Do you think most people are fairly steady/consistent in their quality of play or variable?
I think most people probably fluctuate a lot. I have across all rating pools and game types. There are so many things that can impact how well someone plays and cause dips in game quality or streaks of winning.
Do you think most people are fairly steady/consistent in their quality of play or variable?
Personally, I fluctuate a lot in chess. I'm either playing pretty well and winning a lot or backsliding (within a couple of hundred ELO range generally). If I walk away from speed chess for a few days, I usually have to lose a few or several or just have a lower win rate to hit my stride winning again.. I rarely start my first game hot, but sometimes.
In speed chess I've noticed on some days that the difference between a winning streak and a losing streak is often just a *small* difference in the speed at which my mind is operating. I can feel alert and in pretty good form but might be putting the game together in my head just a *little* slower and it disproportionately changes the win/loss ratio.
And also suspect that the pace at which one moves and the kind of moves makes signals the opponent in some cases and changes their perception of the game on a subliminal level and that the win/loss isn't entirely based on the positions involved in the game. That even though the opponent isn't sitting across from you, you can sense their arrogance or competence or carelessness and that can change your mindset and help in winning or losing.