Chess will never be solved, here's why

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DiogenesDue
tygxc wrote:

"Optimal play is not determinable by either you, or engines."
++ The 105 ICCF World Championship games are optimal play, not by the engines used,
nor by me, but by the results themselves: 105 draws in 105 games.

105 or 10005 draws, makes no difference. It does not and *can not* prove perfect play when the players are demonstrably imperfect. You can have 100 GMs and engines confer for 5 days or 500 days...the result is still not perfect play.

"It will be determinable once chess is solved" ++ That is where we now about are.
Weakly solved means that for the initial position a strategy has been determined to achieve the game theoretic value against any opposition. The strategy to achieve the game theoretic value of the draw against any opposition is to follow an ICCF World Championship Finals drawn game for as long as possible and then proceed with an engine at 5 days / move until a 7-men endgame table base draw or a prior 3-fold repetition is reached.

I gave the actual definition of Weakly Solved. I don't really care what Herik says.

Your "game theoretic value" hedge is just there to allow you to pretend that a draw is the default result and that a forced win would be an aberration.

Elroch
Optimissed wrote:

chess isn't a game of perfect information

The only explanation of making a statement that is simply wrong is that you are using that technical phrase without having learnt what it means.

If you take the time to learn what the phrase means, you will discover that for chess it means that both players are fully aware of the moves that have been played so far (and which determine precisely what legal continuations are possible).

Elroch
Optimissed wrote:
Elroch wrote:
Optimissed wrote:

chess isn't a game of perfect information

The only explanation of making a statement that is simply wrong is that you are using that technical phrase without having learnt what it means.

If you take the time to learn what the phrase means, you will discover that for chess it means that both players are fully aware of the moves that have been played so far (and which determine precisely what legal continuations are possible).

I understand what it means and I know that there are those who agree with me and disagree with you, just as there are those who agree with you and disagree with me.

No.

Your statement is as wrong as saying "hydrogen is not an element" or "electrons are not fermions". Only possible by being ignorant of the subject (in our case game theory rather than chemistry and physics) and its terminology.

Search for the term and you aren't going to find support.

DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

Thank heavens something I can disagree with. I don't rate Herik either so I don't care what he says. I don't like the hiding behind jargon like "game-theoretic value" because it seems deliberately misleading. We know it's a game and yes positions can be evaluated but not by theory so it's misleading. "Positional evaluation" is one of many much more descriptive tries. I just prefer "evaluation".

However, it seems that since there's no proof that chess is anything but drawn and since it seems to be the case that it's drawn, is it then so bad to allow "draw with good moves by each side" to be the default or probable value, subject to further confirmation?

There's a difference between default and probable value. It's fine to say that chess being a draw is more likely. It is incorrect to say that a draw is the "correct" result and that a forced win would be an unexpected and suspect surprise. If a set of forced wins exist, they will be necessarily narrow and probably dependent on some heretofore undiscovered truths about chess in terms of positional play, much like when Alpha Zero wowed all the super-GMs with some fancy bishop tactics, etc.

Tygxc's premise is that even though machine learning engines just hit the scene (and engines only just surpassed humans circa 2006), that the possibilities of chess have been exhausted, ergo all draws, ergo chess itself being a draw. This is no different than the best players in 1900 saying the same thing. Chess is not exhausted, and we've only played some infinitesimal percentage of possible games. What has happened is that engines have reached a plateau for the moment, and humans are no longer capable of helping out. We're obsolete.

If anyone besides Tygxc actually believes that engines 10, or 20, or 50+ years from now will not be capable enough to beat today's ICCF "centaurs" (more like hydras now, given the number of engines being used together), go ahead and speak up...

Elroch

It's an interesting question how badly they will be able to beat them!

DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

Now, the coffee's been served but before I look at the given definition, I want to make a rhetorical arguments of "if you don't know what the information means, how can it be perfect or full".

If we imagine an analogy of a chess position in the form of a code which hasn't been broken. The earth's being attacked by Martians and we're able to pick up the coded message. But how have we got perfect information if we don't know what it means?

So similarly, a complex chess position. It may be a win for either side or perhaps a draw. We can see the position clearly but we are not capable of determining an evaluation. It's the same thing. We have the information but it's given in a code which we can't interpret. We can see the chess position but we can't tell who's winning. We can only giess, based on rules of thumb. How is that perfect information? If I had perfect information on something, I'd expect it to be understandable.

Your premise that is that you are capable of understanding any information given to you. Reams of evidence on these forums would show this to be demonstrably false. Don't feel bad, though...it's false for any and all human beings.

BigChessplayer665

I don't think that's entirely true I think people try to understand they just don't do a very good job of it

Elroch
Optimissed wrote:

Now, the coffee's been served but before I look at the given definition, I want to make a rhetorical arguments of "if you don't know what the information means, how can it be perfect or full".

If we imagine an analogy of a chess position in the form of a code which hasn't been broken. The earth's being attacked by Martians and we're able to pick up the coded message. But how have we got perfect information if we don't know what it means?

So similarly, a complex chess position. It may be a win for either side or perhaps a draw. We can see the position clearly but we are not capable of determining an evaluation. It's the same thing. We have the information but it's given in a code which we can't interpret. We can see the chess position but we can't tell who's winning. We can only giess, based on rules of thumb. How is that perfect information? If I had perfect information on something, I'd expect it to be understandable.

You seem confused between information and making deductions from that information.

For example, if I give the question to you:

"How many factors does the following number have: 2748132412641276392817612648721647126498127348712742077492749274927409217498127409827154012740981275012834223895821975294281275987209412734981269461290120e487120874981264978126e49712647126497124712948219272847284712841 ?"

you have complete information about the problem. That does not mean you can solve it.

MEGACHE3SE

"There is no need to. "

argument from repetition fallacy. you continue to not provide justification, as per usual.

its impossible to claim that something loses by force until you have accounted for every possible line. you havent.

MEGACHE3SE
tygxc wrote:

@9585

"You haven't shown that it definitely loses." ++ I have presented several lines.

--thats several lines, you havent shown that the other 10^18 lines lose. so you havent shown that it definitely loses.

"There are always objections." ++ Present no objections, present a line that draws.

"I don't need to present lines" ++ I do not need to either, but I did nevertheless, you did not.

--Actually, you do. LMFAO YOU ARE SERIOUSLY CLAIMING THAT YOU DONT NEED TO PRESENT ANY EVIDENCE FOR A PROOF LOOOLLLLLLLLLL

"you are merely arguing from authority" ++ I am not arguing from authority. I could say I am higher rated than you, so I know better than you, but I did not, I went through the effort.

--you went through no such effort. you have literally provided ZERO evidence on your end.

"My objection holds." ++ It does not. You did not present a single line that holds.

-- a proof does not leave room for a possible objection. your proof is therefore invalid.

dude you have like no concept of basic logical proof, as I predicted.

"Appeal to Ignorance
 
This fallacy occurs when you argue that your conclusion must be true, because there is no evidence against it. This fallacy wrongly shifts the burden of proof away from the one making the claim."

seem familiar?

DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

I completely agree with all you say after the first two sentences about the difference between default, probable and correct.

I do accept a difference and I agree with your implication that "correct" is a precise term which demands proof. I personally believe that chess is definitely a draw and that may be termed a correct evaluation but I accept that those who disagree are well within their rights to do so.

The reason is that "probable" is a fairly objective descriptor, "correct" is also precisely objective but "default" depends on value judgements and on human decisions. It's a default if someone wants to call it that and make it that. It isn't a default position to those who don't want it as one.

HOWEVER, within the paradigm of a logically valid proposal, it's possible to frame a procedure so that "chess is drawn" is the default premise. That doesn't mean it has to be accepted as true. The paradigm simply consists of a given in a set of logical premises which are to be used to formulate a valid argument. So a logical proposal may consist of or use a premise, the truth value of which is not known, but which may be assumed to be true or false for the purposes of the exercise.

That's the context in which "drawn as default" is often used.

At least, that's as good an argument as I'm capable of giving at the moment. I hope it was somewhat clear.

In Tygxc's case, he actually uses "game theoretic value" as a premise that aids in his "proof"...assuming the result first to help prove the concept. You can hypothesize "if we assume that X then Y..." but cannot then extrapolate that to "if we assume X, then Y...I think I see Y, ergo X is true and not just an assumption", because there are other possible explanations. This is why he must use Herik's definition, because the real definition does not allow for his mental gymnastics. This is a form of "begging the question" (the original usage, not the modern colloquial usage where "begging the question" means "prompting a question" or "calls into question").

MEGACHE3SE

As i said earlier, i think tygxc just literally doesnt have any understanding of absolute logic, and so has seen a few 'smart' things on the internet and has dunning krugered himself into the fantasy he's in.

notice how he tries to throw around fancy terms and definitions while at the same time completely missing basic logical points and analogies?

if you see tygxc as thinking along the lines of "I'm right no matter what, and ive seen a couple things on the internet that seem smart", a lot of what tygxc says make a lot more sense.

DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

He isn't thick and DK implies he is. I think, at a guess, he's used to speaking with authority because maybe he's someone we've heard of. Old school definitely and still thinks that the old masters circa 1950s to 70s sow words of wisdom wherever they roam. Only words of wisdom because they were so famous. Einstein didn't believe in quantum theory and he held back the progress of physics by years. Someone else would have come up with relativity because that's mainly a rearrangement of Maxwell's equations.

Were this true, he would probably not have needed to or bothered to try to cajole Mr. Tromp into doing his work for him.

playerafar
Elroch wrote:
Optimissed wrote:

chess isn't a game of perfect information

The only explanation of making a statement that is simply wrong is that you are using that technical phrase without having learnt what it means.

If you take the time to learn what the phrase means, you will discover that for chess it means that both players are fully aware of the moves that have been played so far (and which determine precisely what legal continuations are possible).

Exactly. Elroch puts it very efficiently.
And 'O' repeats his same mistakes over and over. Year in year out.
And 'O' will not 'learn' and instead projects his own deficiencies.
And instead - also chooses to troll.
'O' is @Optimissed of course.

playerafar

Recently in another forum about stalemate there were some comments about stalemate and about draws in general.
A poster stated that the FIDE rules and USCF rules are diffferent regarding what is a win and what is a draw when one side's flag drops and the other side has minimal or near-minimal material.
The nitty gritty difference might be with two knights.

In FIDE rules apparently per the poster the two knights wins against a flag drop even if there is just the two Kings elsewhere on the board - because a helpmate can be constructed.
But in USCF rules - per the poster - those two knights need a pawn somewhere on the board for the other side - for the knights to beat a flag drop and get the full point.
Apparently because in most of the possible positions of the pawn - a forced mate would be possible against a King locked on a corner square.
Note that a forced win would also be possible in many other situations - if the locked King had some other piece - like for example a knight on the diagonally opposite corner to the King being checkmated by force. 
Or even two knights in that area.
But USCF apparently - per the poster - arbitrarily only allows the pawn.

Example - white to move with black King at h8 and white King at h6 and white knights at e7 and e5.
White has checkmates with both Nf7# and Ng6#.
But for the position on move to be legal - black has to have had a previous move with something other than his king.
Of the 48 squares that might legally be available to a pawn on a chessboard - 10 of those squares are 'funny' and don't work in this case.
They're in different categories.
But the other 38 squares do work. 
Apparently that's USCF's rationale.

Does the computer project (noun) - to 'solve' chess struggle with rules?
It definitely does.
Not even being able to handle castling with only 8 pieces on the board.
Then there's the 50 move rule and so on.
Even without 'extra rules' - the computers can't do it.
And somebody astutely pointed out earlier here that humans have become 'obsolete' to help them with this.

playerafar
Elroch wrote:
Optimissed wrote:

Now, the coffee's been served but before I look at the given definition, I want to make a rhetorical arguments of "if you don't know what the information means, how can it be perfect or full".

If we imagine an analogy of a chess position in the form of a code which hasn't been broken. The earth's being attacked by Martians and we're able to pick up the coded message. But how have we got perfect information if we don't know what it means?

So similarly, a complex chess position. It may be a win for either side or perhaps a draw. We can see the position clearly but we are not capable of determining an evaluation. It's the same thing. We have the information but it's given in a code which we can't interpret. We can see the chess position but we can't tell who's winning. We can only giess, based on rules of thumb. How is that perfect information? If I had perfect information on something, I'd expect it to be understandable.

You seem confused between information and making deductions from that information.

For example, if I give the question to you:

"How many factors does the following number have: 2748132412641276392817612648721647126498127348712742077492749274927409217498127409827154012740981275012834223895821975294281275987209412734981269461290120e487120874981264978126e49712647126497124712948219272847284712841 ?"

you have complete information about the problem. That does not mean you can solve it.

Very efficiently put by Elroch. 'Sledgehammer' efficiency.
The 'Guy' needing to be 'sledgehammered' where others can get it.
And then conceding he doesn't understand sometimes - so that he doesn't look quite as stupid.

MEGACHE3SE

no need to diss on my man optimissed like that, hes doing his best and has an open mind

playerafar
MEGACHE3SE wrote:

no need to diss on my man optimissed like that, hes doing his best and has an open mind

You could tell him to follow that advice.
He gets talked back to.
His 'bubble' broken. Constantly.
He seems to like to hate it. Its masochism.
If you'd read and have had experience you'd have seen him pushing 'chess can't be represented mathematically' and insulting Elroch too. For months now. And also insulting Dio and Fester. 
Not open-minded.
He gets an advantage when people haven't seen it.
Have you seen him bullying people and threatening to report them to staff?
Including Elroch?
You haven't.
Right?
Don't care?
That's okay.

playerafar
MEGACHE3SE wrote:

As i said earlier, i think tygxc just literally doesnt have any understanding of absolute logic, and so has seen a few 'smart' things on the internet and has dunning krugered himself into the fantasy he's in.

notice how he tries to throw around fancy terms and definitions while at the same time completely missing basic logical points and analogies?

if you see tygxc as thinking along the lines of "I'm right no matter what, and ive seen a couple things on the internet that seem smart", a lot of what tygxc says make a lot more sense.

But tygxc is doing better than 'O'.
A lot better. Almost everybody is.
tygxc is pushing inaccuracies but its not identified as trolling.
Unlike 'O' he doesn't try to make everything about him and IQ tests and the like.
He's much much better than 'O'.

playerafar
BigChessplayer665 wrote:

Playerafar respectfully if your gonna diss people just be quiet and stop being a d***

'O' wants a double standard.
And apparently you want a double standard for him BC.
He starts these things - and then bitterly complains.
I don't complain. I comment.
You can though. Its allowed.
Be unhappy if you want to.
happy
I'd support tygxc over 'O' and complainers like 'O' in a heartbeat.
I do.
tygxc doesn't complain.
'O' does worse than just about everybody ...
but some 'try to compete' with his complaining and trolling.
Or even 'kneel' to him.
He'll adore you for that. Be elated.
But not for long.
He's constantly unhappy.
His 'authority-feathers' constantly getting ruffled. Itching.
happy