A Question About Possible Elo Gain in a Year

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Outlast_11

In the past 11 months of playing chess, I went from an all time low rating of 400 rapid to a peak of 1530, with barely any devoted study, mainly just youtube content. If I study say, 4 or 5 hours a day for the next year, with actual study material, could I expect to hit 2000, 2100, etc?

darkunorthodox88

online ratings =/= actual ratings.

start playing in real tournaments and see how well you do. Its too early to tell. If you become 1500 FIDE in one year, its solid progress  though.

Lagomorph

Depends:

1. how committed you are

2. Your brain's ability.

 

I have been playing chess for 50 years and never improve. I am not prepared to invest the time to see if I could. What would you expect 4/5 hours a day of study to bring you ?

Outlast_11
darkunorthodox88 wrote:

online ratings =/= actual ratings.

start playing in real tournaments and see how well you do. Its too early to tell. If you become 1500 FIDE in one year, its solid progress  though"

I can't find many tournaments close to where I live, any recommendations for sources to search for more?

goldenbeer
@darkunorthodox88, clearly OP talks about online ratings, what is actual rating? If you want to answer the question, then do w.r.t. online ratings. Also if by actual rating, you mean FIDE rating, then there is a very strong correlation between online and Fide. 1500 in a year is solid both online and fide. Most likely OP had some experience in chess in the past, otherwise it’s not easy.
Outlast_11
goldenbeer wrote:
@darkunorthodox88, clearly OP talks about online ratings, what is actual rating? If you want to answer the question, then do w.r.t. online ratings. Also if by actual rating, you mean FIDE rating, then there is a very strong correlation between online and Fide. 1500 in a year is solid both online and fide. Most likely OP had some experience in chess in the past, otherwise it’s not easy.

Actually, before March of 2021, I'd only ever played around 20 games of chess during freetime at a summer camp. 400 was just the "Novice" starting rating on chess.com.

goldenbeer
@Outlast_11, I’ve checked your rating, you mean rapid rating.

Your blitz is 1100, which is normal with a year of experience. But rapid is highly inflated at lower ratings, and e.g. difference between 2000 rapid and 1500 is much bigger than the difference between 1500 and 500 rapid. So, you need a serious improvement.

1500 rapid is a level of experienced beginners with some talent in chess. Translates to 1000-1200 blitz here. So your improvement was mostly because of gaining experience, not really learning something systematically.


Anyways, I think upto 2000 rapid here is easy, and weaker than 2000 fide. But e.g. 2100 2200 2300 are getting exponentially more difficult (mostly because of FairPlay issues here, I think 2300 rapid here is better than 2300 Fide, not strength but the quality of most likely assisted games).