Chess will never be solved, here's why

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Avatar of Optimissed

Even discounting the ludicrous terminology, <<<weakly solved means that for the initial position a strategy has been determined to achieve the game-theoretic value against any opposition,>>>
actually means strongly solved (again in the ludicrous terminology), since any opposition isn't qualified to "any reasonable or effective opposition".

I suppose, as usual, it'll be another year before someone else understands what I'm saying. In the meantine, that time could be substantially reduced by junking the terminology as it stands and as it deserves.

Avatar of Optimissed
mpaetz wrote:
Optimissed wrote:

Effectively though, "any" opposition means any opposition that isn't downright stupid. That is, that's what it means in practice and is why the so-called strong solution is pointless and has no bearing on the solving of chess, if movements of the pieces are random blunders.

     Who gets to judge what is/is not "stupid"? A panel of five GMs? AlphaZero? Optimissed? Once you arbitrarily omit broad swaths of lines from consideration, you open the conclusions reached to reasonable doubt.


The entire project of solving chess depends on rejecting bad moves and using good ones. A decent algorithm needs to be written, because I'm afraid that tygxc's "three grandmasters on ice skates" just doesn't cut it. Real AI needs first to be developed in order to write the algorithm.

Nice try.

Avatar of Elroch

It would be a big step forward if some people here would take the time to understand what was done in the weak solution of checkers and other games, and to realise that tells you what is necessary to solve chess (according to the universally accepted meaning). It's just a lot harder because of the size.

Avatar of Mike_Kalish

Elroch, tygxc, mpaetz, and MARattigan are having a fascinating discussion of the topic. Much of it is over my head, but I'm following it best I can and appreciate the effort they're making to provide valid, topical information. 
I would respectfully ask that others who are using this thread to wage a personal feud back off and let the rest of us focus on the real discussion without having to sort out long posts that are nothing but personal insults that no one else cares about. 

Avatar of Optimissed

I think what many npeople here don't understand is that if you can't reject rubbish moves, there's no way of solving chess because even avter millions of years you'd have no effective feedback. Just a mass of inaccessible computations, unless you srore them, and then you have to sort them. And that's impossible. You have to sort as you go, which means assess as you go.

Avatar of Optimissed
Elroch wrote:

If only some people here would take the time to understand what was done in the weak solution of checkers and other games, and to realise that tells you what is necessary to solve chess (according to the universally accepted meaning). It's just a lot harder because of the size.

I think it isn't analagous, because of the size.

Avatar of Optimissed

Interesting that my natural ally is MAR.

Avatar of Elroch

Well, it is certainly enormously challenging and out of present reach.

When you conclude something like that, it is appropriate to accept it, not to muddy the waters by redefining terms in a bad way to stop the conclusion being true.

Avatar of Elroch
Optimissed wrote:
Elroch wrote:

If only some people here would take the time to understand what was done in the weak solution of checkers and other games, and to realise that tells you what is necessary to solve chess (according to the universally accepted meaning). It's just a lot harder because of the size.

I think it isn't analagous, because of the size.

It is analogous because they are both games of the same class. The fact that one has been solved and the other hasn't is indeed because of the size, but the analogy is still extremely close.

 

Avatar of Elroch
Optimissed wrote:

If people writing papers on solving chess are reduced to discussing the nature of opponents, possibly they don't quite know what they're doing and would be better qualified to work as junior managers in H.J. Heinz's food factory?

It's worth mentioning that this rant makes no sense. People writing papers and most of those reading them are already very familiar with the notion of a pure (opposing) strategy, and use the word "opponent" as an convenient shorthand.

Avatar of mpaetz
Optimissed wrote:


The entire project of solving chess depends on rejecting bad moves and using good ones. A decent algorithm needs to be written, because I'm afraid that tygxc's "three grandmasters on ice skates" just doesn't cut it. Real AI needs first to be developed in order to write the algorithm.

Nice try.

     No, solving chess involves finding out whether or not there are any lines that will win by force from the initial position for either side no matter what the opponent might try. Whatever algorithm might be developed to sidestep this task cannot yield a complete proof.

Avatar of Optimissed
Elroch wrote:

Well, it is certainly enormously challenging and out of present reach.

When you conclude something like that, it is appropriate to accept it, not to muddy the waters by redefining terms in a bad way to stop the conclusion being true.


It isn't concluded and the authors of the definitions are confused. If it's to be concluded, it has to be apprroached in an orderly and systematic manner. That isn't aided when half the people considering it are at loggerheads with the other half and both halves are confused by the bad terminology.

If anyone genuinely approaches this with the hope and prospect of solving it, they wouldn't accept the likelihood that previous thought on the subject has been accurate, because that would prejudice their investment. The first thing they would do would be to throw out existing ideas and start again. Sort of write a new prospectus which would outline work already done and assess it for its value going forward. Not to do that would be very bad business. A bit like buying a warehouse and filling it before you checked it for dry rot.

Avatar of DiogenesDue
mikekalish wrote:

Elroch, tygxc, mpaetz, and MARattigan are having a fascinating discussion of the topic. Much of it is over my head, but I'm following it best I can and appreciate the effort they're making to provide valid, topical information. 
I would respectfully ask that others who are using this thread to wage a personal feud back off and let the rest of us focus on the real discussion without having to sort out long posts that are nothing but personal insults that no one else cares about. 

I would respectfully ask that if you do not like seeing confrontation on the forums that you report people anyone that calls others "idiots", "imbeciles", "dullards", "morons", etc.  Not just once, but every single time.  Report actionable behavior.  When the forums are largely clear of such trolls, there will be a distinct drop in confrontations overall.  If the mods don't follow up on "verbal abuse" reports with visible results over the long term, consider escalating to staff.

Avatar of Optimissed
mpaetz wrote:
Optimissed wrote:


The entire project of solving chess depends on rejecting bad moves and using good ones. A decent algorithm needs to be written, because I'm afraid that tygxc's "three grandmasters on ice skates" just doesn't cut it. Real AI needs first to be developed in order to write the algorithm.

Nice try.

     No, solving chess involves finding out whether or not there are any lines that will win by force from the initial position for either side no matter what the opponent might try. Whatever algorithm might be developed to sidestep this task cannot yield a complete proof.

No it doesn't. In their extremely confused terminology they call that the ultra-weak solution but it isn't relevant. It isn't even really possible to achieve. Best to read what's being written and try to catch up. I'm sure btickler would guide you through. Otherwise, I can't help you.

Avatar of Optimissed
btickler wrote:
mikekalish wrote:

Elroch, tygxc, mpaetz, and MARattigan are having a fascinating discussion of the topic. Much of it is over my head, but I'm following it best I can and appreciate the effort they're making to provide valid, topical information. 
I would respectfully ask that others who are using this thread to wage a personal feud back off and let the rest of us focus on the real discussion without having to sort out long posts that are nothing but personal insults that no one else cares about. 

I would respectfully ask that if you do not like seeing confrontation on the forums that you report people anyone that calls others "idiots", "imbeciles", "dullards", "morons", etc.  Not just once, but every single time.  Report actionable behavior.  When the forums are largely clear of such trolls, there will be a distinct drop in confrontations overall.  If the mods don't follow up on "verbal abuse" reports with visible results over the long term, consider escalating to staff.


He means you, btickler. You're the troll.

Avatar of MARattigan
tygxc  wrote:

...

"You are hawking a second-rate alternative."
++ No, I prefer a smart way that works over a stupid way that does not work.
...-

So does everyone, but so far all you've managed is a stupid way that doesn't work.

You can easily discount your own calculations by applying them to the games I posted here.

You claim they will tell you the result of the starting position and the number of errors in each game. Why don't you do that and we can check your conclusions with Syzygy?

How long does it take?

Avatar of DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

He means you, btickler. You're the troll.

You can keep pretending he isn't talking to both of us, but it makes you look pretty oblivious.  The difference between us is you confront all kinds of posters.  I confront people who confront other people wink.png...and I do it in a measured and non-abusive manner.

Avatar of mpaetz
Optimissed wrote:
mpaetz wrote:
Optimissed wrote:


The entire project of solving chess depends on rejecting bad moves and using good ones. A decent algorithm needs to be written, because I'm afraid that tygxc's "three grandmasters on ice skates" just doesn't cut it. Real AI needs first to be developed in order to write the algorithm.

Nice try.

     No, solving chess involves finding out whether or not there are any lines that will win by force from the initial position for either side no matter what the opponent might try. Whatever algorithm might be developed to sidestep this task cannot yield a complete proof.

No it doesn't. In their extremely confused terminology they call that the ultra-weak solution but it isn't relevant. It isn't even really possible to achieve. Best to read what's being written and try to catch up. I'm sure btickler would guide you through. Otherwise, I can't help you.

    It seems that you are the one who is confused. Perhaps you neglected to read most of the posts here or just can't remember what others have written. I have repeatedly said that the only real solution is a calculation to checkmate or a draw in all possible lines. The kinds of half-a**ed solutions some others may suggest I don't consider entirely valid.

Avatar of Optimissed

Ah so you were the fount of wisdom here all along and didn't let on. I really had no idea you're so multi-talented!

Avatar of Optimissed

The trouble is that even if you could perform a calculation of all lines, it wouldn't achieve anything because you would have to sort and retrieve it all. That can't be done. You would have no access to the calculations, after they were finished in several million years' time.