Ratings are going to rise in the aggregate, and the average of those remaining - will also rise.
there are a couple of reasons for this:
a. new players come here, start at a nominal 1200, and lose some games (donating some portion of their rating points) into the aggregate of all ratings if added together for all remaining players.
b. players depart abruptly and permanently, and abandon or resign all games - dropping many points by that.
c. players come here, lose a few games, depart and return with a new name and start over in rating. the games they lost, and rating points remain part of the aggregate of total rating points for all players.
d. these increases (if you will) to the aggregate of all players' points - are offset to some extent by those who cheat - are detected cheating - and are summarily removed with the high rating and points they had 'stolen' from other players.
Overall, there will be an increase over time - as the numbers in a, b, and c exceed the points removed from the aggregate by d above.
my thoughts, not a management answer.
I am curious to see if anyone else has noticed rating inflation in the overall rating of chess.com.
When I started playing here, 8 or so months ago, the 50% level was in the low to mid 1200s. Now its closer to the low 1300s...
My point is two fold: (1) Players need/like an objective measure of performance, and that (2) that few players want to see there rating go down, so this problem may not have wide spread concern (at least not at the moment).
Because have our own little macro economic universe at chess.com, which could be ground for some cool analysis, and I think we should take a look to see how ratings are changing.
Erik, if you have a way to query members ratings in real terms (percentile) please let me know.