but in the end how much money to your earn
How good is one's likelihood of becoming a GM?

Let's say one has all the recipe for becoming a GM:
High IQ, love of the game and the desire and determination to win.
How many games do I have to play for me to be able to tell if I could reach GM level ?
I see some players with a rating of greater than 1800 after only a few hundred games.
If after having played over 2000 games, my rating still stagnate around 1600, should I kiss ny chances good-bye of ever becoming a GM who can actually win 1st place in a real tournament?
Ronen Har Zvi said he got his GM title after only 300 some tournament games.

why this obsssion with being a gm lol
And then upon realizing it might take as much as 3.5 years giving up? LOL
I thought GM was easy, which is why pretty much everyone is a GM. Guess I was wrong and it takes a little effort. I mean, I got a $2 set from Walmart and read the 5x11 rule sheet... that's gotta count for something!
blacksmith? Does that trade still exist in the U.S. ?