In 15-25 years time computer training software will completely take over chess to the point where no other method of trying to improve will compete.
All the ingredients are there:
#1. Huge amounts of reliable data almost instantly. Chess.com can easily create different "flavours" of training and play them off one another in a quasi-evolutionary process to find the best training.
#2. Huge financial incentives to provide training that actually works.
It will work out that almost every person will reach 1900-2000+, and anything above that will be directly related to how much time they spend using the software and their biological capacity for chess.
I feel like a lot of the wonder will then be gone out of chess. The crazy plans and theories and arguments such as about de la Maza, the ideas and discussions about openings or games or chess books/articles - nobody will stop that discussion, but it will be a waste of time compared to the allocated chess software training. It'll become a little like knowing the secrets of a magic show while viewing it. The higher level creativity and improvisation will have gone out of chess, the "human" factor will have gone, and it won't be a game work playing any longer, because ironically the value of chess is in hitting a wall and trying to understand it.
"Almost every person will reach 1900-2000+" - Since ratings are relative and not absolute, it could never happen.
Cheer up, low rated player will always be with us.
/ I always have them cut my pizza into six slices, since I could never eat eight.
In 15-25 years time computer training software will completely take over chess to the point where no other method of trying to improve will compete.
All the ingredients are there:
#1. Huge amounts of reliable data almost instantly. Chess.com can easily create different "flavours" of training and play them off one another in a quasi-evolutionary process to find the best training.
#2. Huge financial incentives to provide training that actually works.
It will work out that almost every person will reach 1900-2000+, and anything above that will be directly related to how much time they spend using the software and their biological capacity for chess.
I feel like a lot of the wonder will then be gone out of chess. The crazy plans and theories and arguments such as about de la Maza, the ideas and discussions about openings or games or chess books/articles - nobody will stop that discussion, but it will be a waste of time compared to the allocated chess software training. It'll become a little like knowing the secrets of a magic show while viewing it. The higher level creativity and improvisation will have gone out of chess, the "human" factor will have gone, and it won't be a game work playing any longer, because ironically the value of chess is in hitting a wall and trying to understand it.