Calculation of move

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Russia84
So, I just lost a whole piece due to miscalculating the end result of a long chain of capture/ recapture. When calculating, I always play the whole chain out in my head ( I take, he takes, I take, he takes....). So, my question, is there a better and more efficient way of thinking, to calculate your move in such situations?
gingerninja2003
this is the thought process your supposed to do
this is what not to do

 as you can see white is a minor piece down and has only got two pawns more than the pawn he traded in thus meaning -3 for the loss of a minor piece +2 for two free pawns makes -1 which is losing materially.