have raised my rating into the high 1600s in rapid and now I've even crossed 1700. I want to be proud of myself, but I have to say, the 1675-1750 rated players I am now getting matched up with are playing terrible chess. They are making dumb moves that you rarely see with players above 1500 or 1600. So once again, as I rise a little in the ratings, I am being matched with higher rated players who play WORSE. If and when my rating drops again, and I go back to playing 1600s or lower, I'm sure they will play better than the higher rated players. This weird phenomenon strikes again!
I have noticed something weird also, but I don't know if it's real or just perception. I can be in the low 1600s and win a bunch of games, but then I inevitably go on a losing streak, my rating drops, and then I am matched up against players in the low 1500s or even high 1400s, and they play BETTER than the opponents who were low 1600s. So my fall accelerates. Eventually I get my act together, win a bunch of games, and then I am matched up again with high 1500s and low 1600s and my games are EASIER to win.
Time to follow up on this. I made some breakthrough and now I am playing against opponents in the 1700s in Rapid, and they are making bad moves that a 1550 would not make. I am finding that as I climb from 1700 to 1800 my opponents are getting WEAKER, not stronger. It's so weird.
As someone who regularly plays a wide variety of rating ranges to help students at my university's chess club, I do indeed notice that the 1300-1400 band is extremely strong. In fact, I lost to a 1300 last week over the board, and he only revealed his chess.com rating after I estimated his strength to be at least 2000. Now I'm just wondering, why would there be an artificial layer of strong players in this elo range?
I've actually lost to multiple people in that rating band quite recently. Thankfully they weren't rated, but I was certainly using a decent amount of effort - they're all people who came to me for advice! Of course, overconfidence probably played a factor but this is quite shocking.
Overconfidence might play a big role in this phenomenon (if this phenomenon actually exists at all), but whose overconfidence? Do I lose to a 1500 because I am overconfident, or does the 1780 lose to me because HE is overconfident? Both ways I guess. But then why is the 1780 rated 1780? If he's overconfident, he should lose more to lower rated players.
i think its because chess became more popular