Does this include the results from Round 13?
It will be an amazing final day, no doubt about it. Who can say what version of Ivanchuk will turn up? He could make Carlsen either happy or want to kill him. Especially if he plays a dubious opening. Carlsen will be studying the main board as much as his own game.
http://www.chessbase.com/Home/TabId/211/PostId/4009336/candidates--tiebreaks-chances-of-winning-310313.aspx
Check this site out, it has lots of probability and chances for who will win with 2 rounds remaining.